LIVE CLIPS
EpisodeĀ 5-5-2026
Just yesterday, Ryan Cohen of GameStop offered a $55 billion unsolicited bid for eBay targeting 2 billion in cost cuts. And we have him joining the show with us now. Ryan Cohen, welcome to the show. Thank you so much for taking the time. How are you doing? How are you guys? Great to see you. Fantastically. I would love an update. What can you share with us on the situation as things have developed since yesterday? Just to sort of set, obviously this is moving very quickly. Where are we right now? What's happening? We made an offer yesterday, 125 bucks a share, half cash, half stock. That was funny, wasn't it? Have you considered 49% cash? Why did you get to half cash, half stock? Can you unpack that a little bit at least? Well, I mean, frankly, when you think about me going and running the ebay business, what we're proposing is for existing shareholders to take half of their investment off the table. And that would be us providing them with 28. With $28 billion, which is like a 40% premium from when we started buying the stock. And then they would be getting roughly. I mean, it depends on ultimately when the transaction closes, but they would be rolling the rest into the combined company of GameStop and eBay. Frankly, with me running ebay, I think that the company, the earnings power of the company is going to increase substantially as well as the ability to grow. The platform stagnated over the last decade and I could do a lot with ebay. I love it. That's a very strong business and that's right up my alley. Take us through the big vision. Like in five years, you're at the helm, like, how big can this business be? Are you expanding it? Obviously there's an operational efficiency point, but what is the big picture? What's the blue sky pie in the sky vision for the combined entity? So where we've had success at GameStop and where eBay has had success is in collectibles, trading cards, collectibles. The founder, your show was, was talking about his Mont Blanc and I'm like, that's a good example. That's perfect item to go and buy on ebay. But you're always concerned that is it going to be real and the trust. And that's something that using GameStop 1600 stores, we can immediately authenticate that item. The seller can ship it or we can ship it, but we've got 1600 access points that we can do live authentication so we can go deep in collectibles, leveraging our physical infrastructure. We can increase intake by bringing a lot more product onto the platform. And then there's a lot of other categories that I can, I can grow in. And, you know, you look at live commerce as an example. I mean, eBay has 130 million users, and they're getting crushed by competitors in live commerce. So an owner's mentality, you know, I can, I want to. I want to own ebay forever. Like, I love that business. It's run like a public utility. It should have been wiped out, but it hasn't been. Yeah, it's been remarkably resilient. How many, how many companies, how many startups have gone after a specific category on eBay raised 100 million plus dollars and yet eBay has remained resilient. So it shows that. That there's, you know, it's a really powerful platform. Yeah, that's why I love it. And, you know, the website still looks the same as it did in 1995, but everyone's tried to kill this thing and it's still making over $2 billion a year. So that goes to show you the durability of the business. Talk about live commerce more. Would that be just a better integration with TikTok, Instagram streaming, Twitch streaming? Do you need to go and partner with big creators? Do you need to find your own platform for that? Like, how does that actually play out in a world where ebay and you are making a bigger push into live commerce? It makes a lot of sense. But I'm wondering, like, how does it actually work? Yeah, it would be partnering with creators. I mean, they've got the platform. We would improve the platform so it looks better and more consistent with the kind of UI that you have at competitors. But there's the user base, and so it's not something you have to market. It's building out better tech and partnering with creators. Yeah. And the correct incentive structure for those creators. Because I bet you right now you could probably go get some referral code or something. But it's not deeply integrated in a way that you can really accelerate on a social platform. Why do you think ebay has ebay been. Been a target of any type of deal like this in the past? I'm not familiar with any off the top of my head. But why do you think maybe it hasn't been more of a target? And I guess, like, why do you think you can get more efficiency out of it than maybe some other potential buyers who I'm sure see their costs? You know, marketing is something that people gravitate towards, but I'm sure You're seeing other efficiencies as well. So in terms of the competitive landscape on an acquisition, I think there was some people circling around a few years ago. Nothing happened. The strategics can't really do it because I don't think that they would be able to clear antitrust, so any of the large competitors wouldn't be able to acquire it. And you know, I don't think that we would have any regulatory issues getting clearance on a merger in terms of the efficiencies. GameStop is a good example. Like GameStop is a dog and it could have been dead. And we breathe life, we breathed a lot of life into this thing, right? And you look at SGNA, we've pulled out, we've dropped SGA by 47%, $800 million by making marketing more efficient, almost turning off marketing. I mean, everyone knows GameStop, everybody knows eBay. So you talk to the marketing people that tell you like it's gonna tank revenues and all of this. And the reality is most of that marketing spends isn't making money, but everyone's trying to protect their jobs and there's kickbacks, there's all kinds of perverse incentives. And so I'm running the business like a family business. You know, it's, it's really not that complicated. And you look at eBay spending 2 1/2 billion bucks to grow 1 million users, 2 billion in cost cuts between sales and marketing and corporate overhead, you. It's not a lot and it's not something that's going to take a few years. Like it's something that is going to happen fast, fast, fast. Because putting leverage on this thing and I don't want to run a leverage business, so I'm not going to run it hot. I'm going to pay down the leverage and I'm going to increase earnings. They're spending five and a half billion dollars on operating expenses on $11 billion business that has no inventory. And it's asset light. So it just. There's 11 and a half thousand employees and it doesn't make sense. It doesn't. You don't need. I could run that business. I could run that business from my house. Like it's, it's ebay. It looks the same as it did in 1995. They need 11 and a half. So, so is, is the Elon Twitter take private somewhat of an inspiration here? There's been a number after that happened. In many ways the business suffered, but maybe it wasn't because of the deep cuts that he did to the team and the service kept working. Yeah, the service kept working. It's still a great product. We've been surprised that more CEOs and management teams haven't done something like that with businesses that are household names but somewhat stagnated. Is that an inspiration at all? Yeah, and Twitter is a good example. I mean, what really happened at Twitter was that the advertisers, I don't know what the situation is now, but they pretty much conspired against him and you know, it had nothing to do. My understanding is really had nothing to do with the cost cuts. More of just the advertisers conspiring against him because of the demented political landscape and the fact that people apparently are against freedom of speech. And so like you look at the usability of the platform and the teams, the engineering teams are much smaller and they're innovating a lot faster. So it's actually the opposite. The more people you add, the more you slow things down and the fewer people you have, the more it's like a startup. You got to always be in startup mode and you build big teams and nothing gets done anymore. Do you think LLMs will be a tailwind for ebay over the next decade? It feels like for the long tail of commerce, you're trying to find really specific items. It feels like LMS and people doing research in these products could be catalyst for the business. Maybe there's things on ebay that would be tough to find, but if I'm really getting precise around prompting or running these sort of agentic searches, maybe, maybe I have a higher likelihood of purchasing something. Yeah, I mean, I think about all of the things that can disrupt the business in the future. And you know, I think that ebay is the kind of business where the, the future of the business model is more certain than most tech businesses. And that's why it's done so well. And there's been such a lack of innovation, yet it hasn't been able to be disrupted. So I would expect that to continue to be the case. If it doesn't materialize as an M and A. Are you looking at a board seat? You have a position. Will you be more active in a non M and A scenario? Yeah, I mean, I'm going to, I'm going to do whatever we need to do to protect our investment and to improve the business. But the goal here isn't to be an activist. The goal is I want to own ebay. I want to run ebay. I want that to be my baby. I want to build Something much larger and cost cutting, frankly is the way to make the business more efficient to pay down the debt and innovate. But when I think about what I can do with ebay in the future, like look at chewy. You know that ebay is like chewy on steroids. And so there's so much more Runway and it's global. Yeah. I mean it seems like a huge opportunity. How do you want to be comped based on performance? 100%. Is there any tension between you and the shareholders? How do you actually create alignment? There's. It would be bit in my current compensation plan is tied really lofty metrics and it's based on the. The first tranche I've got to double market cap as an example just to hit the first tranche and the 10 exit in order for it to fully vest. So I'm not interested in. Yeah, I, I haven't taken a dollar of salary or any bonuses. And you know, it's funny actually, I just got a call from my team today that said this is how I know they hate me. They're not happy about this. By the way, the Gamestop. This is the GameStop team. EBay. No, eBay is okay. Yeah. After this interview, they're. They're really not gonna like me, but because they're gonna find out I'm cutting marketing spend and the board already isn't like me because I'm calling out all the board fees. But I get a call and I say there is a. There's a. They're calling out your personal assistant. I said, what are you talking about? And they said, they went on the GameStop's career page and they saw that there's a listing for the personal assistant and it's all kinds of personal stuff. And that's basically a CEO benefit. And you know, it's basically not. You're using company resources. Personally, I pay for my personal assistant. Personally, I don't even pay for. The company doesn't pay for my personal assistant. So they're already starting to get their. They're doing whatever they can. They want to fight. Have you. Has any major ebay shareholders reached out to you? Have you had. You know, what is the general sentiment? You know, how do you think. What do you think it'll look like if you take this directly to the shareholders? I don't know. I mean, I would want to. I want to own eBay at $125 a share. We're proposed. There's tax advantages to rolling it. But when I think about what ebay could be worth. If I'm running this business, I believe it's a heck of a lot more than $125 a share. And so I would roll 100% of the equity. But we'll. We'll see what happens. Yeah. What do you think of Michael Burry's critiques? A lot of people were talking about him exiting yesterday. He doesn't believe. Have you guys chatted? I haven't chatted with Michael in a long time. I've seen he's more active than he says, his investing philosophy. So I figured his risk appetite and the leverage we're putting on just. It didn't make sense for him. But it seemed as though it was more of a trade more so than anything. Yeah. Looking at the price action yesterday, is that reflective of sort of like a shakeout of non believers and you feel like you have the right people around the table now? I, when I think back to Chewy, every single day was a shakeout. Yeah. So I don't know. It's hard to diagnose the shareholder base. And I'm, I'm focused on what I could build over a long period of time. And yeah, I got my hands on ebay. I can build something worth a lot and much larger than it is. So. Was Paramount at all an inspiration? I've looked at it. You know, what they did is really interesting too. Just because smaller company buying a much larger company but the deal still went through, the capital was marshaled. That was something that I think was unclear yesterday for some people was half cash, half stock. Where is it coming from? How much of this is just an ongoing conversation? And as you work through this process, you'll engage with other pools of capital or financiers to actually put together the final package. Do you have a date that you want this to be done by? I mean, we have the cash. We have the cash accounted for today in terms of a highly confident letter from our bank for the 20 billion plus, we've got 9 billion of cash and the rest would be them rolling the equity into the combined company. Sure. Yeah. I think that was the. That was the rolling of the equity was the thing that if it had got into the viral clip from cnbc, yesterday would have made a lot more sense. I'm glad we're. I'm glad we're getting it in now. Yep. Is there, I guess how much of your critique of ebay is specifically around the current management team? They've done a decent job. It's. Look, it's anyone. When You've got Perverse financial and they're not operating like owner. Just you know, when, when you've got it it all on the line, you're going to do whatever it's going to take 20 hour days, seven days a week, you're not going to stop. And when, when equity is given out to you like candy. I mean it's, it's, it's all companies so you know the directors, board of directors make $4 million. It's like 350 to 450,000 or director. There's been no insider buying at the company. I mean like it's not a surprise they're not going to light the money on, they're not going to light the world on fire. But you've got a bunch of professionals in the board and a professional management. Yeah. So if this deal goes through, roughly what percentage of your personal net worth will be tied to it? Well, I haven't done the math but if things go correctly then it better be the majority. Otherwise I'm wasting my time. Yeah. What was your first memory using ebay. Were you a