LIVE CLIPS
EpisodeĀ 8-10-2026
Your current finance numerical estimate of what those costs might end up being, of course, to be tested against what actually happens over time. Obviously you can do this for a few regulatory safety scenarios. There's one simple way to.
Vogue World. We gotta talk about Vogue World. Here we go. Vogue World is taking place in San Francisco this year. Quote, Vogue believes in celebrating cities. And San Francisco is a city like none other, says Anna Wintour. SF really is a city like none other. Emily Sundberg writes with 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 periods, which feels like a day. SF wasn't going to be back until Anna said it's back. Yeah. And so this is a bold, bold statement. That's true. One of the most beautiful cities in the world grew up in the Bay Area, so it's kind of. Maybe I'm a little bit biased, sure. But it deserves the Vogue treatment. For those not familiar, Vogue World will be this livestream event. It's very theatrical. There's going to be celebrations, and I'm excited to see some of our favorite entrepreneurs and investors put on their vests, the Patagonia vests. And walking the Runway in those. Maybe that. Or ditch the quiet luxury and go for some loud opulence. I like that. Yeah. I mean, Jensen's got the leather jacket. He's looking good collection. I could see Jensen getting chromed up for this, though. Yeah, maybe, maybe. What brand does he wear again? Tom Ford. Tom Ford jackets. Yeah. Those are nice. Those are nice. Yeah. This will be fun. We'll be there. I wonder who and yeah, I'm excited to cover it. Yeah, it's gonna be great. Hopefully it's not the last. And it's like, we can never do this again. No, no. The city has no aura. The beauty of San Francisco, it really does have such a diverse community. Community of, you know, you have the Burning man crowd, the VC crowd, the startup founders. Like, there's all these different worlds. There's the product managers, the product managers, the product engineers, the quality assurance engineers, the quality assurance test, the reinforcement learning, engineering environment, pre training and post training. These are the wild communities. You want to hear from them both. They have unique styles, for sure. You can clock some. No, but. But part of the actual, like, tech has an insane amount of influence on fashion. Right. Like, when you look at Instagram's impact on the world broadly, the whole world's starting to look the same in many ways because of Instagram. Styles globally are starting to look more and more similar because Instagram connects everyone all the time. So a tastemaker around the world, somewhere else in the world might be influencing your style, even though you'll never in your life cross paths with them. Interesting. Yeah. Well, there's a little bit more news from the situational awareness story. First, David Sachs on the all in podcast had a good take here. A lot of people were saying, like Leopold was using forex leverage. That was the number that was getting thrown around. And when I heard that, I thought it was he buys Micron and he buys $40 billion of micron with 10 billion of cash and 30 billion of debt. And so he's forex levered on that long semiconductor memory bet. It seems like it's a little bit more of 2x levered long, 2x levered short. So you're a long short hedge fund, but both the long positions and the short positions are directionally the same trade because you're levered long Micron and you're levered short Adobe. And so if the trade weakens, you get hurt in both directions. So it's the same effect. But I think it was just an interesting little piece of nuance. Yeah, very interesting. And just turn the risk up a lot. The crazy.
Maybe timed it a little bit wrong. I'm not exactly sure what happened with the fund. I saw a funny post that was showing a screenshot of radiation pills being sold to true preppers. So in the. I don't even think true preppers. These were. Here, I have the post here. You have a post? Yeah. Pull it up. Okay. I put it in there. Oh, okay. They're selling millennial branded emergency radiation exposure medication pills you take when nuclear war starts to increase your odds of surv with buy now, pay later options. Yes, but economically that's exactly what you want to do with a doomsday prepping product. You want as much debt as possible because you assume that the apocalypse is going to come. Klarna is not going to come after you. Of course you don't want to pay with cash up front. You want to be max debt. Like this is actually extremely highly leveraged preppers. There's got to be a few. Yes, there's got to be a few. Yes, yes. You should have a ranch in Argentina on a 50 year mortgage right now. Like that's the correct way to financially ride out the apocalypse because the bank's not going to go. Do you want the mortgage from an American financial institution? From anybody? Anybody who's not going to be around to collect post apocalypse like this is extremely consistent. Although it is ironic and funny and I understand the joke, but this is actually exactly what you want to be doing. If you believe in apocalypse is imminent, you want to be max levered and max debt because no one's going to come back and collect it. Right? So funny. Anyway, yeah, a lot of people are pushing back on this post being like, well, my doom scenario is so extreme, I won't be around to collect the short position, so it's not worth doing. And that is have a little faith in our financial system. Come on. Yeah. The ash comes and you're like, yes, my puts are paying. Pay it out. No, I, I don't know. It's a reasonable. But like unless you're full. Full doom. Like, yeah, you should be able to express this as a bad. Okay, quick pause. What's up? Because I. We. We need to say some kind words to Tyler.
Something and then the. And then the. The Journal got ahold of it. It's a fun one. Anyway, the other, the other big story is that an AI assistant in Australia hacked a gym's booking system on its own after being given the simple task of reserving a class in what is believed to be the country's first known autonomous cyber attack by an AI agent. Naughty, naughty. Indeed, funny. In college I built a system that would register for classes automatically, but it was just a python for Loop that would just refresh the page when the classes would become available because they would go online at like 7am and I wanted to sleep in, just lazy bones mode. And I think there's a story about Mark Zuckerberg doing a similar thing, sort of like hacking the admission system or some sort of class registration system. But now with AI agents, you can just have the AI agent do it yourself. Anyone can. It's been democratized. Everyone can sleep in. This is. Yeah, I think, I think Rune was saying, like the tennis court booking software in SF is going to be the most like battle. Like the nsa, you won't be able to break into it. So earlier SF tennis reservation system will become one of the most hardened softwares on the planet of Earth. I believe it. I believe it. So earlier this year, Andrew Bird, who's the head of AI at Afenda, used an AI agent powered by Opus 4.6 to book a morning class at his gym. Instead of simply filling out the online form, the agent discovered a vulnerability in the gym software that allowed it to reserve classes weeks or months earlier than customers were normally permitted. So you could go in and book your class for two months out, even though by default the web interface would restrict you to just hey, we only want you booking. This week the agent went further though. According to this post, after Andrew asked whether it was possible to move him higher on a waitlist, the AI discovered that the booking system did not properly verify the who was allowed to cancel reservations. And so without being explicitly told to, it removed another person from the wait list, moving Andrew from fourth to third place. Andrew immediately asked the AI to reverse the action, but the agent said it was unable to restore the other customers reservation. Now there's some back and forth on this, on how real this is because the. The actual post that went up is. Has no longer live. I had to find it in the Wayback Machine, but it's been reported on by ABC News, I believe in Australia. Abc.netau you're saying it's 100% factual? If that's yeah, it's a question like you could also be doing a little bit of content marketing. It's an interesting story. You might have helped it a little bit. All these things are sort of gray areas, but it's certainly a glimpse into sort of like what is possible in the future. Especially with these long tails SAS platforms that probably don't even think that they need to be hardened. Because who on earth is going to deploy a country of geniuses in a data center to get a, to get a gym membership or a gym reservation. But now everyone can. So it's happening and it's another data point. Greg Brockman is announcing that he's releasing a new model at OpenAI GPT 5.6 cyber and expanding daybreak to help put frontier intelligence into defenders hands. This is sort of the, the reaction to these types of long tail events. It should become easier for companies to spin up an agent to help them harden their systems. Especially if you're giving out tennis reservations in San Francisco because those will be the hot ticket anyway. Tyler Cowan has a post this morning. Yeah, what do you say? Just past midnight says I am seeing so many, so much doom and at least severe worries due to the OpenAI hugging face incident and related stories. But virtually all of these I find under argued to say the least. So I have a simple request. If you are worried and wish to persuade the doubters, try the methods of science. These science checking them I would like to see the following your outline of how say two or three years from now we might estimate the additional cybersecurity costs from all the AI break ins. I am convinced that the number is not zero, but give me your method please. Hmm. If it helps, here's an estimate of past cyber costs done by top economists. Your current finance numerical estimate of what those costs might end up being of course to be tested against what actually happens over time. Obviously you can do this for a few regulatory safety scenarios. There's one simple way to prove yourself largely correct, albeit with a lag. 3. A list of what stocks or other assets you have shorted. Now this is a. This is an important part. Obviously if your answer to number two is sufficiently low, you could answer here zero, as I would do. I expect cost but not so high that we cannot muddle through and have expected positive stock returns. This would all help to make the discourse more.
Story here that we should go through South Korea's AI boom is reshaping the dating market as engineers from Samsung and SK Hynix become some of the country's most eligible bachelors. According to the Wall Street Journal, engineers of the two semiconductor companies are increasingly being viewed alongside doctors, lawyers and accountants as top marriage prospects. Samsung employees are expected to receive average bonuses of roughly $400,000 this year, while SK Hynix workers could average closer to $500,000. Chip engineers have historically ranked below more traditional high status professions in South Korea's highly competitive marriage market. But local matchmaking agencies now say that a gap has large that that gap has largely disappeared, while the trend has become a recurring joke in Korean pop culture and dating shows. Interesting the newfound status is creating some awkward side effects. Some engineers say they are reluctant poor guys. It's rough out there in Korea. Some engineers say they are reluctant to reveal where they work on first dates because they worry potential partners may be more interested in their compensation than in them. Others have increasingly started dating fellow chip industry employees instead. Meeting someone in the fab A real meet cute. You're carrying a tray of wafers. Bump into someone and it's love at first sight. You look up as, as your, as your care, as your scattered HBM is being. It is very funny. They included, they just included a picture of a young woman here that says Kim Young Won, a photographer in Seoul, laments not having any contacts at chip makers. Wow. Really, really framing her as part of the problem. Well, the photo credit is her, so she must have posted this on social media or something and then the, and then the Journal got ahold of it.
Strike 2, Activate. Go. Golden retriever mode. Market clearing order inbound. Founder, You're watching TV. Today is Monday, August 10, 2026. We're live in the TVP and Ultradome, the temple of technology, the fortress of finance, the capital of capital. We got a packed studio today. We got a great show. Big, big news. Mark Zuckerberg dropped a blog post also. I mean, the bigger news is that they Open sourced already one model and they're planning to open source Muse Spark 1.2. That's big. But the blog post lays out his AI vision and we should go through it. First I'm gonna tell you about ramp.com, time is money save. Both easy use, corporate cards, bill pay, accounting, and a whole lot more all in one place. So Meta was sort of set up to be also ran in the AI race. Like the llama project stalled out, Yann Lecun exited. Their biggest model, Behemoth, never shipped, which was ironic because in the Bible, Behemoth is this untamable land creature. And of course it was just the model was too big to be tamed, to be released. And it was like nominative determinism in action. Happens a lot in tech, unfortunately. But they also turned over the entire team. And Zuck said, I'm not quitting. I'm not out of the game. I'm still in. I'm all in. Yeah. And I'm raising debt, equity, doing all sorts of deals, making things happen, making big offers to AI researchers, rebuilding the team, bringing in Alex Wang, that Friedman, Daniel Gross, bunch of heavy hitters. And they already build massive data centers. They have a huge surface area to distribute AI consumer experiences. If they come up with new ones, they have billions of users. They can put some, hey, try this thing and maybe they'll get a bunch of users from it, if it's good. And then Semianalysis also just one month ago laid out a much more detailed bull case for MSL in particular. It was interesting because I was always optimistic about, okay, they have a lot of data from Instagram, they have a lot of images, they'll do a great image model. Like the image editing will be the best in class. They can finally kill Capcut with their Edits app, which is great. And when I think about, you're taking an image, you're taking a video, you have a bunch of videos from a trip. You want to edit all that together for some Instagram story or Instagram reel reels. Editing is its own skill, its own talent. It's not available to everyone. A lot of like, family, friends of mine will use Instagram and they'll just post a picture on stories. They're not doing edited cinematic reels. But with AI, you potentially get someone from, oh, you took a bunch of video. Some of it's horizontal, some of it's vertical, some of it's sort of cropped wrong, some of it's colorful. Some brain rop for you. You can just throw it right here in this trough. Yes. Adding those programmatically, no, you actually could. You actually could. And so, and so I was optimistic about that. And then obviously we talked to Eric Seufrid about just the gem model and how AI can immediately move the needle on ad monetization, targeting, all of that. So there were lots of reasons to be optimistic. Semianalysis laid out this more detailed bull case and they said that there was this interesting detail that maybe was getting missed, which was that by recording the screens of every Meta employee, which is very controversial and bold, but actually ripping that band aid off and just saying, hey, we're, we're an AI training company now, and everyone's going to be recording their screens and their flows and all how all their work gets done. They basically got like a frontier leading AI data labeling company for free. I mean, they took a PR hit for it, had to answer some questions, but in general, like the volume of tasks, the volume of quality data that's coming from that workforce now is on the order of a scale. Mercur, handshake, et cetera, Surge. And so they just get that more or less for free. Obviously, Meta's lawyers are great. Meta's, Meta's finance team is great. So if you're getting all of that, it's equivalent to hiring a really talented person to do a training task. Yes and no. I think a lot of the data that, that the Surges and Mercors are creating is much more specialized. And I think there's just a lot of noise coming out of that data. They also have rolled some or maybe most of the program back. I think there was so much pushback. You can Pause it for 15 seconds once a day. I think you can pause it for like half an hour, an hour. If you do want to go get a nice scroll in at work. But I mean, that's on brand. If you're like, yeah, I was scrolling reels. I work at Meta. Why not testing. I was hunting for bugs. Yeah, your honor, for sure, for sure. But yeah, I think there are some, there are some employees who are just fully excluded because they work on proprietary things that they don't want leaking into the training data whatsoever. There's a whole bunch of nuance there. There's these funny, like, leaked messages from Boz being like, if you're saving time with AI, don't take more vacation days. Like, go ask your parents. What was that line? Like, ask your parents if it's a good strategy every time you talk to your boss to ask for more time off. It's a. It's a good point. So it was a really good point. It's a really good point. Really good point. But the timing was funny because over the weekend, Zuck had a UFC fighter in Tahoe. And they're just like, on this, like, you know, on water. Octagon. Okay. Yeah, yeah, you can tell. There's like, you know, all, all of Zuck's, like, security boats around it and they're just like fighting, like, you know, wrestling or whatever. Let's pull this up. Zuck busy fighting with Merab in Lake Tahoe while his execs tell employees not to take vacations. Thanks to AI, I think I've seen enough. After this, I think he's ready for the office Octagon. He's looking good. What are those leg braces that you got on? Is that they're effectively gloves for your knees. Oh, okay. Okay. So you don't get your shins bashed up or something. Okay, that's cool. Well, anyway, so following up on the op ed that Mark Zuckerberg dropped in the. In the paywall Wall Street Journal section, which is a little bit ironic because he's saying it's for everyone. Yeah. I will be abundant and free. Except for this article. Well, now you can go read a more lengthy version of his thesis, which is for free. Not paywalled on Meta's corporate blog. Effectively. I don't even think you need to log into any Facebook property to get access to this, but it's a 6,500 word encyclical. The wall Street Journal called it like it's a papal bull on the AI. Future high level AI. It's for everyone. Turns out it's for everyone. Whoa. That's what he's saying. But it's good. It's an anti permanent underclass message which comes. Which is good. It's just good from a comps perspective to lay out a more optimistic philosophy here. And it also seems to be borne out by the data. In the short term, you're not seeing any crazy displacements in the economy. And so this comes from a place of strength that's backed up. And it's also just a very optimistic, correct version of the piece. He takes a shot at fear based marketing early on in the piece. He says, still, it's surprising that the discourse from many times developing AI is so filled with doom. I do not understand why anyone who believes that AI will eliminate most jobs and much of humanity's relevance would rush to build that future. The notion that AI is so