power seller back in the day? Very good question. I bought and sold DJ equipment on eBay back in 2003. It was amazing. I don't remember my first transaction but I'm going to have to get back to you on that one. Okay. With GameStop, last time we talked you were mentioning a little bit of expansion into digital goods, less physical material and stuff. Do you think that there's an opportunity for ebay to play in a digital marketplace or in a world where certain collectibles or certain goods become digital or the market shifts towards more digital goods? And would you like to see ebay expand into that? Yes and yes in terms of a digital marketplace. And they're already doing it to a certain extent. I mean like all kinds of roadblocks. Digital items are bought and sold but. And I've actually bought them for my kids and there's so much fraud on the platform. Like we're buying stuff, it's not a real item. End up having to do a chargeback but then it ended up getting delivered so you can't do a chargeback. So like they've got the basics of it but it's not being done well. So like digital gaming. Totally. That's a huge opportunity to, to dig into. There's so much potential on, on digital stuff. I guess you're obviously interested in cutting costs. Are you optimistic that stablecoins might be a path to reducing costs? It's a high Volume transaction business, obviously a lot of credit card fees. Maybe there's a way around that with stablecoins. We hear that from a lot of stablecoin founders. Haven't heard it from as many operators. What do you think? I don't have a point of view on that. I haven't looked into it. So I think the sellers would probably be eating the cost but potential option. Yeah, I don't know. Jordy, do you have any sense of how ebay is using AI internally today? Have they spoken about it much? Do you believe they're getting very much leverage out of the models? Do you think there could be quite a bit more? I've seen that they've made listings easier in terms of just generating product descriptions and stuff like that. So I think they're kind of like doing the super easy stuff still. There's a lot of friction to sell a product on ebay. Like it's, it just, it's not easy. So the benefit of our 1600 stores is we have the ability to increase intake. But I would go through it and I would make it as simple as possible to have a real item for sale as a seller. And there's a, it's, there's a lot of steps. It's just, it's a pain in the ass. It's too difficult. Yeah. 1600 stores in the world where you combined eBay and GameStop, do you expect that number to increase, decrease, stay the same? It's a good question. I mean our footprint is a moving target. We have. This was part of what appealed to me originally when I went into GameStop was the leases were short term. So they're like two to three year leases. And as we see how the business performs, we decide whether or not it makes sense to renew the store. So I mean it's, it's going to be dependent on the utility of the stores. Like if there's traffic and a profitability is increasing, we'll keep the stores open. And if it's not the case, then we'll shrink the store base. Okay, a couple other scenarios. In a world where an M and A doesn't happen, is there a business partnership to be done where verification of rare collectibles can happen at GameStop physical retail stores for a price and ebay is paying GameStop for that service. Is that something you've explored? Is that something that's at all likely to happen? Well, that would. So yes. And it would basically take $0 in capex order to something like that. And it's a good idea I hope that doesn't want. That doesn't happen, because I want to. I want to run the entire thing. But if it doesn't, then, I mean, there's. There's a partnership option. I reached out to ebay, like, I don't know, maybe a year or two years ago to talk to them about partnering, and they didn't engage. Seriously, like, everyone, that. Everyone's on vacation. Everyone's always on vacation. Like, they're not available. They have assistance. I'll get back to you next week and like, let's go get it done now. So then they never get back to you. Then you're following up. It's like there's. There's. There's no sense of urgency. Yeah. At that company. There's no sense of urgency, frankly, at most companies. So it never gained any traction. Okay. Etsy is trading at 6 billion. Is that a target? If the ebay plan doesn't come together, no collectibles action. There's. It was in the chat. I gotta ask. Ebay is just such a natural fit for the collectibles, leveraging our storefront footprint, but then also, like, my ability to cut costs and build something much larger at the company. So every. Everything else is. If it doesn't work out, we could find something else. But I like ebay. It brings me back to my roots. What's something that ebay is not doing today that you think they could expand into? Or is that even the right question? Do you think the core business is just so great and they're so dominant in many of these categories that you just want to pour fuel on the fire? Live commerce? Yeah, but to me, that's an extension. Right. Because they have a lot of inventory. It's just a new selling channel. Yeah, yeah. But I mean, in terms of doing that well, accelerating revenue growth, you know, I think that is. That's big. And so going much deeper into collectibles in luxury trading cards. There's a lot of Runway there. Do you have a position on international capital providers? A lot of these big deals, maybe they start at 50. At half cash, half stock, they wind up being more lean in cash. That's what we saw with the Paramount Warner Brothers deal. Are you interested in talking to international sovereign wealth funds, that type of capital provider? We're. We're looking at a variety of different options currently. Makes sense. Mutual Friend of The show and GameStop Mod Retro. They've been pretty aggressively pushing into this retro gaming category. How do you see that growing? Our team at the office recently got an old Xbox 360 fired it up. I can see retro gaming just getting more and more popular, but what's your view on the category right now and where do you think it's going? We are. We've. We have. The return rates are kind of high, but we're. We're building out the retro business in our stores currently. So that's, that's a. It's a. It's. It's still small, but it's a growing category for us. What do you want to see the rest of this week? How do you. How do you. How do you see it playing out? I don't know. It's a good question. Balls in their. Balls in their court? Pretty much, yeah. Balls in their court, yeah. Well, we'll let you get to it. I'm sure you have more questions. Thanks for jumping on. Thanks for jumping on. You're welcome to join anytime. Let's do it again as the story progresses. But we're enjoying following along. And if anybody out there wants more information, it's on the website. Yeah, it's on the website. If anybody asks you how he's paying for it, just tell him half cash, half stock. You got the beginning and the end of the interview. Thank you so much for coming on the show. Great to see you, Ryan. Have a great rest of the week. Good luck out there. Goodbye.
Bye. Up next we have Stephen Balaban from Lambda co founder and the new CEO Michelle from Lambda in the waiting room. Welcome to the show. How you guys doing? Wow, look at this setup. This setup. Suited up, suited up, suited up. Okay, reintroduce yourself. Stephen, introduce yourself. Michelle. Michelle with the purple. We're very excited for today. John and Jordy, so good to be back. Thank you so much and congratulations. It's been a while since we've seen each other and so much has happened in your world. Too long. So I'm Stephen Balaban. I'm the co founder and founding CEO but now chief Technology officer, cto. Yeah. And we've welcomed on Michelle Combs as our new chief Executive officer. And I'm passing the baton after 14 years. This really feels like we're putting a new quarterback in. This feels like Proper TVPN SportsCenter. I love it. And it was such an awesome opportunity to like this is the first thing that we're doing right after announcing it to the company and to the world. And I think that one thing you guys are going to really like here. So Michel has obviously a very, very long history in telecommunication infrastructure. Whether it's being the former CEO of Sprint, former CEO of SoftBank International, associated with and you know, on the, you know, with the McLaren team. Also on the board of Philip Morris. No. Oversaw the acquisition of Swedish Match and that I have some competitors. So maybe get side of it. Yeah, we should. So it's not Zin. What is it? I don't know what you. This is the company I started before the show. Oh, I know, I know. That's what I want. The tagline we have now is look, there's telecommunication infrastructure. Yeah. Racing infrastructure, nicotine infrastructure and AI infrastructure. It all makes sense. More ingredients to a flourishing civilization. I think you're right. You know, we're really excited to have Michelle on board and just it's an honor to be able to do this as a founder, to be able to bring on somebody with such experience. Incredible. Very excited to be there. I guess I would never have been invited without you, Steven. So thanks to you, I am a cool guy. I am on this nice show. So I really love it. So we just announced it to our employees a little while ago. Very, very excited. Fascinating industry, amazing company, amazing founder that I have discovered in the past two months. And I guess that we are going to have a lot of fun in order to build the next step of this company and continue our leadership in this industry. So I love it and that's really Exciting, huge industry, huge growth rates, hugely successful company thus far. What is the, what is the major goal? What are the KPIs? How do you manage a company like this over the next year, over the next decade, when the GPUs are on fire? Yeah. Well, I guess that's the name of the game is skill. Skill. It's what matters. So Steven and team have built an amazing platform in the past few years and we can really start from this foundation and turbo boost the growth. So I am really coming in order to help Steve to unlock the growth of this company. Sky has no limit, so we know that. So it's just about skill scale in terms of capital formation. So that's something. And you, you will have seen that we are strengthening the team also in this side, on this dimension, in order to be able to raise the right level of capital, whether it's equity, whether it's debt, whatever is needed in order to accelerate our growth and scale. So in terms of operations. So it's about, let's say finding the right sides, finding of course the right GPUs and just making sure that we can assemble all of that in order to have the best service, the best quality, the best quantity of compute and the most efficient computing power for our customers. So that's really about executing. In fact, the dream of Stephen, which has started the dream, which has put all the ingredients together. And my role is just to accelerate that with my partner in crime, Steve. So which I love the idea to partner with a founder. As you can see, I'm a little bit older than the founder. I have an experience which is a little bit outside of the founding place. I'm serial executive, but I have worked with many founders in my previous lives, for example at SoftBank. And so I really enjoy. I really like to team with a founder and especially a founder like Stephen. So that's already very fun. Look how he's dressed. He's dressed like a French guy. He's dressed. You guys will appreciate this. I got a Charvet tie I picked up in Paris. And you know, that's a good premonition for Stephen. Where do you want to. Sorry. For the French guy, we should just look at his shoes. So he made a mistake there. He made sneakers with his suit. So now we can take it from there. But I just wanted to show you that there was an issue. There wouldn't be a lot to see with. With like proper dress shoes. Made in America. New Balance. There we go. Stephen, where do you, you're. Where do you want to like obviously you're going to be focused on tactical responsibilities. Now where do you want to focus? Where do you see the opportun for you to have the highest impact? Yeah, so I am gonna be continuing to lead product vision, technology direction and working on just really high impact, high velocity products at the company. I mean one of the things that I've done historically, even just in the past couple of months is really spin up a ton of agents, really show how software engineering is supposed to work in the new world. And on top of that I'm just still deeply involved in standing up new infrastructure. So whether that's like hiring and recruiting really great, amazing technical data center experts, you know, assisting with the strategy around how do we go from leasing data center space to owning and operating data center space. I'm just gonna be involved in wherever is like the highest impact for me. You know, when I was thinking about these roles, I kind of looked at the people who I really looked up to in business. And you know, the CTO role is the one that's kind of styled after somebody who I really look up to, which is Larry Ellison. And you know, when he transitioned to the, he transitioned to a full time CTO position and when Safra Katz and Mark Herd became co CEOs of Oracle. And so I figured that was an apropro title given that I look up to him so much. That's amazing. How are you thinking about Focus right now? People know Lambda as a way to, you know, lease compute on a short term basis. We've seen other companies expand into everything from buying land and building supercomputers to training their own foundation models and offering APIs. It feels like there's always a question of do you want to do more, but if the current thing's working, do you stay focused? How are you thinking about these trade offs? Michel and I are exactly on the same page, which is focus, focus, focus, focus. We are building a generational company that is going to last for 100 years. And we're going to do that by having the most compute at the lowest cost basis, offer those at the lowest prices and the most flexible terms so that we can delight both the largest, most important model builders in the world like OpenAI and the developer. You can't forget the developer who have built the entire industry and ecosystem that surrounds this company. I mean Lambda is really the developer's cloud. You know, it's founded by a software engineer, it's built for people like me. And so we're going to have that combination of both of those and focus on that. Well, congratulations, and thank you so much for coming on the show. Can't wait to see soon. You guys look fantastic. This is fantastic. We'll have you both back on soon. Talk to you soon. John, Jordy, congratulations, guys. You take care. Thank you, guys.