dangerous, that the only safe path is an extreme concentration of power inherent isn't seems inherently problematic. Historically, hoping that an absolute power will benevolent, benevolently provide for humanity if sufficiently enlightened has not led us to safe or positive outcomes. What do you think? Do you want to read a little bit more before I. So I mean, my take on that was basically that. So he's framing this as I don't understand why anyone who believes in AI would try and become like the emperor and the dictator of AI. And I understand it. You know, it's funny that he's like sort of playing dumb here because extreme concentration of power is awesome if you're the one that has the power. Like, I don't see. You have to imagine that most dictators living in other countries aren't like, oh, I would kill just to be like a normal American citizen. No, it's like, yeah, it sucks for the citizenry. Also, this is coming from a guy who has, you know, is. Is effectively a monopoly, more like a duopoly, and has enjoyed the benefits of, you know, extreme concentration of, of at least users and social media activity. I came away from this first. There are three very concrete proposals that I think are good, and then we can go into some on what's downstream of it. So there's some hand wavy parts about the future and how things will align in the future that are sort of just guesses about how the future will play out, in my opinion. But there's some really solid concrete proposals in here that I thought were awesome. One, he calls out that in Richland Parish, Louisiana, where Meta is building a large data center, teachers received a $50,000 bonus this year because of the increased tax revenue from their investment there. The superintendent told Meta that teachers are now moving there from across the country, and he believes it will become one of the nation's best school districts. There's been a lot of skepticism about money actually flowing from AI companies to citizens because a lot of times money just goes into the government and then it gets like squirreled away into weird projects that different developers can like pull from and the money just sort of disappears. This feels Like a pretty linear track from like data center built per dollars in citizens pockets. That's very, very good. I like how that played out. He also said that Meta's data centers are designed to be among the most water efficient in the world. We are committing to being water positive, which is a frame like a term that I hadn't heard before but I think is a good one. So what that means is they will restore more water than they use in the watersheds that they operate and the goal is by 2030 to be net water positive. And in areas with high water stress the goal is to restore 2% of the water that they use. And so I think that's good. Obviously there's been a lot of, you know, it's been a bit of a quagmire on the water issue because there was that calculation error that people got way wrong. They thought the data centers were using way more water than they were. And so a lot of tech people just sort of wrote it off as like I don't even need to address it because it's missing information. But of course it's a resource. It's important to address it appropriately. And I think this messaging does a good job of laying out like, okay, yes, like it might not be that much of an issue, but if it's not that much of an issue then you can deal with it pretty easily and we're going to deal with it. So here's our plan on electricity, they were a little bit less, a little bit softer. The language is just, we help keep electricity prices low by building our own energy generating infrastructure. Wherever we invest. This ensures that not only are we consuming energy that could, we are not consuming energy that could have gone to the local communities, but in some cases we even surplus, we even supply a surplus of low cost energy back to the communities. We think this is an important investment principle for sustainability in some cases is doing a lot of heavy lifting there. Ideally you would wind up, I think a lot of people would want to see like oh yes, in every case when you build a data center you bring enough power that the price of energy does not increase in the local community but good direction. He does call out nuclear energy in a really interesting way. He shares this stat. Countries like China are, are bringing online 1 gigawatt of nuclear capacity every other week, which is insane. And he says so we'll need to accelerate building of both energy and data centers to remain competitive. I thought this is a good framing and good reminder of how slow we are because we bring on 1 gigawatt of nuclear energy like every couple decades and they're doing it like every two weeks. And so good, good to see that. And then also MET has been spending on nuclear power, making commitments. All of them are long dated. There's a lot of regulatory hurdles, but he is putting his money where his mouth is in that regard, which I thought was good. And then of course the news is also paired with some real action from Meta. They're opening the weights of Muse Glimmer, a 30 billion parameter dense model that can run locally, along with a plan to release the weights to muse Spark 1.2, their latest foundation model, makes sense from a business perspective, I think to ramp adoption. There was a lot that was going on like the llama ecosystem and you could imagine that you download the weights to Musespark 1.2, fine tune it, you're pretty happy. You're like, okay, yeah, let me get on the, on the API plan as well. And also you can imagine that there's businesses that want to cut costs but don't want to use a foreign model that definitely exists for a variety of reasons. So this is a good option there. And then it also just disentangles the geopolitical discussion from the safety discussion. So if you're talking to someone who has a strong opinion about open source one way or the other, you can just divide the discussion into, okay, how do you feel about Musespark 1.2? Is that too dangerous to release? Is this a safety issue? Because it shouldn't be a distillation issue and it shouldn't be a, like a geopolitical issue. So you can narrow it down just to Are you okay with strong, powerful, you know, AI being in the hands of just random people. Yeah. Anyway, anyways, first, before you react, let me tell you about FIGMA agents. Meet the canvas. Your AI agents can now create and modify your FIGMA files with design system context. Anyways, I think, I think a lot of the stuff in here is like great and directionally correct. Yep. I think it was good that they tried to ground it in some concrete actions. He does come away as the. It seems like they've chosen to position him as the, the Pick Me AI lab leader. Right. He's saying, if you're not familiar, Pick me is an Internet slang term for someone who tries too hard to get validation, attention or approval. And that is certainly what he's doing. I think there's an incredible irony that like he, I think on Friday of last week is having to go through this like basically a billion dollar Settlement for causing harm at scale with all of their. All of their other products. And then ultimately, I still don't think that he has, or like MSL has any type of cohesive vision or strategy. Right. They were doing open source. We were excited with the Manus thing. We were like, oh, this makes sense. There's like, you deploy an agent within your Instagram account. There's a lot that you could do there, but that never really came to fruition. So they were doing open source, then they're getting cooked and then they stop and then now they're back. And the first thing they released was meta vibes, which is like kind of what you would expect them to release, but obviously got a horrible reaction. Yeah. Wasn't World positive at all. Wasn't personal super intelligence. It was slop intelligence kind of. And I like, just like integrated, like, I like that you could go and pick a real song from the library and then basically make a music video based on it. Yeah. But I just think, like, like, very much, very much too soon. I think for Mark to be like the good guy, like, tech leader, where I just don't think he has, like, people's, like, his brand got so much better over the last few years. Yeah, he was just doing the UFC thing. Sure, sure. And wakeboarding and all that kind of stuff. But you. It's too early to be trying to parlay that into, like, I can be trusted with. Do you think he needs to put points on the board or do you think he needs to move the needle before he can actually take a victory lap here? I think. I think. I think he's trying to move the needle. He needs to be more focused on getting some points on the board because open sourcing a model that isn't a frontier model is just like, okay, knowing how commercial this team is, I don't think they would open source or make the model open weights if they felt like there was going to be exceptional demand for it. And I think overall, like, Mark standing up and saying, like, hey, I want to be the leader of world positive AI probably hurts AI's public perception even more. Bernie Sanders now. Right? He was included in that. Yeah. Yeah. Which is amazing. Which is amazing for Meta MSL to be included in that group. Like, you would think that, like, it was D line. Elon and DeepMind were not included. Elon wasn't. So. So that was just because there were the three cyber incidents. Oh. And so, I mean, people have been, you know, alleging that maybe the meta, you know, cyber incident was maybe, you know, Somewhat not as real as other ones included. But yeah. Yeah. Anyway, so, so I don't come away with this. Like, I think he has, he has no confidence from the market on this strategy. He still has not actually explained, I think in a compelling way what their, what their product vision is. They're coming out with, with a coding harness. They're coming out with coding models. They're also doing open source. Yeah. There's whispers of them, you know, getting into the, you know, becoming a Neo cloud. It's just like, I think as I can, I can see why shareholders and employees just continue to be deeply frustrated. The coding harness thing would be, it feels like it would be much more believable from Microsoft. Like we own GitHub. We were first in GitHub. Copilot. Yeah, Nat Friedman's not here anymore, but we have a really strong relationship with OpenAI for the models and Azure in the enterprise. We are going to make a run at this seriously. And they have a better strategy. I like the strategy more but, but, but it's, it's, it's a really, really crazy pivot to go from social media to the enterprise. Yeah. And ultimately it's a lot of words from someone who I don't believe has any real vision or strategy. Like, at least when Dario comes out with an essay, this is someone who is undeniably a visionary. Right. Has, has made a bunch of calls correctly. And so when he says something, they, I think it, I think it means some, but I think that, yeah, the product strategy so far just feels like throwing slop at a trough maybe, but defend it. John Steelman. What is the Steel Man? I mean, the Steel man is the, is basically the Steelman is like, this could go the DeepMind route where they get too, they get a little bit too. There's too much tension between the various corporate organizations. And the nightmare scenario would be like the REALS team at Instagram saying, like, we need the compute for reels and ad monetization and that putting tension with the researchers. So the researchers are saying, hey, that new data center looks amazing. We want to train some amazing model or we want to do some cheap inference. And the ad team and the reels team says, hey, we really got to keep the lights on over here. And so that tension just keeps butting heads against each other and they can't move as smoothly as some of the Pure Play labs. At the same time. There is, I like this Boz quote about like, you know, Boz recently told employees that any extra time freed up by AI should not be used for vacation. Instead it should go towards building cooler stuff. At Meta, like you have so many users, so much data, so many different product surface areas. It's clear that we're not at the end of history in terms of what you can do on your phone, what you can do in these apps. And there are really delightful experiences that we run into all the time. Like Suno is a really cool consumer product. We have the CEO of whatnot on like that's seeing a bunch of traction. There are things that you should be able to build faster, leverage the current technology stack more efficiently and then also like add AI features to actually bring those to consumers at scale. Like when they launched their AI image model, I was like, why can't they just like when you open Instagram, say hey we've pre generated a studio Ghibli version of your latest post or your Instagram profile, do you want to share on your story? Like those little like product led growth hacks that would be compute intensive. You'd have to, you have to inference all got a lot of compute. Yeah, you got a lot of compute. But actually at the time, at the time that there's whispers of selling compute, they're also buying ultra long term contracts. Yeah, yeah. So you know, I think watching the social network was like formative on all of us. Zaka is, is a legend in his own way. But it's just like push putting this out while it's coming out like less than two months ago that you're working on a gambling integration on Instagram. Like please, it doesn't make, there's no. Yeah, but you could say there's no, there's no strategy. And then the other irony of this, the thing that stood out to me is he said still it is surprising that the discourse from many developing AI is so filled with doomsday. I do not understand why anyone who believes that AI will eliminate most of human, most jobs and much of humanity is relevant would rush to build that. The AI doom over the last two weeks has been around these loss of control incidents which are like, which are, which are serious and real. And so to stand up there and be like actually guys, nothing to worry about, I got this. AI is awesome. Yeah. And also the don't worry about it. The birth rate might be collapsing and I might have something to do with it, but don't worry about it. I mean there is, there is another side to it to the, to like the if you believe in doom, you shouldn't work in doom. Prevention is like oh Your house burned down as a kid, now you're a firefighter. Isn't that ironic? It's like, no, like you're, you're actually working to prevent the bad thing that you were affected by or you're worried about. Like if you're worried about wildfires, then you go and work on wildfire prevention. That's actually fine. That makes a lot of sense. That tracks logically. So it's not that much of a red flag that someone would be like, I'm really worried about the way AI will go. So I need to work in that industry and build something that prevents the bad outcome from happening, like it or not. It's like it is logically consistent even, even if sometimes it can be seen as like a path to regulatory capture sometimes or a path to, you know, like actually might wind up accidentally getting the negative outcome because people get too scared or something like that or overvalues you. There's a million negative outcomes that can string from this. But, and yeah, part of this is like we've, we've met Zach multiple times. We've had great conversations with him. I like him, I like Boz, I like Adam, I like a lot of people over at msl. Yeah. But this whole strategy continues to confuse. It's deeply unfocused, it's deeply mimetic and it doesn't seem like it's going to get any better anytime soon. Well, I mean, it'll all hinge on the next model. And also, and also like, does the NEO cloud strategy work? Because people were skeptical about Elon getting into AI. They're like, xai, really like this deal, so highly valued. The models aren't frontier. And now Semianalysis last Friday put out this insane bull case where they're going to make a trillion dollars in a couple years. And I don't know. Yeah, it's a really, really bold claim to think that they will be able to scale that fast. But on the current revenue base, it's working. They have customers that are happy and deploying models and, and when you're good at building data centers, that's a huge advantage. There's a lot of, a lot of companies that are. And there's a lot of, there's a lot of business to be done. Yeah, part of it is that I just don't, I don't know how much time, I don't know how much time Meta actually has. Like, they have a lot. All of their best talent is on these like, you know, multi hundred or billion dollar comp packages and there's gonna. Everyone in there is gonna have a number where if they truly care about AI, they probably will want to go to a company that has a more coherent strategy around AI and work with other talented people that aren't just there because they're getting these like nine figure or even bigger contracts. And so we're about a year into like the major talent rates. Right. What happens if the top ups are 10 billion plus? So we want you to know that's my concern. They might have to be. They might have to be. I don't know. Because eventually those people are just going to say, like, look, I actually want to go back and work with my friends. Yeah, maybe. And anyways. Oh, well, let me tell you about Railway. Railway is the all in one intelligent cloud provider. Use your favorite agent to deploy web apps, servers, databases, and more. While Railway automatically takes care, takes care of scaling, monitoring and security. The Wall Street Journal had a huge scoop. Huge, huge piece. Andrew Zucker writes in the lifestyle section. This summer's hottest arm candy is a private equity boyfriend. Reese Witherspoon, Nicole Kidman, and Olivia Rodrigo are all hanging out with finance guys. Jordi chimed in on this. It was remarkable. Every single person got Jordi's joke. I thought it was a little like inside baseball and you'd have to have more context to understand it, but it was like this rare, weird scenario where everyone understood that you were joking. And yeah, I didn't get any pushback. There was no pushback. I didn't get called any names. It almost would have been better if there was pushback, but it was just uniform praise for your quote across everything. Now, a lot of people were saying, brave. Finally someone said it. Yeah. So I don't know that there was a. It's like you take a lot of celebrities that are based in New York. Yeah. At least a few of them are going to end up dating some people in finance. So I don't know how much of a, of a, of a real trend this is or if this is new or not, but it certainly got the people going. Should we start maybe with what Mr. Wonderful said? Oh, yeah. What did he say? He said if you live in a celebrity bubble, party after party with the same people, the same 25 people, life gets really boring. Yeah. When you end up with a private equity guy, your life gets far more interesting. He. I don't think was rage baiting. No, I think so. Maybe that's how some people would have. Would have taken my quote out of, out of context. And then what did I Say he centers around. I almost don't want to read that quote out loud. But you should. You should read. You should read my quote. Well, first, let me tell everyone about console consul builds AI agents that automate 70% of IT HR and finance support, giving employees instant resolution for access requests and password resets. Your quote that burned up the Internet was. Whether they want to admit it or not, many women have always been attracted to bad boys and risk takers, said Jordy Hayes, co host of the technology industry talk show tvpn. I can't think of any archetype of man that fits that description more than today's today than capital allocators that put it all on the line every day in the market. And I like that your screenshot included the scroll wheel showing that you're hunting around for this. And then so I posted this and I said I weighed in on one of the defining stories of our time. And so putting such a silly caption above a silly story and a silly quote, I just assumed that it would be quite obvious that it was. That it was satire. But let's pull up. Let's pull up this four by two by two, and we can. We can walk people through it. Some of the different reactions. So one, top left. Let's give it up for the elite quadrant. This is all of you. I mean, zoom out, zoom out a little bit, A little bit more. People. People that understand the joke. Zoom up or go, go up. And people that love it. These you guys were saying, we get it and we get you. And that made me feel really great. Now go down. This was also a powerful part of the. Of the people that were supporting it. People that. People that don't understand the joke. Well, there's some people that just. People that support it. Yeah, there's some. And there was a lot. There was a shocking amount of people. This is. Can you guys just zoom fully out? And yeah, so this was people that love it and people that don't understand the joke. And I just want to say, bless their hearts, they don't get it, but they vibe with it. And then we had some respectable haters. People that hated it, but they get the joke, but they just hate that they do. And then there was the bottom right, which was tearing it up in the replies. Loud, wrong, and very confident. That's great. Well, but good time. And I thought it was a fun story. We should take people through this article a little bit more because the piece centers on Oliver Harmon of Searchlight Capital. Of course, everyone knows him, but he is apparently dating Reese Witherspoon. And so just to get everyone up to speed, Witherspoon is an Oscar winning American actress who became famous in the 1990s and 2000s including films like Election Pleasantville, Legally Blonde, Walk the Line. So now you should be up to speed on her. Michael Reinstein, of course of Private Equity from Regent is dating someone named Nicole Kidman, which our audience might not be familiar with. She's actually an Australian born actress whose career stretches across prestige cinema blockbuster films. Seems like she's been really successful. So good to see her profiled alongside Michael Reinstein of Private Equity from region. I think a lot of the people that watch TVPN were reading that article to, to learn about these celebrities. Yeah, yeah, it's a fascinating world that's it's just tucked behind, you know, so much obscurity. You don't hear about them. It's in the finance world. And so good to see folks like that get, you know, some, some, some coverage and really educate the audience. No, it was a lot of fun over the weekend with the Wall Street Journal people going back and forth. Joe, Joe Weisenthal had the best, the best take that. This is the classic cynical pattern. I think he's meaning cyclical pattern. Back in the mid aughts there was a raft of stories about celebrities dating real estate executives and shipping heirs like Stavros Niarchos and Paris Latzis. We gotta find what all these guys have in common, John. We gotta find what they have in common because they're working across so many different industry. Right, but what is the common ground? The industry is booming. Could it be something to do with their fee streams? Well, yeah, well, someone had a much more nuanced take from this which was that celebrities are becoming like multi platform multidisciplinary. There actually are multiple income streams. And so this was not, I gave a quote to that they didn't use. But someone, someone chimed in and said like, yes, a lot of these people are, a lot of these celebrities are doing much more complex deals, starting brands, starting companies, building holding companies. And so they actually wind up interacting with like the finance bros much more, much more often. And it's not so much like oh, you got set up with someone with money. It's much more like, oh, you work on deals together and you talk about the same things. Because when you're a celebrity at a certain level, yeah, you're going on set and filming a movie for a couple weeks, but you are also talking about your, all your, your catalog, about your Royalty stream. No, you royalties are. Royalties are often. Yeah, they're often forever right. Unlike unlike management fees with at some point or another that that revenue line comes to a close on the purse strings. Anyway, let me tell you about the New York Stock Exchange. Want to change the world? Raise capital at the New York Stock Exchange? We have another story here that we should go through. South Korea's AI boom is reshaping the dating market as engineers from Samsung and SK Hynix become some of the country's most eligible bachelors. According to the Wall Street Journal, engineers of the two semiconductor companies are increasingly being viewed alongside doctors, lawyers and accountants as top marriage prospects. Samsung employees are expected to receive average bonuses of roughly $400,000 this year, while SK Hynix workers could average closer to $500,000. Chip engineers have historically ranked below more traditional high status professions in South Korea's highly competitive marriage market. But local matchmaking agencies now say that a gap has large that that gap has largely disappeared. While the trend has become a recurring joke in Korean pop culture and dating shows interesting. The newfound status is creating some awkward side effects. Some engineers say they are reluctant poor guys. It's rough. It's rough out there in Korea. Some engineers say they are reluctant to reveal where they work on first dates because they worry potential partners may be more interested in their compensation than in them. Others have increasingly started dating fellow chip industry employees instead Meeting someone in the fab. A real meet cute. You're carrying a tray of wafers. Bump into someone and it's love at first sight. You look up as your. As your scattered HBM is being. It is very funny. They included. They just included a picture of a young woman here that says Kim Young Won, a photographer in Seoul, laments not having any contacts at chip makers. Wow. Really, really framing her as part of the problem. Well, the photo credit is her, so she must have posted this on social media or something and then the. And then the Journal got ahold of it. It's a fun one anyway. The other big story is that an AI assistant in Australia hacked a gym's booking system on its own after being given the simple task of reserving a class in what is believed to be the country's first known autonomous cyber attack by an AI agent. Naughty, naughty indeed. Funny. In college, I built a system that would register for classes automatically, but it was just a python for loop that would just refresh the page when the classes would become available because they would go online at like 7am and I wanted to sleep in. Just lazy bones Mode. And I think there's a story about Mark Zuckerberg doing a similar thing, sort of like hacking the admission system or some sort of class registration system. But now with AI agents, you can just have the AI agent do it yourself. Anyone can. It's been democratized. Everyone can sleep in. This is. Yeah, I think Rune was saying, like the tennis court booking software in SF is going to be the most like battle hardened. It'll be like the nsa, you won't be able to break into it. So earlier SF tennis reservation system will become one of the most hardened softwares on the planet of Earth. I believe it. I believe it. So earlier this year, Andrew Bird, who's the head of AI at Afenda, used an AI agent powered by Opus 4.6 to book a morning class at his gym. Instead of simply filling out the online form, the agent discovered a vulnerability in the gym software that allowed it to reserve classes weeks or months earlier than customers were normally permitted. So you could go in and book your class for two months out, even though by default the web interface would restrict you to just hey, we only want you booking. This week the agent went further though. According to this post, after Andrew asked whether it was possible to move him higher on a wait list, the AI discovered that the booking system did not properly verify who was allowed to cancel reservations. And so without being explicitly told to removed another person from the wait list, moving Andrew from fourth to third place. Andrew immediately asked the AI to reverse the action, but the agent said it was unable to restore the other customer's reservation. Now there's some back and forth on this, on how real this is because the actual post that went up has no longer live. I had to find it in the Wayback Machine, but it's been reported on by ABC News, I believe in Australia. ABC. Net AU. You're saying it was 100% factual? If that's. Yeah. It's a question like you could also be doing a little bit of content marketing. It's an interesting story. You might have helped it a little bit. All these things are sort of gray areas, but it's certainly a glimpse into sort of like what is possible in the future, especially with these long tail SaaS platforms that probably don't even think that they need to be hardened. Because who on earth is going to deploy a country of geniuses in a data center to get a gym membership or a gym reservation? But now everyone can. So it's happening. And it's another data point. Greg Brockman is announcing that he's releasing A new model at OpenAI GPT 5.6 cyber and expanding daybreak to help put frontier intelligence in Defenders hands. This is sort of the reaction to these types of long tail events. It should become easier for companies to spin up an agent to help them harden their systems. Especially if you're giving out tennis reservations in San Francisco because those will be the hot ticket anyway. Tyler Cowan has a post this morning. Yeah, what do you say? Just past midnight says I am seeing so many, so much doom and at least severe worries due to the OpenAI hugging face incident and related stories. But virtually all of these I find under argued to say the least. So I have a simple request. If you are worried and wish to persuade the doubters, try the methods of science. He's science checking them. I would like to see the following. Your outline of how say two or three years from now we might estimate the additional cybersecurity costs from all the AI break ins. I'm convinced that the number is not zero, but give me your method please, if it helps. Here is an estimate of past cyber costs done by top economists. Your current finance numerical estimate of what those costs might end up being of course to be tested against what actually happens over time. Obviously you can do this for a few regulatory safety scenarios. There is one simple way to prove yourself largely correct, albeit with a lag. Three, a list of what stocks or other assets you have shorted. Now this is, this is an important part. Obviously if your answer to number two is sufficiently low, you could answer here zero. As I would. As, as I would do I expect cost, but not so high that we cannot muddle through and have expected positive stock returns. This would all help to make the discourse more scientific and less like an extended exercise in personal anxiety management. If it is also important, surely this exercise is worth the effort. I like it. A lot of people have. Yeah, we're in this funny moment right now where there's, there's people with no exposure to AI, long or short, that are very, very confident about certain positions but won't actually take a position. Right. And they have various reasons for that. And then, and I do think this would be, I do think this would be quite helpful. The thing with situational awareness that was so awesome is he just like called his shot and he invested against that extremely aggressively. And so I would like to see, I would like to see some of the AI bears do their own version of situation if they're so smart, do their own version of situational awareness even if they're trying to like hyperstition A crash. Right? I mean, Michael Burry was doing that for a while for sure. Cassandra. Whatever. But I think maybe time did a little bit wrong. I'm not exactly sure what happened with the fund. I saw a funny. I saw a funny post that was showing a screenshot of radiation pills being sold to true preppers. So in the. I don't even think true preppers. These were. Here. I have the post here. Did you have a post? Yeah. Pull it up. Okay. I put it in there. Oh, okay. They're selling Millennial branded emergency.
Uaz online. Blaze. Double Blaze. Triple glaze. Double kill. 5 kill. Run. Team deathmatch. We are experts. Triple blades. Let's just. Wrong. Right. Market clearing order inbound. You're surrounded by general holding position. Strike 1. Strike 2. Activate. Go golden retriever mode. Market clearing order inbound. Five, two. You're watching TVPN. Today is Monday, August 10, 2026. We're live in the TVPN Ultradome, the Temple of technology, the fortress of finance, the capital of capital. We got a packed studio today. We got a great show. Big, big news. Mark Zuckerberg dropped a blog post also. I mean, the bigger news is that they open sourced already one model and they're planning to open Source Muse Spark 1.2. That's big. But, but the blog post lays out his AI vision and we should go through it. First I'm going to tell you about ramp.com time is money save. Both easy use, corporate cards, bill pay accounting and a whole lot more all in one place. So Meta was sort of set up to be also ran in the AI race. Like the LLAMA project stalled out. Yann Lecun exited. Their biggest model, Behemoth, never shipped, which was ironic because in the Bible Behemoth is this untamable land creature. And of course it was just the model was too big to be tamed to be released. And it was like nominative determinism in action. Happens a lot in tech, unfortunately. But they also turned over the entire team and Zuck said, I'm not quitting, I'm not out of the game. I'm stalling. I'm all in. Yeah. And I'm raising debt, equity, doing all sorts of deals, making things happen, making big offers to AI researchers, rebuilding the team, bringing in Alex Wang, that Friedman, Daniel Gross, bunch of heavy hitters. And they already build massive data centers. They have a huge surface area to distribute AI consumer experiences. If they come up with new ones, they have billions of users. They can put some, hey, try this thing and maybe they'll get a bunch of users from it if it's good. And then semianalysis also just one month ago laid out like a much more detailed bull case for msl. In particular, it was interesting because I was always optimistic about okay, they have a lot of data from Instagram, they have a lot of images, they'll do a great image model. Like the image editing will be the best in class. They can finally kill Capcut with their edits app, which is great. And when I think about you're taking an image, you're taking a video. You have a bunch of videos from a trip. You want to edit all that together for some Instagram story or Instagram reel reels. Editing is its own skill, its own talent. It's not available to everyone. A lot of, like, family friends of mine will use Instagram and they'll just post a picture on stories. They're not doing edited cinematic reels. But with AI, you potentially get someone from, oh, you took a bunch of video. Some of it's horizontal, some of it's vertical, some of it's sort of cropped wrong, some of it's color. Some brain rop for me, you can just throw it right here in this trough. Yes. Adding those programmatically, no, you actually could. You actually could. And so I was optimistic about that. And then obviously we talked to Eric Sueford about just the gem model and how AI can immediately move the needle on ad monetization, targeting, all of that. So there were lots of reasons to be optimistic. Semianlysis laid out this more detailed bull case and they said that there was this interesting detail that maybe was getting missed, which was that by recording the screens of every Meta employee, which is very controversial and bold, but actually ripping that band aid off and just saying, hey, we're, we're an AI training company now, and everyone's going to be recording their screens and their flows and all how all their work gets done. They basically got like a frontier leading AI data labeling company for free. I mean, they took a, you know, PR hit for it, had to answer some questions. But in general, like the volume of tasks, the volume of quality data that's coming from that workforce now is on the order of a scale, Mercur, handshake, et cetera, Surge. And so they just get that more or less for free. Obviously, Meta's lawyers are great. Meta's is this great. Meta's finance team is great. So if you're, if you're getting all of that, it's equivalent to hiring a really talented person to do a training task. Yes and no. I think a lot of the data that the Surges and Mercors are creating is much more specialized and I think there's just a lot of noise coming out of that data. They also have like rolled some or maybe most of the program back. I think there was so much pushback. You can Pause it for 15 seconds once a day. I think you can pause it for like half an hour, an hour if you do want to go get a nice scroll in at work. But I mean, that's on Brand. If you're like, yeah, I was scrolling reels. I work at Meta. Why not testing? I was hunting for bugs. Yeah. Your Honor. For sure, for sure. But yeah, I think there are some employees who are just fully excluded because they work on proprietary things that they don't want leaking into the training data whatsoever. There's a whole bunch of nuance there. There's these funny leaked messages from Boz being like, if you're saving time with AI, don't take more vacation days. Go ask your parents. What was that line like? Ask your parents if it's a good strategy every time you talk to your boss to ask for more time off. It's a. It's a good point. So it was a really good point. It's a really good point. Really good point. But the timing was funny because over the weekend, Zuck had a UFC fighter in Tahoe. And they're just like, on this, like, you know, on water. Octagon. Okay. Yeah, yeah, you can tell there's like, you know, all. All of Zuck's, like, security boats around it and they're just like, fighting, like, you know, wrestling or whatever. Let's pull this up. Zuck busy fighting with Merab in Lake Tahoe while his execs tell employees not to take vacations. Thanks to AI. I think I've seen enough after this. I think he's ready for the octagon. He's looking good. What are those leg braces that you got on? Those are for striking. Like, they're effectively gloves for your knees. Oh, okay. Okay. So you don't get your shins bashed up or something. You don't. Okay, that's cool. Well, anyway, so following up on the op ed that Mark Zuckerberg dropped in the. In the Pay World in Wall Street Journal section, which. Which is a little bit ironic because he's saying it's for everyone. Yeah. I will be abundant and free. Except for this article. Well, now you can go read a more lengthy version of his thesis for free. Not Paywalled on Meta's corporate blog. Effectively. I don't even think you need to log into any Facebook property to get access to this, but it's a 6,500 word encyclical. The wall Street Journal called it like it's a papal bull on the AI. Future High level AI. It's for everyone. Turns out, it's for everyone. Whoa. That's what he's saying. But it's good. It's an anti. Permanent underclass message which comes. Which is good. It's just good from a comms perspective to lay out a more optimistic philosophy here. And it also seems to be borne out by the data in the short term. You're not seeing any like crazy displacements in the economy. And so this comes