Room, we have Brian Elliott from Blitzy. He's the CEO. With a huge fundraising announcement coming in to the TBPN ultradome. Let's bring in Brian. How are you doing? Here we go. Hey, guys, how are you? Quick transition. Thank you so much for taking the time, please. Great to meet you. This is the first time on the show introduce yourself in the company. Yeah. So Blitzy, we're announcing the $200 million financing at a $1.4 billion valuation today. So we're nice. Thanks, guys. Appreciate the love. So we're an autonomous software specifically designed for complex enterprise use cases. So we serve banks, insurance companies, anyone with huge amounts of code, and we do autonomous work, meaning the system will run for days to weeks autonomously recursively improving the code using all the foundational models together. And OpenAI, Gemini and anthropics models. Yeah, it's fascinating. So what is the go to market motion for you? I mean, you're focused on the biggest companies. Tell me about the shape of your salesforce, what the process is like to actually deliver value. Because I imagine that a lot of times you're going up against like the build versus buy question, almost like, should we just build something like this internally? Should we just use the tools directly, the models directly. But you clearly have a fantastic value proposition because you've seen a lot of traction. Yeah. So we go in direct, right? It's very much like a Palantir like motion. So we're going to go in direct, we're going to show you quickly. We're going to reverse engineer your code base, oftentimes, 30, 50 million lines of code, and we're going to do all that within 48 hours of installing Blitzy or else. Sounds like a threat, but yeah, no, I mean, obviously that's valuable. I mean, that's the case with all these coding agents is like the first thing is like understanding what actually is the business problem. What's actually going on? How are you confronting the diffusion question broadly? There are so many systems that feel like complete code. Oh, it's the beautiful end to end engineered system. And then you realize that, oh, wait, actually, if this person doesn't fill out this form at this time, the whole system grinds to a halt. Because that's just the way this organization was designed years ago. So these are the complex use cases that Blitzy is designed for. So we designed this for the messy brownfield legacy code base where the system is going to come in. It's going to create a knowledge graph and we're building and Running the application. Right. So inside of a vm, we are building around the application, looking at what's going on, and then we've invented a proprietary way to store and then have agents be able to traverse a graph, understand what's going on, and then build large amounts of work on top of it. How did you talk about the category overall during your fundraise? Is, you know, every single day there's, there's a new company in this space and everything we've seen so far is that there's just such overwhelming demand that almost every company is, is doing well. And almost every company would have been seen as best in class if it was in another category, you know, based on their growth a few years ago. But how are you talking about the category? How do you see it evolving when everyone kind of wants to do everything, at least in the fullness of time? So I'm curious how you pitched it. Yeah. So we really focus on autonomy. Right. So if you look at what's out there today, there are things that run for a half hour, things that run for a day continuously without a human in the loop. Our system is at its core defined to run for long periods of time. We're the most inference compute intensive platform out there, driving up code quality. So like we'll have our system, it can run for weeks on end. We're improving the quality of code specifically focused on those large, large brownfield code bases. So that's where we found our sweet spot inside of the enterprise. No one else is as laser focused from a technology perspective as we are in large brownfield, large scale autonomy. And as the models get better, we continue to rise up and take advantage of that. So we are, we are a long transformer. We want as much capex investment into the category as possible from other people. Yeah, but, and it's like clearly, clearly a compelling pitch because you raised the 200 million. But it is, it is. I mean, I think it's notable that I would say that. Would you say that is quite a similar pitch to many of the other companies in the space, or do you, are they saying they're focused on autonomy, but they're really not? And it's more point solutions or models. The world has looked at being able to have a system run continuously for a day as autonomy. What we've done is we've redefined that to weeks at a time doing hundreds of thousands or millions of lines of code that have been end to end tested ahead of it. Getting back to the human, we've set a new Benchmark for what's possible against these large scale code bases. We are basically setting the frontier for autonomous software development. Okay, I can't find it, but I saw Meta put out a new benchmark today. And the benchmark was basically take the frontier model and try and recreate an entire repo, an entire piece of software from scratch. And all the Frontier LLMs were performing very poorly. They were 0%, 3% maybe. It was very rough. You see a similar dynamic with ARC AGI v3. The frontier models, the most amazing models are at like 0.2%, 0.5%. And then at the same time you have people with like, you know, AI agent psychosis and vibe coding, tons of things. And like incredible results from the models and like incredible revenue ramps from all the labs. And I'm wondering how you square these, like what are the models still bad at? How are you processing the question of like spiky intelligence? Where are you getting the most value and where are you seeing. Okay, it's not quite there yet. So you see a rapid depreciation of intelligence after you exceed like 100k context window. And so they're advertising a million, 10 million. There's someone sub cupid out 12 million context window. Yeah, I wanted that. It's not real. Yeah, I wanted to ask you about that, but continue. Yeah, they're using sparse attention beyond that point. Right. And so you can kind of get it right. Sometimes the academics will call this context pressure. And so what's important is that you limit the LLM's ability to look within its effective context window just in time every time to do the right amount of work as the code bases scale. Like you see results depreciate pretty dramatically. Right. And so you have to be able to have a system level approach, not just throw a model at it with a slightly larger advertised context window to solve these large scale problems. And so that means like orchestrators and like teams of agents. Like there's one agent on this 100k token chunk of code and it's very good at that. And then it's coordinating with another agent. Is that the solution? Yeah, but code is relational, not serial. Right. And so like, like you, you can't just say the serial 100k token, which 10,000 lines of code, but you have to cut it in half to account for prompts and tools. Right. So now we're talking about a minuscule view, but the entire relational aspect of, well, it's something way over here in this service. It's actually relationally relevant to what's going on just in time. So you have to be able to understand. You have to create an ability to understand code which people used to do with language specific version, specific asts. We've invented a language agnostic version, agnostic way to understand code. Well, congratulations on the round, Congratulations on the progress. Great to meet you. Keep on Blitzen. Sounds good, guys. Great. Have a good one. Good morning.
Up next we have the CEO of GE Vernova, Scott Strazik, AI Data center. Electricity demand is expected to double or triple by 2035 and we have the perfect person to talk to about it. Nice to meet you. Thank you so much for coming on down. Thanks for having me. I appreciate it. I would love to start a little bit with your background because G.E. vernova is. I mean we can go through a little bit of the history there. But you've been with the company since before the creation of the company. You're older than the company you work for. The practical reality. My adult life I was with GE and ultimately G. Vernova. But I started with General Electric right out of college and lived through quite a few chapters. That's amazing. Some humbling, some less humbling. And this one is invigorating. It's a moment that we're going to take advantage of. We see the purpose of what we're doing every day very clearly, both in driving economic growth, AI national security. Energy security is very much national security in a lot of the parts of the world right now. So we've got a real opportunity to serve and that's exactly what we're going to do. So I think most people will know, you know, natural gas turbine for data center, but the business is bigger than that. Like zoom out for us and show and walk us through, you know what the shape of the business because, you know, massive workforce, 85,000 people, something like that. You bet. 85,000, yeah. Remarkable. So walk me through the mechanics of the business and then we will double click on the AI story, of course. Sounds great. I mean you take a step back. About a third of the world's electricity every day is created with our equipment through our customers. Exclude China. So it's substantial and even with China it's 25%. No pressure by the way. It's an obligation, it's a responsibility. The Jamie Dimon of energy. It's a big deal. Yeah, right. So that's just keeping the lights on notwithstanding what we need to do to then add the growth for where there is today. And that install base, that's gas turbines, that's nuclear power plants, that's wind turbines. It's a lot of the electrical equipment that's actually our fastest growing business is everything associated with electrification and the grid. And trying to make the grid more efficient is and smarter because frankly in some ways you can make more progress there quicker than you can build a new power plant. Okay, so all those variables are parts of the business and Then in an economic opportunity where we need a little bit of everything and applying the right technologies, where the right resources exist to drive better economic answers and more resilient electrons. Yeah, it seems like, it seems like the market or just the stories that I hear are that you're sold out, you have this massive backlog and it's more of the same. There's demand for more of the same, but it feels like you're also working on R and D. Talk to me about the trade off versus just scaling what's already working, what's worked for years, I imagine decades in many cases, versus a focus on research and development, the next technology. So the end product in some cases may look the same coming out of the factory. What we're producing or how we're producing it to scale and make more is changing drastically. So you think about gas turbines. Right now we're adding a lot of production workers to build more gas turbines. We're also adding 400 machines this year to automate a lot more in the process. Frankly, more of the innovation right now may be how do we scale faster and in a more economic way so we can win the affordability game while simultaneously investing for the future. Can you explain like I'm five. Some of those machines that you're buying, some of your supply chain? You bet. People know 3D printers or CNC machines or different, you know, you just hammer it out yourself or whatever. But I imagine it's very complicated. What does your supply chain look like? We big castings, big four things that we get inside the factory that need to machine down to the right, put the right material sciences, the right coatings. When you think about a gas turbine, it's got to be very heat resistant because it's a fire that really is spinning inside that gas turbine to create the electrical power. Ultimately, yeah. On the demand side, I have been hearing about the absolute knockout drag out fight for energy. And in many cases I don't know if it's relevant to you, but in many cases we've heard about folks involved in the AI build out, putting in orders for more than they need and then sort of dialing it back because they know that certain things won't get permitted, certain things will get delayed. Does that happen to you? Are your customers coming to you and saying that they need twice what you think they need and there's this battle of back and forth? I wouldn't say so. What I see happening more frequently is many of our customers are developing enough number of projects acknowledging that not all those sites are going to be chosen and the actual supply is a little bit liquid and they can move it around. And that's more what's happening. So sometimes we'll see press releases on leases canceled or sites that are. That customers walk away from. That's typical development, really. What's really happening is our customers are buying at a realization rate, knowing they're only going to ultimately develop a certain proportion of those sites. But we don't see any of our customers walking away from what they're securing today. Got it? Not at all. Yeah, that makes sense. What are your roadblocks? What roadblocks do you see to scaling either inside your business or at sort of the macro political level, permitting approvals, regulatory. Like what is on your short list of what America needs to do, what the industry needs to do to get right to actually continue to