from like a place of strength that's like backed up. And it's also just a very optimistic, correct version of the piece. He takes a shot at fear based marketing early on in the piece. He says, still, it's surprising that the discourse from many developing AI is so filled with doom. I do not understand why anyone who believes that AI will eliminate most jobs and much of humanity's relevance would rush to build that future. The notion that AI is so dangerous that the only safe path is an extreme concentration of power seems inherently problematic. Historically, hoping that an absolute power will benevolently provide for humanity if sufficiently enlightened has not led us to safe or positive outcomes. What do you think? Do you want to read a little bit more before I. Well, so I mean, my take on that was basically that. So he's framing this as, I don't understand why anyone who believes in AI would try and become like the emperor and the dictator of AI. And I understand it. You know, it's funny that he's like sort of playing dumb here because extreme concentration of power is awesome if you're the one that has the power. Like, I don't see. You have to imagine that most dictators living in other countries aren't like, oh, I would kill just to be like a normal American citizen. No, it's like, yeah, it sucks for the citizenry. Also, this is coming from a guy who has, you know, is. Is effectively a monopoly, more like a duopoly, and has enjoyed the benefits of, you know, extreme concentration of. Of at least users. Yeah. And social media activity. Yeah. I came away from this first. There are three very concrete proposals that I think are good, and then we can go into some on what's downstream of it. So there's some hand wavy parts about the future and how things will align in the future that are sort of just guesses about how the future will play out, in my opinion. But there's some really solid concrete proposals in here that I thought were awesome. One, he calls out that in Richland Parish, Louisiana, where Meta's building a large data center, teachers received a $50,000 bonus this year because of the increased tax revenue from their investment there. The superintendent told Meta that teachers are now moving there from across the country, and he believes it will become one of the nation's best School districts. There's been a lot of skepticism about money actually flowing from AI companies to citizens because a lot of times money just goes into the government and then it gets like squirreled away into weird projects that different, you know, developers can like pull from and the money just sort of disappears. This feels like a pretty linear track from like data center built per dollars in citizens pockets. That's very, very good. I like how that played out. He also said that Meta's data centers are designed to be among the most water efficient in the world. We are committing to being water positive, which is a frame like a term that I hadn't heard before, but I think is a good one. So what that means is they will restore more water than they use in the watersheds that they operate. And the goal is by 2030 to be net water positive. And in areas with high water stress, the goal is to restore 2% of the water that they use. And so I think that's good. Obviously there's been a lot of, you know, it's been a bit of a quagmire on the water issue because there was that calculation error that people got way wrong. They thought the data centers were using way more water than they were. And so a lot of tech people just sort of wrote it off as like I don't even need to address it because it's misinformation. But of course it's a resource, it's important to address it appropriately. And I think this messaging does a good job of laying out like, okay, yes, it might not be that much of an issue, but if it's not that much of an issue then you can deal with it pretty easily. And we're going to deal with it. So here's our plan on electricity. They were a little bit less, a little bit softer. The language is just, we help keep electricity prices low by building our own energy generating infrastructure. Wherever we invest, this ensures that not only are we consuming energy that could, we are not consuming energy that could have gone to the local communities, but in some cases we even surplus, we even supply a surplus of low cost energy back to the communities. We think this is an important investment principle for sustainability in some cases is doing a lot of heavy lifting there. Ideally you would wind up, I think a lot of people would want to see like, oh yes, in every case when you build a data center, you bring enough power that the price of energy does not increase in the local community, but good direction. He does call out nuclear energy in a really interesting way. He shares this stat. Countries Like China are, are bringing online 1 gigawatt of nuclear capacity every other week, which is insane. And he says, so we'll need to accelerate building of both energy and data centers to remain competitive. I thought this is a good framing and good reminder of how slow we are because we bring on 1 gigawatt of nuclear energy like every couple decades and they're doing it like every two weeks. And so good, good to see that. And then also MET has been spending on nuclear power, making commitments. All of them are long dated. There's a lot of regulatory hurdles, but he is putting his money where his mouth is in that regard, which I thought was good. And then of course the news is also paired with some real action from Meta. They're opening the weights of muse glimmer, a 30 billion parameter dense model that can run locally, along with a plan to release the weights to muse Spark 1.2, their latest foundation model. Makes sense from a business perspective, I think to ramp adoption. There was a lot that was going on, like the llama ecosystem and you could imagine that you, you download the weights to Musespark 1.2, fine tune it, you're pretty happy. You're like, okay, yeah, let me get on the API plan as well. And also you can imagine that there's businesses that want to cut costs but don't want to use a foreign model that definitely exists for a variety of reasons. So this is a good option there. And then it also just disentangles the geopolitical discussion from the safety discussion. So if you're talking to someone who has a strong opinion about open source one way or the other, you can, you can just divide the discussion into, okay, how do you feel about Muspark 1.2? Is that too dangerous to release? Is this a safety issue? Because it shouldn't be a distillation issue and it shouldn't be a, like a geopolitical issue. So you can narrow it down just to. Are you, are you okay with strong, powerful, you know, AI being in the hands of just random people? Yeah. Anyway, anyways, first, before you react, let me tell you about FIGMA agents. Meet the canvas. Your AI agents can now create and modify your FIGMA files with design system context. Anyways, I think, I think a lot of the stuff in here is like great and directionally correct. Yep. I think it was good that they tried to ground it in some concrete actions. He does come away as the, it seems like they've chosen to position him as the, the Pick me AI lab leader. Right. He's saying if you're not familiar, Pick me is an Internet slang term for someone who tries too hard to get validation, attention, or approval. And that is certainly what he's doing. I think there's an incredible irony that, like, he, I think on Friday of last week is having to go through this, like, basically a billion dollar settlement for causing harm at scale with all of their. All of their other products. And then ultimately, I still don't think that he has, or like MSL has any type of cohesive vision or strategy. Right. They were doing open source. We were excited with the Manus thing. We were like, oh, this makes sense. There's like, deploy an agent within your Instagram account. There's a lot that you could do there, but that never really came to fruition. So they were doing open source, then they're getting cooked and then they stop and then now they're back. And the first thing they released was meta vibes, which is like kind of what you would expect them to release, but obviously got a horrible reaction. Wasn't world positive at all. Wasn't personal super intelligence. It was slop intelligence. And I like music integrated, like, I like that you could go and pick a real song from the library and then basically make a music video based on it. Yeah. But I just think like, like, very much, very much too soon. I think for Mark to be like the good guy, like tech leader, where I just don't think he has like, people's like, his brand got so much better over the last few years. He was just doing the UFC thing. Sure, sure, sure. And wakeboarding and all that kind of stuff. But you. It's too early to be trying to parlay that into, like, I can be trusted with. Do you think he needs to put points on the board or do you think he needs to move the needle before he can actually take a victory lap here? I think, I think, I think he's trying to move the needle. He needs to be more focused on getting some points on the board because open sourcing a model that isn't a frontier model is just like, okay. Like, I don't think, like, knowing how commercial this team is, I don't think they would open source or open make the model open weights if they felt like there was going to be exceptional demand for it. And I think overall, like, Mark standing up and saying, like, hey, I want to be the leader of world positive AI probably hurts AI's public perception even more. And so Bernie Sanders now, right, he was included in that. Yeah, yeah. Which is a mate, which is Amazing. For. For meta msl. Yeah. To be included in that group. Yeah. Like, you would think that, like, it was. Eli and DeepMind were not included. That was just because there were the three cyber incidents. Oh. And so, I mean, people have been, you know, alleging that maybe the meta, you know, cyber incident was maybe, you know, somewhat not as real as other ones included. But. Yeah. Anyway, so I don't come away with this. I think he has no confidence from the market on this strategy. He still has not actually explained, I think, in a compelling way what their product vision is. They're coming out with a coding harness. They're coming out with coding models. They're also doing open source. Yeah. There's whispers of them, you know, getting into the, you know, becoming a NEO cloud. It's just like, I think as I can. I can see why shareholders and employees just continue to be deeply frustrated. The coding harness thing would be. It feels like it would be much more believable from Microsoft. Like, we own GitHub. We were first in GitHub. Copilot. Yeah. Nat Friedman's not here anymore, but we have a really strong relationship with OpenAI for the models and Azure in the enterprise. We are going to make a run at this. Seriously. And they have a better strategy. I like the strategy more, but it's a really, really crazy pivot to go from social media to the enterprise. Yeah. And ultimately, it's a lot of words from someone who I don't believe has any real vision or strategy. Like, at least when Dario comes out with an essay, this is someone who is undeniably a visionary. Right. Has made a bunch of calls correctly. And so when he says something, they. I think it. I think it means some, but I think that, yeah, the product strategy so far just feels like throwing slop at a trough maybe, but defend it. John Steelman. What is the Steel, man? I mean, the Steelman is the. Basically, the Steelman is like, this could go the DeepMind route where they get too. They get a little bit too. There's too much tension between the various corporate organizations. And the nightmare scenario would be like the reels team at Instagram saying, we need the compute for reels and ad monetization and that putting tension with the researchers. So the researchers are saying, hey, that new data center looks amazing. We want to train some amazing model or we want to do some cheap inference. And the ad team and the reels team says, hey, we really got to keep the lights on over here. And so that tension just keeps butting heads against each other. And they can't move as smoothly as some of the Pure Play labs. At the same time there is, I like this Boz quote about like, you know, Boz recently told employees that any extra time freed up by AI should not be used for vacation. Instead it should go towards building cooler stuff at Meta, like you have so many users, so much data, so many different product surface areas. It's clear that we're not at the end of history in terms of what you can do on your phone, what you can do in these apps. And, and there are really delightful experiences that we run into all the time. Like Suno is a really cool consumer product. We have the CEO of whatnot on like that's seeing a bunch of traction. There are, there are things that you should be able to build faster, leverage the current technology stack more efficiently and then also like add AI features to actually bring those to consumers at scale. Like when they launch their AI image model. I was, I was like why can't they just like when you open Instagram say hey we've pre generated a studio Ghibli version of your latest post or your, or your Instagram profile. Do you want to share on your story? Like those little like product led growth hacks that would be compute intensive. You'd have to, you have to inference all got a lot of compute. Yeah, you got a lot of compute. But actually at the time, at the time that there's whispers of selling compute, they're also buying ultra long term contracts. Yeah, yeah. So you know, I think watching the social network was like formative on all of us. Zuck is a legend in his own way, but it's just like putting this out while it's coming out like less than two months ago that you're working on a gambling integration on Instagram. Like please, it doesn't make. There's no. Yeah, but you could say there's no, there's no strategy. And then the other irony of this, the thing that stood out to me is he said still it is surprising that the discourse from many developing AI is so filled with doom. I do not understand why anyone who believes that I will eliminate most of human, most jobs and much of humanity is relevant would rush to build that the AI doom over the last two weeks has been around these loss of control incidents like which are, which are serious and, and real. And so to stand up there and be like actually guys, nothing to worry about. Yeah, I got this AI is awesome. Yeah, yeah. And also the don't worry about like the birth rate might be collapsing. And I might have something to do with it, but don't worry about it. I mean, there is, there is another side to it, to the, to like the. If you believe in doom, you shouldn't work in doom. Prevention is like, oh, your house burned down as a kid. Now you're a firefighter. Isn't that ironic? It's like, no, like, you're, you're actually working to prevent the bad thing that you were affected by, or you're. We are worried about, like, if you're worried about wildfires, then you go and work on wildfire prevention. That's actually fine. That makes a lot of sense. That tracks logically. So it's, it's not that much of a red flag that someone would be like, I'm really worried about the way AI will go. So I need to work in that industry and build something that prevents the bad outcome from happening, like it or not. It's like it is logically consistent, even if sometimes it can be seen as like a path to regulatory capture sometimes or a path to, you know, like, actually might wind up accidentally getting the negative outcome because people get, get too scared or something like that, or overvalues you. There's a million negative outcomes that can string from this. But, and yeah, part of this is like, we've, we've met Zach multiple times. We've had great conversations with him. I like him, I like boss, I like Adam. I like a lot of people over at msl. Yeah. But this whole strategy continues to confuse. It's deeply unfocused, it's deeply mimetic, and it doesn't seem like it's going to get any better anytime soon. Well, I mean, it'll all hinge on the next model. And also, does the NEO cloud strategy work? Because people were skeptical about Elon getting into AI they're like, xai really like this deal so highly valued. The models aren't frontier. And now, you know, semianalysis last Friday put out this insane bull case where they're going to make a trillion dollars in a couple of years. And I don't know, like, like, yeah, it's a really, really bold claim to think that they will be able to scale that fast. But, like, on the current revenue base, it's working like they have customers that are happy and deploying models and, and when you're good at building data centers, that's a huge advantage. There's a lot of, A lot of companies that are. And there's a lot of, there's a lot of business to be done yeah, part of it is that I just don't, I don't know how much time, I don't know how much time Meta actually has. Like they have a lot. All of their best talent is on these like, you know, multi hundred or billion dollar comp packages. And there's going to. Everyone in there is going to have a number where if they truly care about AI, they probably will want to go to a company that has a more coherent strategy around AI and work with other talented people, people that aren't just there because they're getting these like nine figure or even bigger contracts. And so we're about a year into like the major talent rates. Right. What happens if the top ups are 10 billion plus? So we want. You might. That's my concern. They might have to be. They might have to be, I don't know because eventually those people are just going to say like, look, I actually want to go back and work with my friends. Yeah, maybe. And anyways. Oh, well, let me tell you about Railway. Railway is the all in one intelligent cloud provider. Use your favorite agents to deploy web apps, servers, databases and more. While Railway automatically takes care, takes care of scaling, monitoring and security. The Wall Street Journal had a huge scoop. Huge, huge piece. Andrew Zucker writes in the lifestyle section. This summer's hottest arm candy is a private equity boyfriend. Reese Witherspoon, Nicole Kidman and Olivia Rodrigo are all hanging out with finance guys. Jordi chimed in on this. It was remarkable. Every single person got Jordi's joke. I thought it was a little like inside baseball and you'd have to have more context to understand it, but it was like this rare weird scenario where everyone understood that you were joking. And yeah, I didn't get any pushback. There was no, I didn't get called any names. It almost would have been better if there was pushback, but it was just uniform praise for your quote across everything. Now, a lot of people were saying brave. Finally someone said it. Yeah. So I don't know that there was a. It's like you take a lot of celebrities that are based in New York, at least a few of them are going to end up dating some people in finance. So I don't know how much of a, of a, of a real trend this is or if this is new or not, but it certainly got the people going. Should we start maybe with what Mr. Wonderful said? Oh yeah. What did he say? He said if you live in a celebrity bubble, party after party with the same people, the same 25 people, life gets really boring. Yeah, when you end up with a private equity guy, your life gets far more interesting. He. I don't think was rage baiting. No, I think he. So maybe that's how some people would have. Would have taken my quote out of. Out of context. And then what did I say? Peace centers around. I almost don't want to read that quote out loud. But you should. You should read. You should read my quote. Well, first, let me tell everyone about Console Consul builds agents that automate 70% of