scale? In some ways, what we do is a little bit easier, candidly, because our equipment is built in a controlled factory. Sure. The hardest part in some ways is actually building the plant itself. The construction. Yeah. Because every plant in different parts of the country, different parts of the world, everyone's a little bit different in getting that craft labor to those locations where a lot of the data centers and a lot of the electrification demand is, is often very remote. Yeah. And that is going to take us some time. So for me, every gas turbine, wind turbine that I build, I'm using the same workforce every day. Yeah. Same people coming in Monday through Friday. We can meet the moment from an equipment demand perspective. But we need out in the field for those plants to be built so they're ready for our pedestals when they come out of the factory. Getting that orchestra right, that the site is ready when our equipment is ready is going to be a challenge. And we're going to have to keep investing in craft labor in these locations to do the build. What is investing in craft labor look like? I mean, we've heard about reskilling, retraining, trade schools. Is there a drought? Are people already seeing the news and seeing the stock price and retraining and reskilling, or is this more of like a decade long process for America? We've been successful so far. We've added about 1800 production workers in the last 15 months. We'll keep growing that number from here. You work to make the jobs more attractive. Part of how you do that is you take out the dull, dirty, unsafe work and that's where you automate. Yep. And then you allow these workers to thrive doing what they want to do. Yeah. But the Reality is they have a lot of pride in what they're doing. Every day we put the customer name, where the project is going with everything we build so they understand the impact they're having. So it's not just a piece of electrical equipment. They know how they're providing light and a middle class growth to Vietnam or economic expansion in the US And I think they see it as real. Have you considered engraving the signature of the technician on the engine? Like Mercedes. Exactly. But I think making a personal match. Yeah, yeah, that makes a lot of sense. So there's a lot of pride. What else is in the portfolio? I mean, you mentioned wind. I think nuclear. You mentioned briefly, like walk me through the scope of your ambitions in energy generation. Broadly for the business. Yeah. But nuclear is important. We're building small modular reactors today. Think 300 megawatt machines. That can be. They're big, but they're built inside an American football field. Yeah. So that's 300,000 US homes that can be powered from one small modular reactor. That is within a US football field. Yeah. So that's very.300 megawatts. And that still qualifies as small and modular. That's relative to what used to be for nuclear. Okay. You know, and it used to be a gigawatt plug. Yeah, yeah. Like a big Westinghouse developed multiple years, precisely built on site, massive concrete structures. Now we're trying to build a lot of them within this construct so that we can come down the cost curve. Yeah. Because the reality is every nuclear plant historically was a snowflake and that's why the industry never really became economically competitive. No standardization. And we're fixing. So that's important. And what is the regulatory approval process for that? I mean, I've heard that there's this famous line around like the NRC hasn't approved a new design in decades. Is that what you're feeling? Does it feel like there's a shift? Definitely. Yeah. I guess the question is like when. Like we're now about two years and a month since the spin out. Yes. Was. Was small modular reactors on the roadmap when the spin out occurred. And then the opportunity has got more compelling from a regulatory standpoint since then. Yeah. We're in construction on the first plant right now. It's in Canada outside of Toronto. We will get NRC approval for the first plant in the U.S. i think this summer will be in construction. And we've committed to the administration that as soon as we get the approval, we'll be ready to work on day one. And then from when we start construction, it's about a four year cycle from the beginning to getting to commissioning. So this can start to happen. And that's where the comparison to the large block, it's more of a 10 year construction cycle. That's a long time to wait for new electrons. But even if you want 1.2 gigawatts, the beauty of the small modular reactors is you can do them in blocks and every two years after you get the first one built, add 300 megawatts, which also then meets a lot of our customer expectations to grow with the electrons. So this is going to be an important part of the equation for us. Are those two completely separate divisions or is there some fluidity across the workforce on the front end of the business? Commercially there certainly is with customer relationships, but from a manufacturing and an engineering perspective, they're pretty distinctly different. That makes sense. What has been surprising to you about where the energy infrastructure build out is at today relative to the AI boom versus what was predictable when the spin out first happened? Certainly in the US the demand has accelerated greatly in the last two years and one month. No question about it. But weren't you seeing that? Don't you feel like you had a early stages? Early stages. What I'd say that has surprised us though is there was probably concern that as the US market started to take off, it would price out a lot of other markets in the world from even being capable of buying the equipment. Interesting. The reality is we still see a very strong demand signals from a lot of the markets in the world. I mean, in the first quarter we had very strong demand in Vietnam and Mexico, in Canada, in Saudi, in Kuwait. So the global dynamic is still driving real growth above and beyond the AI dynamic. Yeah. The reality is AI specific. It's about 20% of our backlog today. Yeah. Interesting. And those international projects, I guess due to having 30% of the global market. Right. You've got responsibility. The scale is just already so immense that even if you have a massive acceleration via new technology cycle, and I think with a lot going on in the world today, more countries just realize for just national security reasons, they need a diverse portfolio of solutions to electrify and energize their country. So. And that really goes back to really the war in Ukraine and it's only been accentuated over the last five years. Yeah. How have you processed some of the writing coming out of places like San Francisco? I'm thinking, you know, Leopold, situational awareness, where if you look back over the last couple years he's been right over and over and over. At the time a lot of people reading that even in AI seemed would think like, hey, this seems pretty aggressive. But to date he's been quite accurate. Even, even some more sci fi kind of exercises like AI 2027 have been relatively accurate up until this point. But how did you, how did you process, you know, basically kind of the analysis coming out of the AI community and SF going back a few years. It's hard for me to kind of decipher how this is going to play out and who are going to be winners and losers and how that plays. But it's very hard when you take a step back in this country and really throughout the world to not believe we don't need a lot more infrastructure build for communities and economies to thrive. So at the end of the day we're deeply investing in these businesses to meet this moment. And we think we're pretty early in this journey and are going to keep investing into it. Is sovereign AI driving any of the international demand that you mentioned? You start to see some of the hyperscalers evaluate more build out in Southeast Asia as an example. So they'll try to use exactly. Malaysia, Indonesia, natural gas, but adjacent to Singapore for law. So in that regard that's happening. Certainly Taiwan's one of our biggest markets. That's because of TSMC. So we are commissioning almost 10 gigawatts of power primarily for TSMC. So that's not for data centers but for fabs for the fabs for the chip. I had no idea they were so electricity intensive. Significant demands in Taiwan for that adjacency. Yeah. So. And that's happening in the US too. As you think about some of the chip fab factories that are being built. So it's not just the AI factories. Yeah. It's the infrastructure around it that needs the electron. Okay, help me understand some of the less sexy or less obvious maybe pieces of the grid that need to be modernized need to scale up. If we're familiar with the turbine, we're familiar with the nuclear reactor, these are very tractable things. But I'm sure there's so many other pieces of the electron delivery supply chain that are important and you're involved in. I mean if you just take a step back, the system is really is built, was built for a coal plant to in one direction flow electrons towards a house or a factory. And that was a 24,7 flow. Very stable. Exactly. And then you still had peak demand during the day or dead or summer. Summer. Exactly. So that was where we started. Yeah. Now you have all these variable forms of generation. Yeah. On top of that, you have electrons that are going in multiple directions because you have people selling their electrons back into the grid on their roof. Yeah. And the system is not optimizing all those electrons. Yeah. So we have an old machine, for all intents and purposes, that is not doing a great job matching the supply with where the demand is. Part of that is for boring reasons, like we have islanded grids in the US it's not one connected machine to project things to where it needs to be. Is that possible? Yes. Given the geographic diversity and like how spread out the United States is, could. Is it possible that I could sell electrons in California and it could wind up in New York? Certainly in the 48 states for sure. Really? I mean, there's no reason we shouldn't be able to build a meshed grid that works today. We don't have that now. I think in this regard, the federal government's pushing hard on historical precedent to try to drive efficiency because that's a faster way to incremental electrons in some way than simply building more plants. We're working on that. Yeah. Part of that is making new connections that bring islands together. Part of it is also, and this is frankly the harder part, different regulatory structures and market practices to allow different players to get paid in that. And that is sometimes harder. Yeah. But we're working our way through that. Talk about nuclear timelines, we've seen a bunch of announcements from hyperscalers. It feels like 2030, 2032. You see 2035. Even stepping aside from your business just broadly, I think a lot of us track vodal. That took decades. When do you think we'll be getting new electrons from a new nuclear plant in America? You bet. I mean, I start with the fact that we've got about 56 existing plants in the US that can add 5 gigawatts of power by upgrading running. Okay, that can happen this time and that counts. Yeah. And that'll happen soon. So that's the first step. New incremental plants. 2032, 2031. That's about right. Yep. But then we can scale and in the next decade this can become a much more meaningful part of the equation for the country in the world. Okay. Yeah, that makes sense. Is that going to be deeply capex intensive at some point? Once that 2032 there's a rationalization, a realization that working but we in order to 10x100x the nuclear production there's going to be some sort of capex boom and a delay in the investment before it gets recouped and starts generating electricity. Nuclear is definitely capex heavy, but then it lasts forever. Yeah, so the life cycle cost of nuclear can be very compelling. But there is a significant upfront cost. Talk about some of the other initiatives that are happening broadly around electrification and just grid reliability. We've talked to companies that are doing home batteries to try and release some of the. There's the Tesla Powerwall, there's Base Energy, there's a few other companies that are working in that space. Are there any other sort of near term between now and 2032 steps that you think America or the grid should be taking to just modernize and create more efficiency and more electrical abundance? Do think in most applications you're going to continue to see storage grow in the system. We historically think about storage primarily with solar. The reality is storage is going to start to be attached to many power generation sources to create more optionality for us and that's a good thing. And that attached with software can ensure that we get more of the electrons where it's needed. Yeah, you mentioned solar. What is the bull case for an American solar dominant industry? It feels like China is very cost competitive. There's discussions of hey, if they're cheap, maybe we should just buy them all and install them. We have a friend who has that take. There's other folks who are more on the tariff and let's, you know, put some barriers in place to give our indigenous industries a chance. Where do you fall on what it takes to roll out, I guess as much solar as we need? Yeah, I'd say stationary equipment, solar panels or batteries. China's ahead by a lot of where they struggle still to a larger extent is with rotating equipment. That requires another level of material sciences. That means tracking the sun. Well, no, outside of solar shifting in the comparison to a