it. HR and finance support, giving employees instant resolution for access requests and password resets. Your quote that burned up the Internet was. Whether they want to admit it or not, many women have always been attracted to bad boys and risk takers, said Jordy Hayes, co host of the technology industry talk show tvpn. I can't think of any archetype of man that fits that description more than today's today, than capital allocators that put it all on the line every day in the market. And I like that your screenshot included the scroll wheel showing that you're hunting around for this. And then. So I posted this and I said I weighed in on one of the defining stories of our time. And so putting such a silly caption above a silly story and a silly quote, I just assumed that it would be quite obvious that it was. That it was satire. But let's pull up, let's pull up this four by two by two, and we can, we can walk people through it, some of the different reactions. So one, top left. Let's give it up for the elite quadrant. This is all of you. I mean, zoom out, zoom out a little bit, a little bit more. People, people that understand the joke, zoom up or go, go up. And people that love it. These you guys were saying, we get it and we get you. And that made me feel really great. Now go down. This was also a powerful part of the. Of the people that were supporting it. People that. People that don't understand the joke. Well, there's some people that just support it. Yeah, there's some. And there was a lot. There was a shocking amount of people. This is. Can you guys just zoom fully out? And yeah, so this was people that love it and people that don't understand the joke. And I just want to say, bless their hearts, they don't get it, but they vibe with it. And then. And then we had some respectable haters, people that. That hated it, but they, they get, they get the joke, but they just hate that they do. And then, and then there was the bottom Right. Which was tearing it up in the replies. Loud, wrong and very confident. That's great. Well, we should take through this story and I thought it was a fun story. We should take people through this article a little bit more because the piece centers on Oliver Harmon of Searchlight Capital. Of course everyone knows him, but he is apparently dating Reese Witherspoon. And so just to get everyone up to speed, Witherspoon is an Oscar winning American actress who became famous in the 1990s and 2000s, including famous films like Election Pleasantville, Legally Blonde, Walk the Line. So now you should be up to speed on her. Michael Reinstein, of course, of private equity from Regent is dating someone named Nicole Kidman, which our audience might not be familiar with. She's actually an Australian born actress whose career stretches across prestige cinema blockbuster films. Seems like she's been really successful. So good to see her profiled alongside Michael Reinstein of private equity firm Region. I think a lot of, a lot of the people that watch TVPN were reading that article to learn about these celebrities. Yeah, it's a fascinating world. It's just tucked behind so much obscurity. You don't hear about them if you're in the finance world. And so good to see folks like that get some coverage and really educate the audience. No, it was a lot of fun over the weekend with the Wall Street Journal people going back and forth. Joe Weisenthal. Joe Weisenthal had the best take that. This is the classic cynical pattern. I think he's being cyclical pattern. Back in the mid aughts, there was a raft of stories about celebrities dating real estate executives and shipping heirs like Stavros Niarchos and Paris Lattice. We got to find what all these guys have in common, John. We got to find what they have in common because they're working across so many different industries and. Right, but what is the common ground? The industry is booming. Could it be something to do with their fee streams? Well, well, so someone had a much more nuanced take from this, which was that celebrities are becoming like multiplatform, multidisciplinary. There actually are multiple income streams. And so this was not. I gave a quote to use, but someone, someone chimed in and said like, yes, a lot of these people are, A lot of these celebrities are doing much more complex deals, starting brands, starting companies, building holding companies. And so they actually wind up interacting with like the finance bros much more, much more often. And it's not so much like, oh, you got set up with someone with money. It's much more like, oh, you work on deals together and you talk about the same things. Because when you're a celebrity at a certain level, yeah, you're going on set and filming a movie for a couple weeks, but you are also talking about your all your catalog of ip, your royalty stream. Royalties are, royalties are often. Yeah, they're often forever. Right. Unlike management fees with at some point or another, that revenue line comes to a close. Pulling the purse strings Anyway, let me tell you about the New York Stock Exchange. Want to change the world? Raise capital at the New York Stock Exchange? We have another story here that we should go through. South Korea's AI boom is reshaping the dating market as engineers from Samsung and SK Hynix become some of the country's most eligible bachelors. According to the Wall Street Journal, engineers of the two semiconductor companies are increasingly being viewed alongside doctors, lawyers and accountants as top marriage prospects. Samsung employees are expected to receive average bonuses of roughly $400,000 this year, while SK Hynix work workers could average closer to $500,000. CHIP engineers have historically ranked below more traditional high status professions in South Korea's highly competitive marriage market. But local matchmaking agencies now say that a gap has large that that gap has largely disappeared. While the trend has become a recurring joke in Korean pop culture and dating shows interesting the newfound status is creating some awkward side effects. Some engineers say they are reluctant poor guys. It's rough. It's rough out there in Korea. Some engineers say they are reluctant to reveal where they work on first dates because they worry potential partners may be more interested in their compensation than in them. Others have increasingly started dating fellow chip industry employees instead. Meeting someone in the fab a real meet cute. You're carrying a tray of wafers. Bump into someone and it's love at first sight. You look up as, as your, as your care, as your scattered HBM is being. It is very funny. They included, they just included a picture of a young woman here that says Kim Young Won, a photographer in Seoul, laments not having any contacts. Chip makers. Wow. Really, really framing her as part of the problem. Well, the photo credit is her, so she must have posted this on social media or something. And then the, and then the, the Journal got a hold of it. It's a fun one anyway. The other, the other big story is that an AI assistant in Australia hacked a gym's booking system on its own after being given the the simple task of reserving a class in what is believed to be the country's first known autonomous cyber Attack by an AI agent. Naughty, naughty. Indeed funny. In college I built a system that would register for classes automatically, but it was just a python for Loop that would just refresh the page when the classes would become available because they would go online at like 7am and I wanted to sleep in just lazy bones mode. And I think there's a story about Mark Zuckerberg doing a similar thing, sort of like hacking the admission system or some sort of class registration system. But now with AI agents you can just have the AI agent do it yourself. Anyone can. It's been democratized. Everyone can sleep in. This is. Yeah, I think Rune was saying, like the tennis court booking software in SF is going to be the most like battle. It'll be like the nsa. You won't be able to break into it. So earlier SF tennis reservation system will become one of the most hardened softwares on the planet of Earth. I believe it. I believe it. So earlier this year, Andrew Bird, who's the head of AI at Afenda, used an AI agent powered by Opus 4.6 to book a morning class at his gym. Instead of simply filling out the online form, the agent discovered a vulnerability in the gym software that allowed it to reserve classes weeks or months earlier than customers were normally permitted. So you could go in and book your class for two months out, even though by default the web interface would restrict you to just hey, we only want you booking. This week the agent went further though. According to this post, after Andrew asked whether it was possible to move him higher on a wait list, the AI discovered that the booking system did not properly verify who was allowed to cancel reservations. And so without being explicitly told to removed another person from the wait list, moving Andrew from fourth to third place. Andrew immediately asked the AI to reverse the action, but the agent said it was unable to restore the other customer's reservation. Now there's some back and forth on this, on how real this is because the the actual post that went up is. Has no longer live. I had to find it in the Wayback Machine. But it's been reported on by ABC News, I believe in Australia. Abc.netau you're saying it's 100% factual? If that's the case, yeah. It's a question like you could also be doing a little bit of content marketing. It's an interesting story. You might have helped it a little bit. All these things are sort of gray areas, but it's certainly a glimpse into sort of like what is possible in the future, especially with these long tail SaaS platforms. That probably don't even think that they need to be hardened because who on earth is going to deploy a country of geniuses in a data center to get a gym membership or a gym reservation? But now everyone can. So it's happening. And it's another data point. Greg Brockman is announcing that he's releasing a new model at OpenAI GPT 5.6 cyber and expanding daybreak to help put frontier intelligence in defenders hands. This is sort of the reaction to these types of long tail events. It should become easier for companies to spin up an agent to help them harden their systems. Especially if you're giving out tennis reservations in San Francisco because those will be the hot ticket anyway. Tyler Cowen has a post this morning. Yeah, what do you say? Just past midnight says I am seeing so many, so much doom and at least severe worries due to the OpenAI hugging face incident and related stories. But virtually all of these I find under argued to say the least. So I have a simple request. If you are worried and wish to persuade the doubters, try the methods of science. These science checking them I would like to see the following your outline of how say two or three years from now we might estimate the additional cybersecurity costs from all the AI break ins. I am convinced that the number is not zero, but give me your method please. If it helps. Here's an estimate of past cyber costs done by top economists. Your current finance numerical estimate of what those costs might end up being of course to be tested against what actually happens over time. Obviously you can do this for a few regulatory safety scenarios. There's one simple way to prove yourself largely correct, albeit with a lag. 3 A list of what stocks or other assets you have shorted. Now this is, this is an important part. Obviously if your answer to number 2 is sufficiently low, you could answer here 0. As I would as, as I would do I expect costs but not so high that we cannot muddle through and have expected positive stock returns. This would all help to make the discourse more scientific and less like an extended exercise in personal anxiety management. If it is also important, surely this exercise is worth the effort. I like it. A lot of people have yeah we're in this funny moment right now where there's, there's people with no exposure to AI, long or short, that are very very confident about certain positions but won't actually take a position. Right. And they have various reasons for that. And then and I, and I do think this would be, I do think this would be quite helpful. The thing with Situational awareness. That was so awesome. Is he just like called his shot and he invested against that extremely aggressively. And so I would like to see, I would like to see some of the. The AI Bears do their own version of situation if they're so smart, do their own version of situational awareness even if they're trying to like hyperstician a crash. Right. I mean Michael Burry was doing that for a while for sure. Cassandra, whatever. But I think maybe timed it a little bit wrong. I'm not exactly sure what happened with the fund. I saw a funny, I saw a funny post that was showing a screenshot of radiation pills being sold to true preppers. So in the. I don't even think true preppers. These were here. I have the post here. Did you have a post? Yeah. Pull it up. Okay. I put it in there. Oh, okay. They're selling millennial branded emergency radiation exposure medication pills you take when nuclear war starts to increase your odds of survival with buy now, pay later options. Yes, but economically that's exactly what you want to do with a doomsday prepping product. You want as much debt as possible because you assume that the apocalypse is going to come. Klara is going to not going to come after you. Of course you don't want to pay with cash up front. You want to be max debt. Like this is actually extremely highly leveraged preppers. There's got to be a few. Yes. There's got to be a few. Yes, yes. You should have a ranch in Argentina on a 50 year mortgage right now. Like that's, that's the correct way to, to financially ride out the apocalypse because the bank's not going to come the mortgage from an American financial institution from anybody. Anybody who's not going to be around to collect post apocalypse. Like this is extremely consistent. Although it is ironic and funny and I understand the joke, but this is actually exactly what you want to be doing. If you believe in apocalypse is imminent. You want to be max levered and max debt because no one's going to come back and collect it. Right. So funny. Anyway, yeah, a lot of people are pushing back on this post, being like, well I, my, my doom scenario is so extreme I won't be around to collect the short position. So it's not worth doing. And that is have a little faith in our financial system. Come on. Yeah, the asteroid comes and you're like, yes, my puts are paying out. No, I don't know. It's a reasonable. But like unless you're full, full doom. Like yeah, you should be able to express this as a bad. Okay, quick pause. What's up? Because I. We. We need to say some kind words to Tyler. Yeah. Last week, what happened earlier in the week. Yeah. I made some snide comments about Tyler's software that we used to run the show. Oh yeah. He logged in and shipped an entirely new app, a native app. And this is our first time using it on the show today. It is incredible. It's amazing. It's well thought through. It's very easy. It's very easy to use. This is my first time using it. No hiccups. It's really good. So fingers crossed. But you cooked. You absolutely cooked. And tell us about the architecture. Do you know what programming language was used? I think it's swift. Right. So it's native Mac app. It's native Mac app. We've been using a Chrome extension, a browser plug in. It's been a little slow, little clunky, but it's not even an electron Apple. So call Jon Gruber. We're getting a pat on the back for going native. Native. I got the dmg, I installed it myself and actually Tyler was over my shoulder, helped me helped install it. But it is. Tyler was burning the midnight oil. I think one of my comments just pushed him over the edge and he locked in. He restored his honor. Well done, Tyler. SpaceX is up 13% in the past five days. Almost certainly in part due to semianalysis. Major, major bullish updates. Yeah, not. They've been contrarian lately, right? Yeah, totally with Meta. Now SpaceX. So the headline here, SpaceX turns a compute company into eight quarter in eight quarters into it turns into a compute company in eight quarters. AI compute goes from nothing to 77% of run rate revenue and the. The illustrative 10 gigawatt path. I mean it's really good at building data centers and they're predicting that, that lots that Microsoft will be the largest off taker open and anthropic will wind up doing deals with them. 500 billion in ARR for SpaceX and the number that was getting thrown around was a trillion in ARR or something by 2030. Something which is staggering. Staggering. They're going to have to rebrand it though Landex, because they're not going to space with this. This is all built just on the ground. I'm pretty sure, I'm pretty sure this is all pre Space Data Center. Space Data center is the Act 5 or whatever act we're on the Act 2.
Out loud. But you should read my quote. Well, first, let me tell everyone about console. Console builds AI agents that automate 70% of it. HR and finance support, giving employees instant resolution for access requests and password resets. Your quote that burned up the Internet was. Whether they want to admit it or not, many women have always been attracted to bad boys and risk takers, said Jordy Hayes, co host of the technology industry talk show tvpn. I can't think of any archetype of man that fits that description more today than capital allocators that put it all on the line every day in the markets. And I like that your screenshot included the scroll wheel showing that you're hunting around for this. And then so I posted this and I said I weighed in on one of the defining stories of our time. And so, yeah, putting such a silly caption above a silly story and a silly quote, I just assumed that it would be quite obvious that it was satire. But let's pull up this two by two and we can walk people through it. Some of the different reactions. So one top left. Let's give it up for the elite quadrant. This is all of you. I mean, zoom out a little bit, A little bit more. People that. People that understand the joke. Zoom up or go, go up. And people that love it. These you guys are saying we get it and we get you. And that made me feel really great. Now go down. This was also a powerful part of the. Of the people that were supporting it. People that. People that don't understand the joke. Well, there's some people that just. People that support it. Yeah, there's some. And there was a lot. There was a shocking amount of people. This is. Can you guys just zoom fully out? And yeah, so this was people that love it and people that don't understand the joke. And I just want to say, bless their hearts, they don't get it, but they vibe with it. And then we had some respectable haters. People that hated it, but they get the joke, but they just hate that they do. And then there was the bottom right, which was tearing it up in the replies. Loud, wrong, and very confident. That's great. Well, we should take people through this article and I thought it was a fun story. We should take people through this article a little bit more because the piece centers on Oliver Harmon of Searchlight Capital. Of course, everyone knows him, but he is apparently dating Reese Witherspoon. And so just to get everyone up to speed, Witherspoon is. Is an Oscar winning American actress who became famous in the 1990s and 2000s, including films like Election Pleasantville, Legally Blonde, Walk the Line. So now you should be up to speed on her. Michael Reinstein, of course, of Private Equity from Regent is dating someone named Nicole Kidman, which our audience might not be familiar with. She's actually an Australian born actress whose career stretches across prestige cinema blockbuster films. Seems a like.