turbine, a wind turbine, although they're competitive, they're nuclear, it requires another level of heat resistant technology that we still have quite a lead on. That's great. But on the stationary equipment like a solar panel or storage, it's going to be tough. The investments that have been made in those factories to automate and the capex required, that is a challenge. But the reality is the country has a lot more resources than China has. Sure, we have very inexpensive gas. We have a much more advanced nuclear industry here. We have plenty of land that has good wind and solar to take advantage of in a grid that we can do more with that already exists versus Having to create it from scratch. So we have a lot going for us. But in this regard, we do need to build in a different way going forward than the way we have the last 25 years, albeit there wasn't a lot of electricity demand growth the prior 25 years. Yeah, yeah, that makes sense. Lots of Silicon Valley companies today building in energy. How are you thinking about M and A over the long term? I think a lot of these teams are very talented. Many of them will probably create interesting innovations, but a lot of them won't necessarily get to real scale and maybe be a standalone public company, let's say, but could be an interesting tuck in for a platform like GeV. How are you thinking about M and A? Are you meeting these companies? Do you ever invest in them? It's a big part of our future. I mean, we, we try to lean into the ventures game more and more, but we want to be thought of as a partner that these companies come to because we do know how to industrialize things at scale. We have very strong relationships with the end customers. And part of why I appreciate opportunities to come and talk with you guys is that's the company we want to be seen as, as a partner of choice whenever they choose that. It doesn't have to be M and A and an acquisition. It can be an alliance in different ways because it's going to take many different partnerships and many different structures for us collectively as a country to meet the moment for NOVA also doesn't have all the answers. There's a lot of stuff we know how to do, but there's a lot in this ecosystem that we've got to get better at. Which is why to some extent one of the big pluses for us right now is as our customers have shifted more to Silicon Valley and it's about 20% of our backlog today. They're making us better because they think about innovation differently, risk and reward a little differently. And timelines maybe. Timelines for sure. Timelines for sure. And I think that's good for everybody. Totally, totally. It's good. Yeah. Right. Right now there's, there's, you know, maybe, you know, everyone's frustrated because they want it, they want it now, but at the same time, yeah, just, just increasing that innovation cycle will be better for everyone in the long run. Did you feel like you went through a culture reset process during the spin out? What did you take from GE versus what did you, what do you try to create, build from the ground up? The fact that I had been there have been 25 years. It's because I always liked the ambition of the company and I always loved the people. At the same time, we always didn't perform as well as we could have. Which really comes back to focus. And the beauty of the spin out is it got us focused on one purpose every day. We weren't competing with a health care business or an aircraft engine business for capital. Our board wasn't diversified to solve many problems. We're here to lead in expanding the electric power system and ultimately decarbonizing the world in the process. And I think that focus, as much as anything, is also helping us attract another level of talent. Totally. Because I think a lot of young people see climate change as an example, one of their generation's biggest challenges. And there's no confusion that Vernova can be a company that can move that needle at scale. So it's helping us just perform better with focus. It's also helping us attract another level of talent and create our own culture while still protecting for the ambition and what was a great people culture. But we were a big company inside GE and sometimes too many goals or no goals at all. I love that you're like, it's so nice being at a small company now of 85,000. I have two final quick questions. One, I would love to know what a year in the life looks like for you. Where are you spending time with? Where's headquarters? When are you on site? When are you with customers? Like, are you flying around the world constantly? What's, what's your day to day look like over the course of a year? Yeah, I mean our headquarters is in Cambridge, Mass. In Austin. And we, we put the headquarters there because we did want to attract those young people that believe climate change matters and to give them a platform to start their career. And in that regard, it's worked. All that said, I'm not there much. You know, I've spent 10 weeks so far this year outside the U.S. wow, that's a lot in May. But the reality is this is a unique moment. There's a lot of complexity from a geopolitical perspective where governments are very engaged on power generation build out. So you have to show up and have those adult conversations in person. So this year has been very heavy international travel. Sure, I'm on the west coast multiple times a month. That's a given. Admittedly more in Northern California and Seattle than la. But right now we need to be consistently co creating with our customers because they're learning every day what they really need. And this has shifted from what it once was of buying a power purchase agreement and then just getting the electrons to asking us not just for an electron but to build an integrated system that allows them to run their end application the way that they want. And frankly, every customer has somewhat different strategies for what they want. If it's AI for what that AI factory needs to do, we need to co create with them if we're going to serve them. So we're showing up and I need to show up. And then last question. It seems like an incredibly AGI proof company or beneficiary business is huge and diversified. What does it take to get a job at GE Vernova today? Humility, intellectual interest and a real belief in the purpose. We are a company that's hiring a lot of people right now. Take our neighbors at MIT. We've got 69 kids starting with us in July. You took the whole class. 69. That's all because we need to complement those production workers with young engineers that get excited about building something and that's one of the things we're excited about. I think sometimes we talk so much on the risks of job loss totally through AI of course we're going to build a lot of cool stuff and be proud of it. And that takes a combination of a lot of different types of people and we want them to be with Vernova. That's amazing. Do the hyperscaler CEOs wine and dine you? No. There's that apocryphal story about, what was it? Larry Ellison and Elon Musk begging Jensen for GPUs and it's hotly debated. Are people debating? They're not begging you. We're working hard to serve them every day and showing up with with as much humility as we can and working to meet this moment. That's great. Well, thank you so much, Scott. Thanks for having. Great to meet you. Thank you. Appreciate it.
We have our first guest of the show, Harley from Shopify. You got a little preview of him. He's in the waiting room, but he's now in the TVPN Ultradome. Harley, how are you doing? Welcome back to the show. Thank you, Chance. Good to be here. I love coming on the show. Yeah, it's always great having you. Give us an update on Q1. Give us an update on where things are going in the Shopify world. You know, we had our first hundred billion dollar GMV quarter ever. The history of the company last quarter Q4. Thank you. And we just a second consecutive quarter GME growth above 101 billion dollars. Obviously the reason we start with GMV is as you guys know, it's a proxy for how merchants are doing. Revenue was 3.2 billion. I was 34%. And we had free cash flow of $476 million. So across all the metrics we beat which really excited about. I think the big, big story here is that and this sort of came up a bunch on the call. But the way that merchants are coming to Shopify now is really quite remarkable. Like we're seeing some of the largest brands on the planet. Come on. We sign LVMH and Balmain and Bevmo and Orvis and Lands End. And in fact the number of merchants selling more than $100 million annually on Shopify has nearly doubled in the last two years. So that's really amazing. We're now like 14% of all US E com. So we are the second largest online retailer in North America right now, which is amazing. But then on the other side of the spectrum from like the big brands, I think one thing that I didn't get a chance to mention the call today, but this is why I do your show here, is that I actually think one thing that people are missing is that I think no group will benefit more than entrepreneurs in sort of this new AI era. It feels to us now that AI is not only making it more accessible, but also it's accelerating a lot faster. I think you guys maybe the one to introduce me to Groons. I saw Grooms on your show a year ago anyways. I mean Groon started on Shopify in 2023. They're doing nine figures now and they just got acquired by Unilever for a billion bucks. I mean it is remarkable that not only the amount of starts happening but also how big they're getting. So I'm really, really proud of that. And of course we talked a lot about the Agentix stuff on the call both the AI shopping but also Shopify Sidekick and what we're doing for our merchants, we. So let's double click on that. Bevmo Shopify use case or case study because Bevmo was acquired by GoPuff and GoPuff has an app for local delivery. How are they using Shopify? That's an interesting partnership that I wouldn't have expected. BevMo actually has physical stores. Yeah. All over the U.S. and so we're powering all their physical stores as well. The reason actually I really like BevMo is because. Go back like this is my 43rd earnings call. If you go back to sort of the early days, you know, like right to the IPO 2015, merchants were coming to Shopify for one reason they were coming. It was small businesses coming for E Comm. And then obviously some of the business got much bigger and we went into enterprise and then eventually we added on things like point of sale and more recently gentic commerce. I think the interesting part of the current business of Shopify is that there are so many on ramps into the company that bevmo came to us a very large company, not a dtc, you know, native brand. They came to us specifically for point of sale across all their physical stores. And actually our point of sale business is going really, really well too. But Bevo is using us for that. At the same time we're seeing, you know, obviously I mentioned Grooms, but like I just looked at some stats from True Classic Tea you just put out. This company started on Shopify like five years ago. They're now one of the largest T shirt companies on the planet. So we're getting a lot of small business getting started. Every 26 seconds or so, a brand new entrepreneur gets their first sale. And at the same time we're seeing companies like Lands End or Guilt Group or Rag and Bone come to us too. It feels like this is Shopify, you know, firing all cylinders. What are. Oh, sorry, go for it. Yeah, just. What, what are people looking for on agented commerce? It feels like there's a big opportunity. The models are getting better and better. Like the capabilities. There are people looking for acceleration of, of agentic behavior within the online commerce world or actual growth of E commerce. Like, is agentic commerce the thing that gets more people to place to. To use the Internet to buy things that are in retail? Like okay, so yeah, so I think that's exactly the right question asked. So hopefully now I've been on the show enough times and if anyone who's watching is a merchant or a partner or just a someone who follows shop. We've set ourselves up to really be at the epicenter in sort of this AI era. So just in terms of AI powered shopping, we've started building all this infrastructure years ago to connect demand and merchants on Shopify. We are currently the only platform that is selling inside of ChatGPT, Copilot and Google. And what we're seeing is that these channels are actually becoming a very serious discovery engine. I'll give you some proof points we have seen for Q1 of this year we've actually seen orders from AI searches are up nearly 13x year on year and new buyer orders from AI searches are occurring at twice the rate of traditional organic search. So not only are more people obviously using Agentix shopping, but in terms of new buyers, which to your point are we bringing in more people like E Comm as a percentage of total retail is still under 20% in the U.S. it's even lower here in Canada, I think it's about 25% in the UK. So I think we're actually introducing like more people to modern digital commerce through this as well. And I think the way it's happening is they're starting with things like research or looking up a recipe and then very quickly ended up buying from our home, our Place or one of these amazing DTC brands that we have on Shopify. And we now have about a billion products in the catalog and so that means that every Shopify merchant SKU is fully syndicated. The other thing I think that hopefully is now pretty clear is ucp. We co developed UCP with Google. I think I announced it on the show actually during nrf but it is now has become the industry standard this past week. Last week Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Salesforce and Stripe all join the UCP Tech Council. And so it looks like that's going to be the open center that that is going to win which we're really excited about because we think it's the open standard that actually thinks about the entire commerce experience. Okay, go deeper on the implications of agentic commerce because I have this thesis that agentic commerce will be most acceleratory in higher ticket more considered purchases. Because when I think about just buying a T shirt, maybe I need to run a deep research report for that to land on. I forget what shirt brand you use. It's nice but true classic tee. True classic tees. But when I think about the process of like buying a car, there's so many more trade offs. It's so much more complicated that's something that someone is probably noodling on with an LLM for weeks before they actually go and purchase. And I'm wondering if you're. Yeah, I'll give you it really, I think comes down to the difference of like considered purchases versus like pure utility purchases. So like when I think about, I don't right now, I can't imagine myself using chatgpt to like go grocery shopping. Maybe that changes in the future. But if I'm like ordering food to be delivered to my house, I kind of want to just see a catalog of a bunch of pictures of what it is and maybe that more of that sort of moves into the sort of agent experience over time. But if I, I was like, I needed to find, I wanted to find a cowboy hat, a lot of sun. I wanted to hide from the sun. So I'm search like, okay, I want a cowboy hat brand that's been around for over 50 years, right? And so I land on like Stetson or. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, or, or to Covis. Hopefully that's a brand we love. I'm not sure. So I'm not sure I fully agree, at least not yet. I do believe that the more research you do, I think that these agentic surface, these agent surfaces, these chats are places you will go to do deep research. So a car is a good example. You do weeks of it as well. On the flip side though, what's amazing about agentic commerce, I think in general is that unlike search based commerce where you can put your thumb on the scale through advertising and add dollars, agentic is more merit based. And because it's more merit based, so most people watching, maybe, I don't know if this is true, but most people watching may not have heard of True Classic Tea, but they may have done a bunch of research in previous conversations, in fact, maybe over many months where they're talking about their typical price of a T shirt. Today I'm wearing a James Purse T shirt which is more expensive than True Classic. So it knows that I love James Purse. I've talked to it about James Purse, where can I buy it, what's the GSM weight and all that stuff? Will this be good for this particular trip I'm taking? I actually think that it'll bias smaller brands that you may not have heard of over larger brands because again, it has a full contextual history of every conversation you've ever had. And if it's merit based, then it's going to surface brands you may have not otherwise have heard of before. Whereas if you go to type in on any search engine you type in sneakers, you're probably going to get to footlocker pretty quickly. I don't think you get to footlocker through an agentic conversation. I think you end up with some sort of direct to consumer brand. Especially if you've done. If it knows you like you like on running and you're looking for like you buying tennis shoes and now you're looking for hiking boots. It may show you. It should show you based on merit an on running pair of hiking boots. Yeah, the long tail getting fatter which again we'll see what happens. The reason I also I like these proof points again like orders are up traffic though if you look at just AI driven traffic to Shopify stores that has grown 8x year over year. So I don't want to be hand wavy anymore about, about agentic. I think there's enough hand waving happening around that I think actually looking at like okay, how many people are coming? What is the search traffic like how much is you know what, what are the conversion rates looking like? I think right now I think that is getting, it is getting real. I also think that you probably saw some recent headlines but you know you saw ChatGPT has now moved into this in app browser into further checkout which is literally the Shopify checkout. We are really happy about that. We think actually what that allows is that it means that as a merchant who set up their loyalty and their subscriptions and their merchandising and you know, their shipping components, their tax now the experience inside of Gen 2 commerce is as good as it would be on the online store which is kind of what I think consumers want. Like it needs to feel effort effortlessly similar to what your normal experience is even though you're sitting in a conversation window. Yeah, yeah, that's. That's something. It was interesting last year watching a bunch of AI LED browsers get built when the entire time my thought was like LLMs effectively are web browsers. They were becoming browsers. Right where you're having a conversation but then it can populate, then it can pull in stuff from the traditional web. Very cool. Yeah. I think this is also where one you'll see hasn't. I mean I don't have any great examples yet but I assume next time I'm on the show I'll be able to bring some examples of these breakout SMBs who effectively, you know, like I love the Gruen story going from zero to billion acquisition three years. We just haven't seen that before very often. I think you'll see way more of that. I also think what you'll end up with is you'll just have more people starting businesses that otherwise may have not. So the, the entry, like the Barrett entry is further down and then their ability to scale is also going to be. We were talking to the Collison brothers about exactly that. They're seeing a ton more formation on Atlas. Yeah, I saw that Crazy Atlas. Yeah, yeah. Incorporations like way, way up and then it makes sense because again, it's gotten so easy, but it's not. I think the first phase is make it easy to get started. I think where this really gets interesting is how many more brands exist that we love the consumers love because they're able to scale much, much faster. Well, thank you so much for taking the time to come chat with us. Congrats on the progress and looking forward to. Always great to see you. We'll talk to you soon. See you guys in our CX quarter. Goodbye.
Then you can make sure that you're approved and that you have the right deals in place. And you could wind up with a lot of not just regulatory capture, but also regulatory favoritism, where whoever is in good with this particular administration gets their models approved faster. And you wind up with a lot of risky outcomes. Anyway, I believe we have Courtroom Simulator ready for a demo. If you're tuning in to the Elon Musk OpenAI trial, you're live streaming the the audio in a different tab because we can't restream it for you. You live stream the audio in a different tab and then you pull up Courtroom Simulator. You pull it up on the big screen. I think we're going to pull it up on the big screen. This is the best way to feel what it's like to be Mike Isaac from the New York Times. So you go to Court Sim Vercel app and you will be entered into a really photorealistic representation of. Hey, the flag is correct. The first version had the flag a little bit flipped. Let's go find Mike Isaac. I believe he's in the first row on the other side, on the right side of the court. There he is with. Oh, Mike. Wow, Looking good. The Rat King graphics in video games have just gotten so good these days. It's really remarkable. And you can sit right next to him. His pillow that he sits on has not been modeled into the game yet, but that will be coming in a dlc. And in the sim, he already ate all of his food for the day, right? Yeah, yeah, yeah. We need to have a banana mechanic. Yeah. You should be able to go and hand a banana and can you. Can you. You can go into the court. That does not seem okay. I think the bailiff should come and arrest you if you wind up coming to the. Is there. Is that in the game? The soundboard. Soundboards. There's soundboard in the game. Okay, so there's Sam, who's on the stand today. I think that was Elon. Okay. That's the judge, I believe, and I'm not sure who that is. Anyway, that's the judge. Well, this is Courtroom Simulator. You're welcome to go and play it at Court Sim Vercel app. You can engage with all the jury members and really get a feel for why this. Let's work on adding some more features here. I think you should be able to deliver some reinforcements to my guys. Startup. It's a lean startup over here. It's a V1. But we hope you have a fun time playing the simulation. It is court-sim.vercel.com I think. Or app, anyway. In other news, Brian Armstrong sent an email to all employees at Coinbase announcing layoffs. 14% of the workforce at Coinbase. Two forces are converging at the same time, he says, and.
Look that up. But in Amazon news, the number of monthly releases of ebooks on Amazon is going vertical. We are in the fast takeoff of AI slot books. Apparently that is the conclusion. John Arnold just says, ha ha ha ha ha. And it does look like the rate of publishing on Amazon is going vertical. Explaining this to somebody, in 2022, there's going to be a renaissance. Four years from now, there's going to be 350,000 books being published every month. Every month. And they're like, you're not going to be happy with why though. Yeah, it is crazy. I mean, if you had asked me to guess how many books were being released every month on Amazon in the pre AI era, I don't know if I would have put it at 100,000. That's a lot of bucks. I feel like we talk to a lot of authors. I see the hyped books. I see the New York Times bestseller list. I don't really see the 999 or 99,900 books that don't make the cut in the given month. I maybe hear about five or ten new books every month. But lo and behold, they were in fact churning out 100,000 books. Now it's over 300,000 books every month on Amazon. Bullish for Amazon. If you like slop, it's good for you too. I don't know, maybe there's some good stuff on there. It all depends. The models are getting better, they're getting less sloppy and I think people will wind up liking them. There's some a house videos that I like out there. You know, there's going to be one book that's fully AI generated that is of high quality. Tyler, did you get the stat on GME stores pre. Pre buyout? I would love to know. You don't need to cut to him while he's. While he's looking it up. Brutal. Well, you can come back to that.
Posting plenty over this week. Thank you for tuning in. We will see you on Friday. Have a good week. Goodbye. Love you. Leave us. Five stars on Apple podcast and Spotify cyber newsletter tvpn.com goodbye.
Me back to my roots. What's something that ebay is not doing today that you think they could expand into? Or is that even the right question? Do you think the core business is just so great and they're so dominant in many of these categories that you just want to pour fuel on the fire? Live commerce? Yeah, but to me, to me, that's an extension, right, because they have a lot of inventory. It's just a new selling channel. Channel. Yeah. Yeah. But I mean, in terms of doing that, well, accelerating revenue growth, you know, I think that that is, that's big. And so going much deeper into collectibles in luxury trading cards. There's, there's a lot of Runway there. Do you have a position on international capital providers? A lot of these big deals, the, you know, maybe they start at 50.
And if profitability is increasing, we'll keep the stores open. And if it's not the case, then we'll shrink the store base. Okay. A couple other scenarios. In a world where an M and A doesn't happen, is there a business partnership to be done where verification of rare collectibles can happen at GameStop physical retail stores for a price and ebay is paying GameStop for that service? Is that something you've explored? Is that something that's at all likely to happen? Well, that would. So, yes. And it would basically take $0 in capex in order to. Something like that. And it's a good idea. I hope that doesn't want to, that doesn't happen because I want to, I want to run the entire thing. But if it doesn't, then, I mean, there's, there's a partnership option. I reached out to ebay like, I don't know, maybe a year or two years ago to talk to them about partnering and they didn't engage. Seriously, like everyone, that everyone's on vacation. Everyone's always on vacation. Like they're not available. They have assistance. I'll get back to you next week. And it's like, let's go. Get it done now. So then they never get back to you. Then you're following up. It's like there's, there's, there's no sense of urgency at that company. There's no sense of urgency, frankly, at most companies. So it never gained any traction. Etsy is trading at 6 billion. Is that a target if the ebay plan doesn't come together? No collectibles action there. It was in the chat. I gotta ask. Ebay is just such a natural fit for the collectibles, leveraging our store print footprint, but then also like my ability to cut costs and build something much larger at the company. So everything else is, if it doesn't work out, we could find something else. But I like ebay. It brings me back to my roots. What's something that ebay is not doing today?