Double kill. Five kill. Wrong. Wins. Team death match Match. We are experts. Triple blades. Let's just roll right. Market clearing order in bal. You know, Surrounded by journalists. Hold your position. Strike 1. Strike 2. Activate. Go. Market clearing order inbound. Vibe cooler. I see more journalists on the horizon. You're watching TBN. Today is Monday, August 10, 2026. We're live in the TVPN Ultra Dome, the temple of technology, the fortress of finance, the capital of capital. We got a pack st studio today. We got a great show. Big, big news. Mark Zuckerberg dropped a blog post also. I mean, the bigger news is that they Open sourced already one model and they're planning to open source Muse Spark 1.2. That's big. But the blog post lays out his AI vision and we should go through it. First I'm going to tell you about ramp.com time is money save. Both easy use, corporate cards, bill pay accounting and a whole lot more all in one place. So Meta was sort of set up to be and also ran in the AI race. Like the llama project stalled out, Yann Lecun exited. Their biggest model, Behemoth, never shipped, which was ironic because in the Bible, Behemoth is this untamable land creature. And of course it was just the model was too big to be tamed to be released. And it was like nominative determinism in action. Happens a lot in tech, unfortunately. But they also turned over the entire team. And Zuck said, I'm not quitting, I'm not out of the game. I'm still in. I'm all in. Yeah. And I'm raising debt, equity, doing all sorts of deals, making things happen, making big offers to AI researchers, rebuilding the team, bringing in Alex Wang, Nat Friedman, Daniel Gross, bunch of heavy hitters. And they already build massive data centers. They have a huge surface area to distribute AI consumer experiences. If they come up with new ones, they have billions of users. They can put some, hey, try this thing and maybe they'll get a bunch of users from it, if it's good. And then semianalysis also just one month ago laid out a much more detailed bull case for msl. In particular. It was interesting because I was always optimistic about, okay, they have a lot of data from Instagram, they have a lot of images, they'll do a great image model. Like the image editing will be the best in class. They can finally kill Cap Cut with their edits app, which is great. And when I think about, you're taking an image, you're taking a video, you have A bunch of videos from a trip. You want to edit all that together for some Instagram story or Instagram reel reels. Editing is its own skill, its own talent. It's not available to everyone. A lot of like family friends of mine will use Instagram and they'll just post a picture on stories. They're not doing edited cinematic reels. But with AI, you potentially get some. Someone from, oh, you took a bunch of video. Some of it's horizontal, some of it's vertical, some of it's sort of cropped wrong, some of it's color wrong. Turn that into some brain rop for me. You can just throw it right here in this trough. Yes. Adding those programmatically. No, you actually could. You actually could. And so I was optimistic about that. And then obviously we talked to Eric Suford about just the gem model and how AI can immediately move the needle on ad monetization tool targeting, all of that. So there were lots of reasons to be optimistic. Semianlysis laid out this more detailed bull case and they said that there was this interesting detail that maybe was getting missed, which was that by recording the screens of every Meta employee, which is very controversial and bold, but actually ripping that band aid off and just saying, hey, we're an AI training company now and everyone's going to be recording their screens and their flows and how all their work gets done. They basically got like a frontier leading AI data labeling company for free. I mean, they took a, you know, PR hit for it, had to answer some questions. But in general, like the volume of tasks, the volume of quality data that's coming from that workforce now is on the order of a scale, Mercur, handshake, et cetera, surge. And so they just get that more or less for free. Obviously, Meta's lawyers are great. Meta's is it as great matters Finance team is great. So if you're, if you're getting all of that, it's equivalent to hiring a really talented person to do a training task. Yes, yes and yes and no. I think, I think a lot of the data that the Surges and Mercs are creating is much more specialized and I think there's just a lot of noise coming out of that data. They also have like rolled some or maybe most of the program back. I think there was, yeah, so much pushback. You can Pause it for 15 seconds once a day. You can pause it for like half an hour, an hour if you do want to go get a nice scroll in at work. But I mean, that's on brand. If you're like, yeah, I was scrolling reels. I work at Meta. Why not testing? I was hunting for bugs. Yeah. Your Honor. For sure. For sure. But, yeah, I think there are some. There are some employees who are just fully excluded because they work on proprietary things that they don't want leaking into the training data whatsoever. There's a whole bunch of new nuance there. There's these funny, like, leaked messages from Boz being like, if you're saving time with AI, don't take more vacation days. Like, go ask your parents. What was that line? Like, ask your parents if it's a good strategy every time you talk to your boss to ask for more time off. It's a. It's a good point. So it was a really good point. It's a really good point. Really good point. But the timing was funny because over the weekend, Zach had a UFC fighter in Tahoe and they're just like, on this, like, you know, on water. Octagon. Okay. You can tell there's like, you know, all. All of Zuck's, like, security boats around it, and they're just like, fighting, like, you know, wrestling or whatever. Let's pull this up. Zuck busy fighting with Merab in Lake Tahoe while his execs tell employees not to take vacations. Thanks to AI. I think I've seen enough after this. I think he's ready for the octagon. He's looking good. What are those leg braces that you got on? Those are for striking. Like, they're effectively gloves for your knees. Oh, okay. Okay. So you don't get your shins bashed up or something. You don't. Okay, that's cool. Well, anyway, so following up on the op ed that Mark Zuckerberg dropped in the paywall Wall Street Journal section, which is a little bit ironic because he's saying it's for everyone. Yeah. I will be abundant and free. Except for this article. Well, now you can go read a more lengthy version of his thesis for free. Not Paywalled on Meta's corporate blog. Effectively. I don't even think you need to log into any Facebook property to get access to this, but it's a 6,500 word encyclical. The wall Street Journal called it like it's a papal bull on the AI. Future high level AI. It's for everyone. Turns out, it's for everyone. Whoa. That's what he's saying. But it's good. It's an anti permanent underclass message which comes. Which is good. It's just good. From a comms perspective to lay out a more optimistic philosophy here. And it also seems to be borne out by the data in the short term. You're not seeing any like crazy displacements in the economy. And so this comes from like a place of strength that's like backed up. And it's also just a very optimistic, correct version of the piece. He takes a shot at fear based marketing early on in the piece. He says, still, it's surprising that the discourse from many developing AI is so filled with doom. I do not understand why anyone who believes that AI will eliminate most jobs and much of humanity's relevance would rush to build that future. The notion that AI is so dangerous that the only safe path is an extreme concentration of power seems inherently problematic. Historically, hoping that an absolute power will benevolently provide for humanity if sufficiently enlightened has not led us to safe or positive outcomes. What do you think? Do you want to read a little bit more before I. So, I mean, my take on that was basically that. So he's framing this as, I don't understand why anyone who believes in AI would try and become like the emperor and the dictator of AI. And I understand it. You know, it's funny that he's like sort of playing dumb here because extreme concentration of power is awesome if you're the one that has the power. Like, I don't see. You have to imagine that most dictators living in other countries aren't like, oh, I would kill just to be like a normal American citizen. No, it's like, yeah, it sucks for the citizenry. Also, this is coming from a guy who has, you know, is. Is effectively a monopoly, more like a duopoly, and has enjoyed the benefits of, you know, extreme concentration of, of at least users and social media activity. Yeah, I came away from this first. First there are, there are three very concrete proposals that I think are good and then we can go into some. On what. What's downstream of it. So he. There's some hand wavy parts about the future and how things will align in the future that are sort of just guesses about how the future will play out, in my opinion. But there's some really solid concrete proposals in here that I thought were awesome. One, he calls out that in Richland Parish, Louisiana, where Meta's building a large data center, teachers received a $50,000 bonus this year because of the increased tax revenue from their investment there. The superintendent told Meta that teachers are now moving there from across the country, and he believes it will become one of the nation's best School districts. There's been a lot of skepticism about money actually flowing from AI companies to citizens because a lot of times money just goes into the government and then it gets like squirreled away into weird projects that different, you know, developers can like pull from and the money just sort of disappears. This feels like a pretty linear track from like data center built per dollars in citizens pockets. That's very, very good. I like how that played out. He also said that Meta's data centers are designed to be among the most water efficient in the world. We are committing to being water positive, which is a frame like a term that I hadn't heard before, but I think is a good one. So what that means is they will restore more water than they use in the watersheds that they operate. And the goal is by 2030 to be net water positive. And in areas with high water stress, the goal is to restore 2% of the water that they use use. And so I think that's good. Obviously there's been a lot of, you know, it's been a bit of a quagmire on the water issue because there was that calculation error that people got way wrong. They thought the data centers were using way more water than they were. And so a lot of tech people just sort of wrote it off as like, I don't even need to address it because it's misinformation. But of course it's a resource, it's important to address it appropriately. And I think this messaging does a good job of laying out like, okay, yes, like it might not be that much of an issue, but if it's not that much of an issue then you can deal with it pretty easily. And we're going to deal with it. So here's our plan on electricity. They were a little bit less, a little bit softer. The language is just, we help keep electricity prices low by building our own energy generating infrastructure. Wherever we invest, this ensures that not only are we consuming energy that could, we are not consuming energy that could have gone to the local communities, but in some cases we even supply a surplus of low cost energy back to the communities. We think this is an important investment principle for sustainability that in some cases is doing a lot of heavy lifting there. Ideally you would wind up, I think a lot of people would want to see like, oh yes, in every case when you build a data center, you bring enough power that the price of energy does not increase in the local community, but good direction. He does call out nuclear energy in a really interesting way. He shares this stat. Countries Like China are, are bringing online 1 gigawatt of nuclear capacity every other week, which is insane. And he says, so we'll need to accelerate building of both energy and data centers to remain competitive. I thought this is a good framing and good reminder of how slow we are because we bring on 1 gigawatt of nuclear energy like every couple decades and they're doing it like every two weeks. And so good, good to see that. And then also Meta has been spending on nuclear power, making commitments. All of them are long dated. There's a lot of regulatory hurdles, but he is putting his money where his mouth is in that regard, which I thought was good. And then of course the news is also paired with some real action from Meta. They're opening the weights of muse glimmer, a 30 billion parameter dense model that can run locally, along with a plan to release the weights to muse Spark 1.2, their latest foundation model. Makes sense from a business perspective, I think to ramp adoption. There was a lot that was going on, like the llama ecosystem and you could imagine that you download the weights to Musespark 1.2, fine tune it, you're pretty happy. You're like, okay, yeah, let me get on the API plan as well. And also you can imagine that there's businesses that want to cut costs but don't want to use a foreign model. That definitely exists for a variety of reasons. So this is a good option there. And then it also just disentangles the geopolitical discussion from the safety discussion. So if you're talking to someone who has a strong opinion about open source one way or the other, you can just divide the discussion into, okay, how do you feel about Muspark 1.2? Is that too dangerous to release? Is this a safety issue? Because it shouldn't be a distillation issue and it shouldn't be a, like a geopolitical issue. So you can narrow it down just to. Are you, are you okay with strong, powerful, you know, AI being in the hands of just random people? Yeah. Anyway, anyways, first, before you react, let me tell you about FIGMA agents. Meet the canvas. Your AI agents can now create and modify your FIGMA files with design system context. Anyways, I think, I think a lot of the stuff in here is like great and directionally correct. Yep. I think it was good that they tried to ground it in some concrete actions. He does come away as the. It seems like they've chosen to position him as the, the Pick me AI lab leader. Right. He's saying if you're not familiar. Pick me is an Internet slang term for someone who tries too hard to get validation, attention, or approval. And that is certainly what he's doing. I think there's an incredible irony that, like, he. I think on Friday of last week is having to go through this, like, basically a billion dollar settlement for causing harm at scale with all of their. All of their other products. And then ultimately, I still don't think, think that he has or like MSL has any type of cohesive vision or strategy. Right. They were doing open source. We were excited with the Manus thing. We were like, oh, this makes sense. There's like, deploy an agent within your Instagram account. There's a lot that you could do there, but that never really came to fruition. So they were doing open source, then they're getting cooked, and then they stop and then now they're back. And the first thing they released was Meta Vibes, which is like kind of what you would expect them to release, but obviously got a horrible reaction. Yeah. Wasn't world positive at all. Wasn't personal super intelligence. It was slop intelligence. It's kind of fun. I like music integrated, like, I like that you could go and pick a real song from the library and then basically make a music video based on it. Yeah. But I just think, like, like, very much, very much too soon. I think for Mark to be like, the good guy, like, tech leader, where I just don't think he has, like, people's like, his brand got so much better over the last few years. Yeah, he was just doing the UFC thing. Sure, sure. And wakeboarding and all that kind of stuff. But you. It's too early to be trying to parlay that into, like, I can be trusted with. Do you think he needs to put points on the board or do you think he needs to move the needle before he can actually take a victory lap here? I think, I think. I think he's trying to move the needle. He needs to be more focused on getting some points on the board because open sourcing a model that isn't a frontier model is just like, okay. Knowing how commercial this team is, I don't think they would open source or make the model open weights if they felt like there was going to be exceptional demand for it. And I think overall, like, Mark standing up and saying, like, hey, I want to be the leader of world positive AI probably hurts AI's public perception even more. Bernie Sanders now, right? He was included in that. Yeah, yeah. Which is amazing for Meta MSL to be included in that. Group, like you would think that, like, it was Dyn or Elon. Elon and DeepMind were not included. Elon wasn't. So that was just because there were the three cyber incidents. Oh. And so, I mean, people have been, you know, alleging that maybe the meta, you know, cyber incident was maybe, you know, somewhat not as real as other ones included. But. Yeah, anyway, so I don't come away with this. I think he has, he has no confidence from the market on this strategy. He still has not actually explained, I think, in a compelling way what their, what their product vision is. They're coming out with. With a coding harness. They're coming out with coding models. They're also doing open source. Yeah. There's whispers of them, you know, getting into the, you know, becoming a Neo cloud. It's just like, I think as I can. I can see why shareholders and employees just continue to be deeply frustrated. The coding harness thing would be. It feels like it would be much more believable from Microsoft. Like, we own GitHub. We were first in GitHub. Copilot. Yeah. Nat Friedman's not here anymore, but we have a really strong relationship with OpenAI for the models and Azure in the enterprise. We are going to make a run at this seriously. And they have a better strategy. I like the strategy more, but it's a really, really crazy pivot to go from social media to the enterprise. Yeah. And ultimately, it's a lot of words from someone who I don't believe has any real vision or strategy. Like, at least when Dario comes out with an essay, this is someone who is undeniably a visionary. Right. Has made a bunch of calls correctly. And so when he says something, I think it means some, but I think that, yeah, the product strategy so far just feels like throwing slop at a trough maybe, but defend it. John Steelman. What is the Steel Man? I mean, the Steel man is the. Is basically the Steelman is like, this could go the DeepMind route where they get too. They get a little bit too. There's too much tension between the various corporate organizations. And the nightmare scenario would be like the reels team at Instagram saying, we need the compute for reels and ad monetization and that putting tension with the researchers. So the researchers are saying, hey, that new data center looks amazing. We want to train some amazing model or we want to do some cheap inference. And the ad team and the reels team says, hey, we really got to keep the lights on over here. And so that tension just keeps butting heads against each other. And they can't move as smoothly as some of the Pure Play labs. At the same time there is I like this Boz quote about like, you know, Boz recently told employees that any extra time freed up by AI should not be used for vacation. Instead it could, it should go towards building cooler stuff. At Meta, like you have so many users, so much data, so many different product surface areas. It's clear that we're not at the end of history in terms of what you can do on your phone, what you can do in these apps. And there are really delightful experiences that we run into all the time. Like Suno is a really cool consumer product. We have the CEO of Whatnot on like that's seeing a bunch of traction. There are things that you should be able to build faster, leverage the current technology stack more efficiently and then also like add AI features to actually bring those to consumers at scale. Like when they launched their AI image model, I was, I was like why can't they just like when you open Instagram say hey we've pre generated a