And the rest would be them rolling the equity into the combined company. Sure. Yeah. I think the rolling of the equity was the thing that if it had got into the viral clip from CNBC yesterday, would have made a lot more sense. I'm glad we're getting it in now. Yep. Is there, I guess how much of your critique of ebay is specifically around the current management team? They've done a decent job. It's look, it's anyone. When you've got Perverse Financial and they're, they're not operating like owner, it just, you know, when, when you've got it it all on the line, you're gonna do whatever it's gonna take. 20 hour days, seven days a week, you're not gonna stop. And when, when equity is given out to you like candy, I mean it's, it's, it's all companies. So you know, the directors, board of directors make $4 million like 350 to 450,000 per director. There's been no insider buying at the company. I mean like it's not a surprise they're not going to light the money on, they're not going to light the world on fire. But you've got a bunch of professionals in the board and a professional management. If this deal goes through, roughly what percentage of your personal net worth will be tied to it? Well, I haven't done the math, but if things go correctly then it better be the majority. Otherwise I'm wasting my time. Yeah. What was your first memory using ebay? Were you a power seller back in the day?
There's so much more Runway and it's global. Yeah. I mean, it seems like a huge opportunity. How do you want to be comped based on performance? 100%. Is there any tension between you and the shareholders? How do you actually create alignment there? It would be. My current compensation plan is tied to really lofty metrics and it's based on the. The first tranche I've got to double market cap as an example, just to hit the first tranche and the 10 exit in order for it to fully vest. So I'm not interested in. Yeah, I, I haven't taken a dollar of salary or any bonuses. And you know, it's funny, actually, I just got call from my team today that said this is how I know they hate me. They're not happy about this, by the way, the GameStop. This is the GameStop team. EBay. No, ebay is. Yeah. After this interview, they're really not gonna like me, but because they're gonna find out I'm cutting marketing spend and the board already is like me because I'm calling out all the board fees. But I get a call and they say there is a. There's a. They're calling out your personal assistant. I said, what are you talking about? And they said, they went on the GameStop's career page and they saw that there's a listing for the personal assistant and it's all kinds of personal stuff. And that's basically a CEO benefit. And, you know, it's basically not. You're using company resources. Personally, I pay for my personal assistant. Personally, I don't even pay for. The company doesn't pay for my personal assistant. So they're already starting to get. They're doing whatever they can. They want to fight. Has any major ebay shareholders reached out to you? Have you had.
Of innovation yet. It hasn't been able to be disrupted. So I would expect that to continue to be the case. If it doesn't materialize as an M and A. Are you looking at a board seat? You have a position. Will you be more active in a non M and A scenario? Yeah. I mean, I'm going to. I'm going to do whatever we need to do to protect our investment and to improve the business. But the goal here isn't to be an activist. The goal is I want to own ebay. I want to run ebay. I want that to be my baby. I want to build something much larger. And cost cutting, frankly, is the way to make the business more efficient, to pay down the debt and innovate. But when I think about what I can do with ebay in the future, like, look at chewy. Ebay is like chewy on steroids. And so there's so much more Runway and it's global. Yeah. I mean, it seems like a huge opportunity. How do you want to be comped based on performance? 100%. Is there any tension between.
You could probably go get some referral code or something, but it's not deeply integrated in a way that you can really accelerate on a social platform. Why do you think ebay? Has ebay been a target of any type of deal like this in the past? I'm not familiar with any off the top of my head. But why do you think maybe it hasn't been more of a target? And I guess why do you think you can get more efficiency out of it than maybe some other potential buyers who I'm sure see, see their costs? You know, marketing is something that people gravitate towards, but I'm sure you're seeing other efficiencies as well. So in terms of the competitive landscape on an acquisition, I think there was some people circling around a few years ago. Nothing happened. The strategics can't really do it because I don't think that they would be able to clear antitrust. So any of the large competitors wouldn't be able to acquire it. And you know, I don't think that we would have any regulatory issues getting clearance on, on, on a merger. In terms of the efficiencies. GameStop is a good example. Like GameStop is a dog and it could have been dead. And we breathe life, we breathed a lot of life into this, right? And you look at SGNA, we've pulled out, we've dropped SGA by 47%, $800 million by making marketing more efficient, almost turning off marketing. I mean, everyone knows GameStop, everybody knows eBay. So you talk to the marketing people that tell you like it's going to tank revenues and all of this. And the reality is most of that marketing spend isn't making money. But everyone's trying to protect their jobs and there's kickbacks, there's all kinds of perverse incentives. And so I'm running the business like a family business. You know, it's really not that complicated. And you look at eBay spending 2 1/2 billion bucks to grow 1 million users, 2 billion in cost cuts between sales and marketing and corporate overhead. It's not a lot and it's not something that's going to take a few years. Like it's something that is going to happen fast, fast, fast, because putting leverage on this thing. And I don't want to run a leverage business, so I'm not going to run it hard. I'm going to pay down the leverage and I'm going to increase earnings. They're spending five and a half billion dollars on operating expenses, on $11 billion business that has no inventory and it's asset light. So it just. There's 11 and a half thousand employees and it doesn't make sense. It doesn't. You don't need. I could run that business. I could run that business from my house. Like it's, it's ebay. It looks the same as it did in 1995. 11 and is the Elon Twitter take private someone.
Love it. That's a very strong business and that's right up my alley. Take us through the big vision. Like in five years, you're at the helm, like, how big can this business be? Are you expanding it? Obviously, there's an operational efficiency point, but what is the big picture? What's the blue sky pie in the sky vision for the combined entity? So where we've had success at GameStop and where eBay has had success is in collectibles, trading cards. Collectibles. The founder your show was, was talking about his Mont Blanc. And like, that's a good example. That's perfect item to go and buy on ebay. But you're always concerned that is it going to be real and the trust. And that's something that using GameStop 1600 stores, we can immediately authenticate that item. The seller can ship it, or we can ship it, but we've got 1600 access points that we can do live authentication. So we can go deep in collectibles, leveraging our physical infrastructure. We can increase intake by bringing a lot more product onto the platform. And then there's a lot of other categories that I can, I can grow in. And, you know, you look at live commerce as an example. I mean, eBay has 130 million users, and they're getting crushed by competitors in live commerce. So an owner's mentality, you know, I can, I want to, I want to own ebay forever. Like, I love that business. It's run like a public utility. It should have been wiped out, but it hasn't been. It's been remarkably resilient. How many, how many companies, how many startups have gone after a specific category on eBay raised 100 million plus dollars and yet eBay has remained resilient. So it shows that, that there's, you know, it's, it's a, it's a really powerful platform. Yeah. That's why I love it. And, you know, the website still looks the same as it did in 1995, but everyone's tried to kill this thing. Yep. And it's still making over $2 billion a year. So that goes to show you the durability of the business. Talk about live commerce more would that be.
Did is really interesting to. Just because smaller company buying a much larger company, but the deal still went through, the capital was. Was marshaled. That was something that I think was unclear yesterday for some people was, you know, half cash, half stock. Where is it coming from? How much of this is just an ongoing conversation? And as you work through this process, you'll engage with other, you know, pools of capital or financiers to. To actually put together the final package. Do you have a date that you want this to, like, be done by? I mean, we have the cash. We have the cash accounted for today in terms of a highly confident letter from our bank for the 20 billion plus, we've got 9 billion of cash, so. And the rest would be them rolling the equity into the combined company. Sure. Yeah. I think that was the. That was the rolling of the equity was the thing that if it had got into the viral clip from CNBC yesterday, would have made a lot more sense. I'm glad we're. I'm glad we're getting it in now. Yep. Is there, I guess, how much of your critique of ebay is specifically.
125 bucks a share. Half cash, half stock. That was funny, wasn't it? Have you considered 49% cash? Why did you get to have cash half stock? Can you unpack that a little bit at least? Well, frankly, when you think about me going and running the ebay business, what we're proposing is for existing shareholders to take half of their investment off the table. And that would be us providing them with 28. With $28 billion, which is like a 40% premium from when we started buying the stock. And then they would be getting roughly. I mean, it depends on ultimately when the transaction closes, but they would be rolling the rest into the combined company of Gamestop and ebay. Frankly, with me running ebay, I think that the company, the earnings power of the company is going to increase substantially, as well as the ability to grow. The platform stagnated over the last decade, and I could do a lot with ebay. I love it. That's a very strong business, and that's right up my alley. Take us through the big vision. Like, in five years, you're at the helm, like, how big can this business be? Are you excited?
To. I'm going to do whatever we need to do to protect our investment and to improve the business. But the goal here isn't to be an activist. The goal is I want to own ebay. I want to run ebay. I want that to be my baby. I want to build something much larger. And cost cutting, frankly, is the way to make the business more efficient to pay down the debt and innovate. But when I think about what I can do with EB eBay in the future, like, look at chewy. Ebay is like chewy on steroids. And so there's so much more Runway and it's global. Yeah. I mean, it seems like a huge opportunity. How do you want to be comped based on performance? 100%. Is there any tension between you and the shareholders? How do you actually create alignment there? It would be. My current compensation plan is tied really lofty metrics and it's based on the. The first tranche. I've got to double market cap as an example just to hit the first tranche and the 10 exit in order for it to fully vest. So I'm not interested in. Yeah, I, I haven't taken a dollar of salary or any bonuses. And you know, it's funny actually, I just got a call from my team today that said this is how I know they hate me. They're not happy about this. By the way, the GameStop. This is the GameStop team. EBay. No, eBay is okay. Yeah. After this interview, they're. They're really not gonna like me, but because they're gonna find out I'm cutting marketing spend and the board already isn't like me because I'm calling out all the board fees. But I get a call and I say, there is a. There's a. They're calling out your personal assistant. I said, what are you talking about? And they said, they went on the GameStop's career page and they saw that there's a listing for the personal assistant and it's all kinds of personal stuff. And that's basically a CEO benefit. And you know, it's basically not. You're using company resources personally. I pay for my personal assistant personally. I don't even pay for. The company doesn't pay for my personal assistant. So they're already starting to get their. They're doing whatever they can. They want to fight. Have you. Has any major ebay shareholders reached out to you? Have you had, you know, what is the general sentiment? You know, how do you think. What do you think it'll look like if you take this directly to the shareholders? I don't know. I mean, I would want to. I want to own eBay at $125 a share. We're proposed. There's tax advantages to rolling it, but when I think about what ebay could be worth if I'm running this business, I believe it's a heck of a lot more than $125 a share. And so I would roll 100% of the equity, but we'll see what happens. Yeah.