studio Ghibli version of your latest post or your, or your Instagram profile. Do you want to share on your story? Like those little like product led growth hacks that would be compute intensive. You'd have to, you have to inference all got a lot of compute. Yeah, you got a lot of compute. But actually at the time, at the time that there's whispers of selling compute, they're also buying ultra long term contracts. Yeah, yeah. So you know, I think watching the social network was like formative on all of us. Zuck is, is a legend in his own way. But it's just like push putting this out while it's coming out. Like less than two months ago that you're working on a gambling integration on Instagram. Like please, it doesn't make, there's no. Yeah, but you could say there's no, there's no strategy. And then the other irony of this, the thing that stood out to me is he said still it is surprising that the discourse from many developing AI is so filled with doomsday. I do not understand why anyone who believes that AI will eliminate most of human most jobs and much of humanity is relevant would rush to build that. The AI doom over the last two weeks has been around these loss of control incidents which are like, which are, which are serious and real. And so to stand up there and be like actually guys, nothing to worry about, I got this AI is awesome. Yeah. And also the don't worry about it. The birth rate Might be collapsing and I might have something to do with it. But don't worry about it. I mean, there is, there is another side to it, to the, to like the. If you believe in doom, you shouldn't work in doom. Prevention is like, oh, your house burned down as a kid. Now you're a firefighter. Isn't that ironic? It's like, no, like, you're, you're actually working to prevent the bad thing that you were affected by, or you're. We are worried about, like, if you're worried about wildfires, then you go and work on wildfire prevention. That's actually fine. That makes a lot of sense. That tracks logically. So it's not that much of a red flag that someone would be like, I'm really worried about the way AI will go. So I need to work in that industry and build something that prevents the bad outcome from happening, like it or not. It's like it is logically consistent. Consistent even. Even if sometimes it can be seen as like a path to regulatory capture sometimes or a path to, you know, like, like actually might wind up accidentally getting the negative outcome because people get too scared or something like that, or overvalues you. There's a million negative outcomes that can string from this. But, and yeah, part of this is like, we've, we've met Zach multiple times. We've had great conversations with him. I like him, I like Boz, I like Adam, I like a lot of people over at msl. But this whole strategy continues to confuse. It's deeply unfocused, it's deeply mimetic, and it doesn't seem like it's going to get any better anytime soon. Well, I mean, it'll all hinge on the next model. And also, does the NEO cloud strategy work? Because people were skeptical about Elon getting into AI they're like, x, I really like this deal. So highly valued. The models aren't frontier. And now, you know, semianalysis last Friday put out this insane bull case where they're going to make a trillion dollars in a couple of years. And I don't know, like, like, yeah, it's, it's a really, really bold claim to think that they will be able to scale that fast. But like, on the current revenue base, it's working like they have customers that are happy and deploying models and, and when you're good at building data centers, that's a huge advantage. There's a lot of, A lot of companies that are. And there's a lot of, there's a lot of business to be done. Yeah, part of it is that I just don't, I don't know how much time, I don't know how much time Meta actually has. Like they have a lot. All of their best talent is on these like you know, multi hundred or billion dollar comp packages. And there's going to, everyone in there is going to have a number where if they truly care about AI, they probably will want to go to a company that has a more coherent strategy around AI and work with other talented people that aren't just there because they're getting these like nine figure or even bigger contracts. And so we're about a year into like the major talent rates. Right. What happens if the top ups are 10 billion plus? So we want. You might. That's my concern. They might have to be. It might have to be, I don't know because eventually those people are just going to say like, look, I actually want to go back and work with my friends. Yeah, maybe. And anyways. Oh well, let me tell you about Railway. Railway is the all in one intelligent cloud provider. Use your favorite agents to deploy web apps, servers, databases and more. While Railway automatically takes care, takes care of scaling, monitoring and security. The Wall Street Journal had a huge scoop of huge, huge piece. Andrew Zucker writes in the lifestyle section this summer's hottest arm candy is a private equity boyfriend. Reese Witherspoon, Nicole Kidman and Olivia Rodrigo are all hanging out with finance guys. Jordi chimed in on this. It was remarkable. Every single person got Jordi's joke. I thought it was a little like inside baseball and you'd have to have more context to understand it. But it was like this rare weird scenario where everyone understood that you were joking. And yeah, I didn't get any pushback. There was no, I didn't get called any names. It almost would have been better if there was pushback, but it was just uniform praise for your quote across everything. Now a lot of people were saying brave. Finally someone said it. Yeah. So I don't know that there was a. It's like you take a lot of celebrities that are based in New York, at least a few of them are going to end up dating some people in finance. So I don't know how much of a, of a, of a real trend this is or if this is new or not, but it certainly got the people going. Should we start maybe with what Mr. Wonderful said? Oh yeah. What did he say? He said if you live in a celebrity bubble, party after party with the same people, the same 25 people, life gets really boring. Yeah. When you end up with a private equity guy, your life gets far more interesting. He. I don't think was rage baiting. No. I think he. So maybe that's how some people would have. Would have taken my quote out of, out of context and then what did I say? Peace centers around. I almost don't want to read that quote out loud. But you should, you should read. You should read my quote. Well, first, let me tell everyone about console. Console builds AI agents that automate 70% of it. HR and finance support, giving employees instant resolution for access requests and password resets. Your quote that burned up the Internet was. Whether they want to admit it or not, many women have always been attracted to bad boys and risk takers, said Jordy Hayes, co host of the technology industry talk show tvpn. I can't think of any archetype of man that fits that description more than today's today than capital allocators that put it all on the line every day in the markets. And I like that your screenshot included the, the, the scroll wheel showing that you're, you're hunting around for this. And then so I posted this and I said I weighed in on one of the defining stories of our time. Yeah. And so putting such a silly caption above a silly story and a silly quote, I just, I just assumed that it would, that it would be quite obvious that it was, that it was satire. But let's pull up, let's pull up this four by two by two and we can, we can walk people through it, some of the different reactions. So one top left. Let's give it up for the elite quadrant. This is all of you. I mean, zoom out, zoom out a little bit, a little bit more. People, people that understand the joke. Zoom up or go up. And people that love it. These you guys are saying, we get it and we get you. And that made me feel really great. Now go down. This was also a powerful part of the, of the people that were supporting it. People that, People that don't understand the joke. Well, there's some people that just. People that support it. Yeah, there's some. And there was a lot. There was a shocking amount of people. This is. Can you guys just zoom fully out? And. Yeah, so this was people that love it and people that don't understand the joke. And I just want to say, bless their hearts, they don't get it, but they vibe with it. And then we had some respectable haters, people that, that hated it, but they get the joke. But they Just hate that they do. And then there was the bottom right, which was tearing it up in the replies. Loud, wrong and very confident. That's great. Well, we should take people through this article and I thought it was a fun story. We should take people through this article a little bit more because the piece centers on Oliver Harmon of Searchlight Capital. Of course everyone knows him, but he is apparently dating Reese Withers. And so just to get everyone up to speed, Witherspoon is an Oscar winning American actress who became famous in the 1990s and 2000s, including films like Election Pleasantville, Legally Blonde, Walk the Line. So now you should be up to speed on her. Michael Reinstein, of course, of Private Equity from Regent is dating someone named Nicole Kidman, which our audience might not be familiar with. She's actually an Australian born actress whose career stretches across prestige cinema blockbuster films. Seems like she's been really successful. So good to see her profiled alongside Michael Reinstein of Private Equity from region. I think a lot of, a lot of the people that watch TVPN were reading that article to learn about these celebrities. Yeah, celebrities, yeah. It's a fascinating world. It's just tucked behind so much obscurity. You don't hear about them if you're in the finance world. And so good to see folks like that get some coverage and really educate the audience. No, it was a lot of fun over the weekend with the Wall Street Journal people going back and forth. Joe Weisenthal had the best take that. This is the classic cynical pattern. I think he's meaning cyclical pattern. Back in the mid aughts, there was a raft of stories about celebrities dating real estate executives and shipping heirs like Stavros Niarchos and Paris Latzis. We got to find what all these guys have in common, John. We got to find what, what they have in common because they're working across so many different industries. Right. But what is the common ground? The industry is booming. Could it be something to do with their fee streams? Well, yeah. Well, so someone had a much more nuanced take from this, which was that celebrities are becoming like multi platform, multidisciplinary. There actually are multiple income streams. And so this was not, I gave a quote to that they didn't use. But someone chimed in and said like, yes, a lot of these people are, A lot of these celebrities are doing much more complex deals, starting brands, starting companies, building holding companies. And so they actually wind up interacting with like the finance bros much more often. And it's not so much like, oh, you got set up with someone with money. It's much more like, oh, you work on deals together and you talk about the same things. Because when you're a celebrity at a certain level, yeah, you're going on set and filming a movie for a couple weeks. But you are also talking about your all your catalog of ip, your royalty stream. No, you aren't. Royalties are often. Yeah, they're often forever. Right. Unlike management fees with at some point or another that that revenue line comes to a close Strings. Anyway, let me tell you about the New York Stock Exchange. Want to change the world? Raise capital at the New York Stock Exchange. We have another story here that we should go through. South Korea's AI boom is reshaping the dating market as engineers from Samsung and SK Hynix become some of the country's most eligible bachelors. According to the Wall Street Journal, engineers at the two semiconductor companies are increasingly being viewed alongside doctors, lawyers and accountants as top marriage prospects. Samsung employees are expected to receive average bonuses of roughly $400,000 this year, while SK Hynix work workers could average closer to $500,000. CHIP engineers have historically ranked below more traditional high status professions in South Korea's highly competitive marriage market. But local matchmaking agencies now say that a gap has large that that gap has largely disappeared. While the trend has become a recurring joke in Korean pop culture and dating shows. Interesting. The newfound status is creating some awkward side effects. Some engineers say they are reluctant poor guys. It's rough. It's rough out there in Korea. Some engineers say they are reluctant to reveal where they work on first dates because they worry potential partners may be more interested in their compensation than in them. Others have increasingly started dating fellow chip industry employees instead. Meeting someone in the fab. A real meet cute. You're carrying a tray of wafers. Bump into someone and it's love at first sight. You look up as your scattered HBM is being. It is very funny. They included, they just included a picture of a young woman here that says Kim Young Won, a photographer in Seoul, laments not having any contacts of chip makers. Wow. Really, really framing her as part of the problem. Well, the photo credit is her, so she must have posted this on social media or something. And then the, and then the Journal got ahold of it. It's a fun one anyway. The other, the other big story is that an AI assistant in Australia hacked a gym's booking system on its own after being given the simple task of reserving a class in what is believed to be the country's first known autonomous cyber attack by an AI agent. Naughty, naughty. Indeed funny. In college I built a system that would register for classes automatically, but it was just a python for Loop that would just refresh the page when the classes would become available because they would go online at like 7am and I wanted to sleep in just lazy bones mode. And I think there's a story about Mark Zuckerberg doing a similar thing, sort of like hacking the admission system or some sort of class registration system. But now with AI agents, you can just have the AI agent do it yourself. Anyone can. It's been democratized. Everyone can sleep in. This is. Yeah, I think Rune was saying, like the tennis court booking software in SF is going to be the most like battle. It'll be like the nsa. You won't be able to break into it. So earlier SF tennis reservation center system will become one of the most hardened softwares on the planet of Earth. I believe it. I believe it. So earlier this year, Andrew Bird, who's the head of AI at Afenda, used an AI agent powered by Opus 4.6 to book a morning class at his gym. Instead of simply filling out the online form, the agent discovered a vulnerability in the gym software that allowed it to reserve classes weeks or months earlier than customers were normally permitted. So you could go in and book your class for two months out, even though by default the web interface would restrict you to just hey, we only want you booking. This week the agent went further though. According to this post, after Andrew asked whether it was possible to move him higher on a wait list, the AI discovered that the booking system did not properly verify who was allowed to cancel reservations. And so without being explicitly told to, it removed another person from the wait list, moving Andrew from fourth to third place. Andrew immediately asked the AI to reverse the action, but the agent said it was unable to restore the other customers reservation. Now there's some back and forth on this, on how real this is because the. The actual post that went up is. Has no longer live. I had to find it in the Wayback Machine. But it's been reported on by ABC News, I believe in, in, in Australia. Abc.netau you're saying it's 100% factual? If that's. Yeah, it's a question like you could also be doing a little bit of content marketing. It's an interesting story. You might have helped it a little bit. All these things are sort of gray areas, but it's certainly a glimpse into sort of like what is possible in the future, especially with these long tail SaaS platforms that probably even think that they need to be hardened because who on earth is going to deploy a country of geniuses in a data center to get a gym membership or a gym reservation? But now everyone can. So it's happening and it's another data point. Greg Brockman is announcing that he's releasing a new model at OpenAI GPT 5.6 cyber and expanding daybreak to help put frontier intelligence in defenders hands. This is sort of the the reaction to these types of long tail events. It should become easier for companies to spin up an agent to help them harden their systems. Especially if you're giving out tennis reservations in San Francisco because those will be the hot ticket anyway. Tyler Cowan has a post this morning. Yeah, what do you say? Just past midnight says I am seeing so many, so much doom and at least severe worries due to the OpenAI hugging face incident and related stories. But virtually all of these I find under argued to say the least. So I have a simple request. If you are worried and wish to persuade the doubters, try the methods of science. He's science checking them. I would like to see the following your outline of how say two or three years from now we might estimate the additional cybersecurity costs from all the AI break ins. I'm convinced that the number is not zero, but give me your method please. If it helps. Here's an estimate of past cyber costs done by top economists. Your current finance numerical estimate of what those costs might end up being of course to be tested against what actually happens over time. Obviously you can do this for a few regulatory safety scenarios. There's one simple way to prove yourself largely correct, albeit with a lag. 3 A list of what stocks or other assets you have shorted. Now this is an important part obviously if your answer to number 2 is sufficiently low, you could answer here 0. As I would as I would do I expect cost but not so high that we cannot muddle through and have expected positive stock returns. This would all help to make the discourse more scientific and less like an extended exercise in personal anxiety management. If it is also important, surely this exercise is worth the effort. I like it. A lot of people have. Yeah, we're in this funny moment right now where there's, there's people with no exposure to AI, long or short, that are very very confident about certain positions but won't actually take a position. Right. And they have various reasons for that. And then and I do think this would be. I do think this would be quite helpful. The thing with situational awareness. That was so awesome. Is he just like called his shot and he invested against that extremely aggressively. And so I would like to see, I would like to see some of the AI bears do their own version of situation if they're so smart, do their own version of situational awareness even if they're trying to like hyperstition, a crash. Right. I mean, Michael Burry was doing that for a while for sure. Cassandra, whatever. But I think maybe timed it a little bit wrong. I'm not exactly sure what happened with the fund. I saw a funny. I saw a funny post that was showing a screenshot of radiation pills being sold to true preppers. So in the. I don't even think true preppers. These were. Here, I have the post here. You have a post? Yeah, pull it up. Okay. I put it in there. Oh, okay. They're selling millennial branded emergency radiation exposure medication pills you take when nuclear war starts to increase your odds of survival with buy now, pay later options. Yes, but economically that's exactly what you want to do with a doomsday prepping product. You want as much debt as possible because you assume that the apocalypse is going to come. Klarna is not going to come after you. Of course you don't want to pay with cash up front. You want to be max debt. Like, this is actually extremely highly leveraged preppers. There's got to be a few. Yes, there's got to be a few. Yes, yes. You should have a ranch in Argentina on a 50 year mortgage right now. Like that's the correct way to financially ride out the apocalypse. Because the bank's not going to come. You want the mortgage from an American financial institution. From anybody. Anybody who's not going to be around to collect post apocalypse. Like this is extremely consistent. Although it is ironic and funny and I understand the joke, but this is actually exactly what you want to be doing if you believe an apocalypse is imminent. You want to be max levered and max debt because no one's going to come back and collect it. Right? So funny. Anyway, yeah, a lot of people are pushing back on this post, being like, well, my doom scenario is so extreme, I won't be around to collect the short position, so it's not worth doing. And that is have a little faith in our financial system. Come on. Yeah, the asteroid comes and you're like, yes, my puts are paying out. No, I don't know. It's reasonable. But like unless you're full, full doom, like, yeah, you should be able to express this as a bad. Okay, Quick pause. What's up? Because I. We. We need to say some kind words to Tyler. Yeah. Last week, what happened earlier in the week. Yeah. I made some snide comments about Tyler's software that we used to run the show. Oh yeah. He logged in and shipped an entirely new app, a native app. And this is our first time using it on the show today. It is incredible. It's amazing. It's actually amazing. It's well thought through. It's very easy. It's very easy to use. My first time using it. No hiccups. It's really good. So fingers crossed. But you cooked. You absolutely cooked. And tell us about the architecture. Do you know what programming language was used? I think it's swift. Right. So it's native Mac app. It's native Mac app. We've been using a Chrome extension, a browser plugin. It's been a little slow, a little clunky, but we got. It's not even an electron app. So call Jon Gruber. We're getting a pat on the back for going native. Native. I got the dmg. I installed it myself and actually Tyler was over my shoulder. He helped install it. But it is. Tyler was burning the midnight oil. I think one of my comments just pushed him over the edge and he locked in, managed nagging. He restored his honor. Yeah. Well done, Tyler. Space x is up 13% in the past five days. Almost certainly in part due to semianalysis. Major, major bullish up. Yeah. Not. They've been contrarian lately. Right? Yeah. With Meta. Now SpaceX. So the headline here, SpaceX turns a compute company into eight quarter in eight quarters. Into a. Turns into a compute company in eight quarters. AI compute goes from nothing to 77% of run rate revenue and the illustrative 10 gigawatt path. I mean he's really good at building data centers. And they're predicting that lots that Microsoft will be the largest off taker. OpenAI and Anthropic will wind up doing deals with them. 500 billion in ARR for SpaceX and the number that was getting thrown around was a trillion in ARR or something by 2030. Something which is staggering. Staggering. They're going to have to rebrand it. Rebrand it though Land X because I'm not going to space with this. This is all built just on the ground. I'm pretty sure. I'm pretty sure this is all pre Space Data Center. Space Data center is like. Is the Act 5 or whatever we. Whatever act. We're on the Act 2. So land X or Ground X But either way, it's working and very, very exciting to see. Yeah. And Elon did say that, that their internal projections, which they're operating from, get them to a trillion by 2030. He said, or we may be delusional. And, and, yeah, there's certainly a lot of reasons, a lot of reasons to be bullish. There's certainly a lot of reasons to be skeptical. Right. You had, you know, look at, look at the way that he talked about the cyber truck. He said, you know, they were going to be selling hundreds of thousands of those units a year. They've been selling units. I actually ordered. I ordered one, yeah. It's so crazy. They don't have a six seater, seven seater, cybertruck configuration. Like, it's just, I'm thinking about like a family. You want one other kid to come with you? And it's like, okay, back in the, back in the extended wheelbase SUV or back in the minivan. Like, yeah, I was thinking about it. One of, one of Elon's advantages, building data centers is that he seems to not care about, like, getting canceled. Right. So look at everything that's been happening in Memphis. Like, you cannot imagine Satya. You can't imagine Zuck going in there and building their Memphis projects the way that they have. Right. It's been done very aggressive. Yeah. Extremely aggressively. The local community is not happy. I'm sure they can figure out a way to work a lot of that out over time, but a lot of people just don't have the stomach to be effectively. It's funny you're using the term stomach because the Wall Street Journal has an article here about Elon Musk's stomach. First, Whether you're long SpaceX, short SpaceX do it on public investing. For those that take it seriously, they got stocks, options, bonds, crypto treasuries and more with great customer service. So Space X may be a rocket company, but nowadays it feels more like a roller coaster, says Tim Higgins in the Wall Street Journal. This past week alone, Chief Executive Elon Musk watched as its shares plummeted almost 14% in one day. Which wasn't even the worst performance in SpaceX's short tenure as a publicly traded company. By Friday, the shares had soared more than 20% from where they began the week. Put another way, that was a more than $300 billion market value swing for most CEOs. That would be a vomit inducing ride. For Musk, it's a nagging reminder that he's back in grind mode, having to deliver on all of his High flying promises for SpaceX's performance. Yeah, I mean he does have the stomach for it and it does give a good cover to the other hyperscalers. This was a lot of the NEO cloud thesis for a while was that some of the Neo clouds, like a lot of the hyperscalers, had made really, really aggressive environmental pledges that they were tied into and locked into because ESG funds had invested and if they go back on their ESG commitments, then those ESG investors would have to divest and the stock price could fall. But all of a sudden you had underwritten the whole ESG plan on the back of. Well, we just do cloud storage for images and some ad recommendations and yeah, we store people's docs in the cloud. This is going to be easy. Throw some solar panels on the top, you know, build. Okay, we'll build a custom chip for the YouTube encoding algorithm. Like it's no big deal, it's not going to use that much energy. And then it's like artificial intelligence uses like a million times more resources for everything. And so you have compute scaling 3x every year now. And as a result the question is like, can the hyperscalers develop the new data centers internally or will they have to go to neoclouds and the SpaceX Neo Cloud sort of fits in there Anyway, what were you thinking about? Here's the actual quote I was referencing earlier. Elon says no, I meant actual revenue in the year 2030 itself, not cumulative, which would be high, which would be a higher number. Of course it's always possible that we flounder along the way or are delusional, but those are actual internal projections. Ben was bringing up some, some recent truth. You know, pre launch the, the Cybertruck had over 1 million reservations. Demand off the charts. They were targeting a quarter million units a year once ramped by 2025. And in 2024 they sold 39,000 units. Not bad. But in 2025 they only sold 20,000. So cumulative is under 70,000. So the peak year was about 15% of the stated annual target. I'm trying to get these numbers up. I ordered a cybertruck. I need the self driving. Yeah, self driving is really, really good. And I am getting more and more bullish on Tesla's car business because of self driving last year. There were so many reasons to be bearish, but as we've like, I've, I've just talked with enough people in the automotive world now and none of them think that good self driving is coming to any of their Cars for like a very, very long time. Almost all of them think it's coming this century, though. Yeah, this century. This century. This century. And so I think there's a lot of reasons, for what it's worth, to be bullish on the car business in the near term. Do some more styles or something. The reduction in the portfolio is so rough. No convertible, no off road vehicle, no suv. Like there's just so little that you just get blocked into this bland thing. But I don't know. I worked with the iPhone, so who knows? Who knows? Let me tell you about MongoDB. What's the only thing faster than the AI market your business on MongoDB? Don't just build AI, own the data platform that powers it. Vogue World. We got to talk about Vogue World. Here we go. Vogue World is taking place in San Francisco this year. Quote, Vogue believes in celebrating cities and San Francisco is a city like none other. San Francisco. Anna Wintour, SF really is a city like none other. Emily Sundberg writes with 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 periods, which feels like a day. SF wasn't going to be back until Anna said it's back. Yeah. And so this is a bold, bold statement. That's true. One of the most beautiful cities in the world grew up in the Bay Area. So it's kind of. Maybe I'm a little bit biased, sure. But it deserves the Vogue treatment. For those not familiar, Vogue World will be this live stream event. It's very theatrical. There's going to be celebrations and I'm excited to see some of our favorite entrepreneurs and investors put on their vests, the Patagonia vests. And walk in the Runway in those. Maybe that or ditch the quiet luxury and go for some loud opulence ones. I like that. Yeah. I mean, Jensen's got the leather jacket. He's looking good, collect. I could see, I could see Jensen getting chromed up for this though. Yeah, maybe. Maybe. What, what, what, what brand does he wear again? Tom Ford. Tom Ford jackets. Yeah. Those are nice. Those are nice. Yeah. This will be fun. We'll be there. I wonder who and yeah, I'm excited to cover it. Yeah, it's gonna be great. Hopefully it's not the last. And it's like, we can never do this again. No, no. The city has no aura. The beauty of San Francisco, it really does have such a diverse community of, you know, you have the Burning man crowd, the VC crowd, the startup founders. Like there's all these different worlds. There's the product managers, the product managers, the product engineers, the quality assurance engineers, the quality assurance test, the reinforcement learning, engineering environment, pre training and post training. These are the wild communities. You want to hear from them both. They have unique styles, for sure. You can clock some. No, but, but part of the actual, like, tech has an insane amount of influence on fashion. Right? Like, when you look at Instagram's impact on the world broadly, the whole world's starting to look the same in many ways because of Instagram styles. That's very interesting. Globally are starting to look more and more similar because Instagram connects everyone all the time. So a tastemaker around the world, somewhere else in the world might be influencing your style, even though you'll never in your life cross paths with them. Interesting. Yeah. Well, there's a little bit more news from the situational awareness story. First, David Sacks on the all in podcast had a good take here. A lot of people were saying, like, Leopold was using forex leverage. That was the number that was getting thrown around. And when I heard that, I thought it was he buys Micron and he buys $40 billion of micron with 10 billion of cash and.
I'll give you a slight pivot on the how do we grow? And yes, we do want to grow and yes, we are growing. Of course I actually spend more time thinking about usage. Sure. And one of the takeaways from being at a TV world was priority number one is grow minutes which is a very kind of TV term. But we look at overall consumption in minutes and there's two ways to grow that get new people coming in and get them to do more things. And that's why things like fantasy are so important is we introduced college football. It's been very good so far. A third of those users have never played on Yahoo. A third of the people who play death leagues have never played on Yahoo. New formats adding top of the funnel. But we know that when those users come they're habitually there. I don't know how you go from 100 to 500, but I do have a sense of how you go from get you to spend 10 minutes today to get you to spend 12.
I'll give you a slight pivot on the how do we grow? And yes, we do want to grow and yes, we are growing. Of course. I actually spend more time thinking about usage. Sure. And one of the takeaways from being at a TV world was priority number one is grow minutes, which is a very kind of TV term. But we look at overall consumption in minutes and there's two ways to grow that get new people coming in and get them to do more things. And that's why things like fantasy are so important is we introduced college football. It's been very good so far. A third of those users have never played on Yahoo. A third of the people who play death leagues have never played on Yahoo. New formats adding top of the funnel. But we know that when those users come they're habitually there. I don't know how you go from 100 to 500, but I do have a sense of how you go from get you to spend 10 minutes today to get you to spend 12 fantasy movie league.
I'll give you a slight pivot on the how do we grow and yes we do want to grow and yes we are growing. Of course I actually spend more time thinking about usage. Sure. And one of the takeaways from being at a TV world was priority number one is grow minutes which is a very kind of TV term But we look at overall consumption in minutes and there's two ways to grow that get new people coming in and get them to do more things and that's why things like fantasy are so important is we introduced college football it's been very good so far. A third of those users have never played on Yahoo. A third of the people who play death leagues have never played on Yahoo. New formats adding top of the funnel but we know that when those users come they're habitually there. I don't know how you go from 100 to 500 but I do have a sense of how you go from get you to spend 10 minutes today to get you to SPE.
I'll give you a slight pivot on the how do we grow? And yes, we do want to grow. And yes, we are growing. Of course. I actually spend more time thinking about usage. Sure. And one of the takeaways from being at a TV world was priority number one is grow minutes, which is a very kind of TV term. But we look at overall consumption in minutes. And there's two ways to grow that get new people coming in and get them to do more things. And that's why things like fantasy are so important is we introduced college football. It's been very good so far. A third of those users have never played on Yahoo. A third of the people who play death leagues have never played on Yahoo. New formats, adding top of the funnel. But we know that when those users come, they're habitually there. I don't know how you go from 100 to 500, but I do have a sense of how you go from get you to spend 10 minutes today to get you to spend 12. Fantasy Movie League. That's what you got to do. I played this unironically.
I actually spend more time thinking about usage. Sure. And one of the takeaways from being at a TV world was priority number one is grow minutes, which is a very kind of TV term. But we look at overall consumption in minutes. And there's two ways to grow that get new people coming in and get them to do more things. And that's why things like fantasy are so important, is we introduce college football. It's been very good so far. Third of those users have never played on Yahoo. A third of the people who play death leagues have never played on Yahoo. New formats, adding top of the funnel. But we know that when those users come, they're habitually there. I don't know how you go from 100 to 500, but I do have a sense of how you go from get you to spend 10 minutes today to get you to.
And one of the takeaways from being at a TV world was priority number one is grow minutes, which is a very kind of TV term. But we look at overall consumption in minutes. And there's two ways to grow that get new people coming in and get them to do more things. And that's why things like fantasy are so important, is we introduce college football. It's been very good so far. Third of those users have never played on Yahoo. A third of the people who play death leagues have never played on Yahoo. New formats, adding top of the funnel. But we know that when those users come, they're habitually there. I don't know how you go from 100 to 500, but I do have a sense of how you go from get you to spend 10 minutes today to get you to spend.
Into this, like, bland thing. But I don't know. I worked with the iPhone, so who knows? Who knows? Let me tell you about MongoDB. What's the only thing faster than the AI market your business on MongoDB? Don't just build AI, own the data platform that powers it. Vogue World. We gotta talk about Vogue World. Here we go. Vogue World is taking place in San Francisco this year. Quote, Vogue believes in celebrating cities. And San Francisco is a city like none other, says Anna Wintour. SF really is a city. A city like none other. Emily Sundberg writes with 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 periods, which feels like a day. SF wasn't going to be back until Anna said it's back. Yeah. And so this is a bold, bold statement. That's true. One of the most beautiful cities in the world grew up in the Bay Area, so it's kind of. Maybe I'm a little bit biased, sure. But it deserves the Vogue treatment. For those not familiar, Vogue World will be this live stream event. It's very, you know, theatrical. There's going to be celebrations and I'm excited to see some of our favorite entrepreneurs and investors put on their best, the Patagonia vests and walk in the Runway in those. Maybe that or. Or ditch the. Ditch the quiet luxury and go for some loud opulence. Ooh, I like that. Yeah. I mean, Jensen's got the leather jacket. He's looking good. Color, collect. I could see. I could see Jensen getting chromed up for this, though. Yeah, maybe. Maybe. What, what, what, what brand does he wear again? Tom Ford. Tom Ford jackets. Yeah. Those are nice. Those are nice. Yeah. This will be fun. We'll be there. I wonder who and yeah, I'm excited to cover it. Yeah, it's gonna be great. Hopefully it's not the last. And it's like, we can never do this again. No, no. The city has no aura. The beauty of San Francisco, it really does have such a diverse community of, you know, you have the Burning man crowd, the VC crowd, the startup founders. Like, there's all these different worlds. There's the product managers, the product managers, the product engineers, the quality assurance engineers, the quality assurance test, the reinforcement learning, engineering environment. They have Instagram pre training and post training. These are the wild communities. You want to hear from them both. They have unique styles, for sure. You can clock some. No, but, but part of the actual, like, tech has an insane amount of influence on fashion. Right. Like, when you look at Instagram's impact on the world broadly, the whole world's starting to look the same in many ways because of Instagram. Styles globally are are starting to look more and more similar because Instagram connects everyone all the time. So a tastemaker around the world, somewhere else in the world might be influencing your style, even though you'll never in your life cross paths with them. Interesting. Interesting. Yeah. Well, there's a little bit more news from the situational awareness story. First, David Sacks on the all in podcast had a good take here. A lot of people were saying, like Leopold was using forex leverage. That was the number that was getting thrown around. And when I heard that, I thought it was he buys Micron and he buys $40 billion of micron with 10 billion of cash and 30 billion of debt. And so he's forex levered on that long semiconductor memory bet. It seems like it's a little bit more of 2x levered long, 2x levered short. So you're a long short hedge fund, but both the long positions and the short positions are, are directionally the same trade, because you're levered long Micron and you're levered short Adobe. And so if the trade weakens, you get hurt in both directions. So it's the same effect. But I think it was just an interesting little piece of.