Show can't wait to see you soon. You guys look fantastic. This is fantastic. We'll have you both back on soon. Talk to you soon. John, Jordy, congratulations, guys. You take care. Thank you. Good night, guys. Cheers. Bye. Just yesterday, Ryan Cohen of GameStop offered a $55 billion unsolicited bid for eBay targeting 2 billion in cost cuts. And we have him joining the show with us now. Ryan Cohen, welcome to the show. Thank you so much for taking the time. How are you? How are you guys? Great to see you. Fantastically. I would love an update. What can you share with us on the situation as things have developed since yesterday, just to sort of set the. Obviously this is moving very quickly. Where are we right now? What's happening? We made an offer yesterday, 125 bucks a share, half cash, half stock. That was funny, wasn't it? Have you considered 49% cash? Why did you get to have cash, have stock? Can you unpack that a little bit at least? Well, I mean, frankly, when you think about me going and running the ebay business, we're proposing is for existing shareholders to take half of their investment off the table. And that would be us providing them with 28, with 28 billion doll, which is like a 40% premium from when we started buying the stock. And then they would be getting roughly, I mean, it depends on ultimately when the transaction closes, but they would be rolling the rest into the combined company of GameStop and eBay. Frankly, with me running ebay, I think that the company, the earnings power of the company is going to increase substantially as well as the ability to grow. The platform stagnated over the last decade. And I could do a lot with ebay. I love it. That's a very strong business and that's right up my alley. Take us through the big vision. Like in five years, you're at the helm, like, how big can this business be? Are you expanding it? Obviously there's an operational efficiency point, but what is the big picture? What's the blue sky pie in the sky vision for the combined entity? So where we've had success at GameStop and where eBay has had success is in collectibles, trading cards, collectibles. The founder, your show was, was talking about his block and I'm like, that's a good example. That's perfect item to go and buy on ebay. But you're always concerned, yeah, that is it going to be real and the trust. And that's something that using GameStop 1600 stores, we can immediately authenticate that item. The seller can ship it or we can ship it, but we've got 1600 access points that we can do live authentication. So we can go deep in collectibles, leveraging our physical infrastructure. We can increase intake by bringing a lot more product onto the platform. And then there's a lot of other categories that I can grow in. And, you know, you look at live commerce as an example. I mean, eBay has 130 million users, and they're getting crushed by competitors in live commerce. So an owner's mentality, you know, I can, I want to, I want to own ebay forever. Like, I, I love that business. It's run like a public utility. It should have been wiped out, but it hasn't been. It's been remarkably resilient. How many, how many companies, how many startups have gone after a specific category on eBay raised 100 million plus dollars and yet eBay has remained resilient. So it shows that, that there's, you know, it's a really powerful platform. Yeah, that's why I love it. And, you know, the website still looks the same as it did in 1995, but everyone's tried to kill this thing and it's still making over $2 billion a year. So that goes to show you the durability of the business. Talk about live commerce more. Would that be just a better integration with TikTok, Instagram streaming, Twitch streaming? Do you need to go and partner with big creators? Do you need to find your own platform for that? Like, how does that actually play out in a world where ebay and you are making a bigger push into live commerce? It makes a lot of sense. But I'm wondering, like, how does it actually work? Yeah, it would be partnering with creators. I mean, they've got the platform, we would improve the platform so it looks better and more consistent with the kind of UI that you have at competitors. But there's the user base, and so it's not something you have to market. It's building out better tech and partnering with creators. Yeah. And the correct incentive structure for those creators. Because I bet you right now you could probably go get some referral code or something. But it's not deeply integrated in a way that you can really accelerate on a social platform. Why do you think ebay? Has ebay been. Been a target of any type of deal like this in the past? I'm not familiar with any off the top of my head, but why do you think maybe it hasn't been more of a target and I guess, like, why do you think you can get more efficiency out of it than maybe some other potential buyers who I'm sure see their costs? You know, marketing is something that people gravitate towards, but I'm sure you're seeing other efficiencies as well. So in terms of the competitive landscape on an acquisition, I think there was some people circling around a few years ago. Nothing happened. The strategics can't really do it because I don't think that they would be able to clear antitrust. So any of the large competitors wouldn't be able to acquire it. And you know, I don't think that we would have any regulatory issues getting clearance on a merger in terms of the efficiencies. GameStop is a good example. Like GameStop is a dog and it could have been dead. And we breathe life, we breathed a lot of life into this thing. Right? And you look at SGNA, we've pulled out, we've dropped SGA by 47%, $800 million by making marketing more efficient, almost turning off marketing. I mean, everyone knows GameStop, everybody knows eBay. So you talk to the marketing people that tell you like it's gonna tank revenues and all of this. And the reality is most of that marketing spends isn't making money. But everyone's trying to protect their jobs and there's kickbacks, there's all kinds of perverse incentives. And so I'm running the business like a family business. You know, it's, it's really not that complicated. And you look at eBay spending 2 1/2 billion bucks to grow 1 million users, 2 billion in cost cuts between sales and marketing and corporate overhead, you. It's not a lot and it's not something that's going to take a few years. Like it's something that is going to happen fast, fast, fast. Because putting leverage on this thing. And I don't want to run a leverage business. So I'm not going to run it hot. I'm going to pay down the leverage and I'm going to increase earnings. They're spending five and a half billion dollars on operating expenses on $11 billion business that has no inventory. And it's asset light. So it just. There's 11 and a half thousand employees and it doesn't make sense. It doesn't. You don't need. I could run that business. I could run that business from my house. Like it's, it's ebay. It looks the same as it did in 1995. The needle. So, so.
Just yesterday, Ryan Cohen of GameStop offered a $55 billion unsolicited bid for eBay targeting 2 billion in cost cuts. And we have him joining the show with us now. Ryan Cohen, welcome to the show. Thank you so much for taking the time. How are you doing? How are you guys? Great to see you. Fantastically. I would love an update. What can you share with us on the situation as things have developed since yesterday? Just to sort of set, obviously this is moving very quickly. Where are we right now? What's happening? We made an offer yesterday, 125 bucks a share, half cash, half stock. That was funny, wasn't it? Have you considered 49% cash? Why did you get to half cash, half stock? Can you unpack that a little bit at least? Well, I mean, frankly, when you think about me going and running the ebay business, what we're proposing is for existing shareholders to take half of their investment off the table. And that would be us providing them with 28. With $28 billion, which is like a 40% premium from when we started buying the stock. And then they would be getting roughly. I mean, it depends on ultimately when the transaction closes, but they would be rolling the rest into the combined company of GameStop and eBay. Frankly, with me running ebay, I think that the company, the earnings power of the company is going to increase substantially as well as the ability to grow. The platform stagnated over the last decade and I could do a lot with ebay. I love it. That's a very strong business and that's right up my alley. Take us through the big vision. Like in five years, you're at the helm, like, how big can this business be? Are you expanding it? Obviously there's an operational efficiency point, but what is the big picture? What's the blue sky pie in the sky vision for the combined entity? So where we've had success at GameStop and where eBay has had success is in collectibles, trading cards, collectibles. The founder, your show was, was talking about his Mont Blanc and I'm like, that's a good example. That's perfect item to go and buy on ebay. But you're always concerned that is it going to be real and the trust. And that's something that using GameStop 1600 stores, we can immediately authenticate that item. The seller can ship it or we can ship it, but we've got 1600 access points that we can do live authentication so we can go deep in collectibles, leveraging our physical infrastructure. We can increase intake by bringing a lot more product onto the platform. And then there's a lot of other categories that I can. I can grow in. And, you know, you look at live commerce as an example. I mean, eBay has 130 million users, and they're getting crushed by competitors in live commerce. So an owner's mentality, you know, I can. I want to. I want to own ebay forever. Like, I love that business. It's run like a public utility. It should have been wiped out, but it hasn't been. Yeah, it's been remarkably resilient. How many. How many companies, how many startups have gone after a specific category on eBay raised 100 million plus dollars, and yet eBay has remained resilient. So it shows that. That there's, you know, it's a. It's a. It's a really powerful platform. Yeah, that's why I love it. And, you know, the website still looks the same as it did in 1995, but everyone's tried to kill this thing. Yep. And it's still making over $2 billion a year. So that goes to show you the. The durability of the business. Talk about live content.
In other news, Brian Armstrong sent an email to all employees at coinbase announcing, announcing layoffs. 14% of the workforce at Coinbase. Two forces are converging at the same time, he says, and Coinbase needs to be front footed to respond to both. First, the market Coinbase is well capitalized, has diversified revenue streams, well positioned to weather any storm. But crypto is also on the the verge of the next wave of adoption with stablecoins, prediction markets, tokenization. However, the business is still volatile. Quarter to quarter, there's a crypto cycle. We've sort of been touching on this like there was a little bit of a stablecoin boom. It feels like it's a little bit flat. The bitcoin price has been a little bit flat recently. And so he says, we're currently in a down market and we need to adjust our cost structure. And then he says, second, AI is changing how we work. And so a lot of people, they jump to AI is taking all the jobs. And that's not exactly what's happening. I think that there is the right sizing going on at Coinbase and AI is hoping to be an enabler of more efficiency with a leaner headcount. The big question that I had that we were debating was, you know, is this like, how does this reflect on Brian Armstrong as a CEO? As a CEO, is the goal to always have the perfect amount of headcount and never have to do any layoffs? Or is it actually the role of a very aggressive and mature CEO staff up aggressively during boom times, get the best people and then when there's a down market, sort of reorganize and keep just the best on the team as you move forward with a leaner organization. And what does that mean for whether you want to work in an industry that has market cycles like that? You might want to go work at Costco or a tobacco company because those don't go through market cycles really at all. But if you, if you're in crypto, you're probably not new to the idea of market cycles. And you probably, you were born on a roller coaster. You're born on the roller coaster, you've been on the roller coaster and you might be moving over to a new roller coaster if you're one of the unfortunate people that will be laid off over the next couple months. But I'm sure there will be many, many more opportunities. Some folks might even move over into the AI world that is booming and definitely hiring.
I believe we have Courtroom Simulator ready for a demo. If you're tuning in to the Elon Musk OpenAI trial, you're live streaming the audio in a different tab because we can't restream it for you. You live stream the audio in a different tab and then you pull up Courtroom Simulator. We pull it up on the big screen. I think we're going to pull it up on the big screen. This is the best way to feel what it's like to be Mike Isaac from the New York Times. So you go to Court Sim Vercel app and you will be entered into a really photo realistic representation of. Hey, the flag is correct. The first version had the flag a little bit flipped. Let's go find Mike Isaac. I believe he's in the first row on the other side, on the right side of the court. There he is with. Oh, Mike. Wow, Looking good. The Rat King graphics in video games have just gotten so good these days. It's really remarkable. And you can sit right next to him. His pillow that he sits on has not been modeled into the game yet, but that will be coming in a dlc. And in the sim, he already ate all of his food for the day, right? Yeah, yeah, yeah. We need to have a banana mechanic. Yeah, you should be able to go and hand a banana. And can you. You can go into the court. That does not seem okay. I think the bailiff should come and arrest you if you wind up coming to the. Is that in the game? The soundboard? Yeah, there's soundboards. There's soundboard in the game. Okay, so there's Sam, who's on the stand today. Okay. That's the judge, I believe, and I'm not sure who that is. Anyway, that's the judge. Well, this is Courtroom Simulator. You're welcome to go and play it at Court Sim Vercel app. You can engage with all the jury members and really get a feel for why this team. Let's work on adding some more features here. I think you should be able to. I think you should be able to deliver some, like, reinforcements to my guys. Start up. It's a lean.