LIVE CLIPS
EpisodeĀ 10-10-2025
Principles on object storage. Fast 10x cheaper and extremely scalable. You see this Reddit post circulating that lists OpenAI's top 30 customers by token consumption. And apparently Duolingo number one second is OpenRouter, but of course their platform doesn't really count. Yeah, routing, routing, consumption. Surprising to see indeed at the top of this list. Do you see number nine, baby, number nine, let's go. It's ramp.com see warp dev on there. Shopify also when this came out, because of their. I don't know if there was this table is like a leak or something, but at Dev Day, OpenAI put up a list of names of people that had been using over a trillion tokens. Right. And people kind of reverse engineered that to understand what the people like, what companies they work for. Right. And I was trying to make a meme that I was sending you and it wasn't quite hitting, but it was like the, the atlas holding up the world meme. And it was like the entire global economy, but Instead of like OpenAI, which is the current meme, it's like 30 companies in wildly different markets that are all using AI. And so that like, like you would be more worried, I think, if this was more circular. And this is the Martin Shkreli take, which is that if it was. If you looked at the top 30 customers and it was all like AI chat, GPT wrappers or something, something very circular, you would be worried. But instead it's companies like Indeed and Duolingo and Ramp and Shopify and all these companies that are touching very different pieces. These aren't competitors. Like Duolingo is not a competitor to Shopify. And so it feels like, it feels like evidence that this is like less circular. I don't know. Yeah, I mean, the. It is. The Grok CEO of Grok Groq recently said that 35 to 36 companies are currently responsible for 99% of token spending in AI right now. Even among those 35 companies, two are by far the most significant spenders. And they're OpenAI and Anthropic. So it's crazy. That's generation. That's buying inference. I'm talking about companies that are buying from OpenAI and buy from anthropology. So one more step, one more step. Because it's like if I'm fine with. It's scary when you hear like, OpenAI is buying 99% of AI stuff. But then when you look under the hood and you see like Duolingo and Ramp and Shopify, it's like, okay, well, that's actually, like, pretty diffuse in the economy. So, yeah, there's two significant spenders, but in those spenders are thousands of other companies. Exactly. Yeah. And I wonder just this idea of, like, there is a trend. We're in a trend right now, the AI wave, and it's holding up the global economy. Like, has. Have other trends held up the global economy successfully? Like, if we go back to industrialization, was that, was that holding up the global economy? Did it successfully hold up?
You can't scroll three posts without seeing somebody posting some type of graphic or meme or just general concern for the circular nature of some of these transactions. And Doug's point is, from some of the analysis from Monday's interview is that the next leg up in the bubble is leverage. But here, Morgan Stanley in this article is estimated the amount of Debt tied to AI has ballooned to 1.2 trillion, making it the largest segment in the investment grade market. So remarkable. Yeah, we were talking about like when does the number actually get big in terms of total debt? Because if you look at like the market for Treasuries, that's obviously way bigger or the market caps of all the hyperscalers combined, that's you know, 10 to 20 trillion. It's really, really big. But 1 trillion of debt feels like a lot. That feels like a lot. And so I wrote and it, but. But the notable thing here is, is understanding who is actually on the hook for the debt. Right. A lot of, I think OpenAI broadly has done, has, has made a extremely, made it had a focus of not tying the debt to the actual for profit entity and then obviously not the, the nonprofit itself. Right. So the question is they can be at the center of all this, but they're not necessarily directly on the hook for any of this, you know. 1.2 trillion. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Where, where, where does the actual debt live? What is it entitled to? Does it have warrants over equity? Like all of that matters a ton. I wrote about the bubble talk in today's newsletter. You can sign up@TBPN.com and.
Are not paying attention. We haven't looked at any markets, prediction markets. We will not be steering the conversation if you happen to have a bet one way or another. Well, I believe we have our guests in the Restream waiting room. But before we bring them in, let me tell you about Julius. What analysis do you want to run? Chat with your data and get expert level insights in seconds. Julius is the AI data analyst that works for you. Connect your data, ask questions. Data superintelligence it is. And we are joined by Sam Altman and Bill Peebles. Sam, Bill, how are you doing? What's going on? Hey, guys. Hey, guys. Great to the show. Congrats on all the progress. I've been enjoying Sora a ton. Personally, I've been enjoying making them. I had a ton of fun making.
An hour and then we're talking to Elad Gil. Before we move on, let me tell you about Turbo Puffer search. Every byte, serverless vector and full text search built from first principles on object storage. Fast 10x cheaper and extremely scalable. You see this Reddit post circulating that lists OpenAI's top 30 customers by token consumption. And apparently Duolingo number one. Second is Open Router, but it doesn't really count. Yeah, routing consumption surprising to see. Indeed at the top of this list. Do you see number nine, baby? Number nine, let's go. It's ramp.com see warp dev on there. Shopify. Sure. Also, so when this came out because of their. I don't know if there was this table is like a leak or something, but at Dev Day, OpenAI put up a list of names of people that had been using over a trillion tokens, right. And there. And people kind of reverse engineered that to understand what these, what the people who like what companies they work for. Right. And I was trying to make a meme that I was sending you and it wasn't quite hitting, but it was like the, the atlas holding up the world meme and it was like the entire global economy, but Instead of like OpenAI, which is the current meme, it's like 30 companies in wildly different markets that are all using AI. And so you would be more worried, I think, if this was more circular and this is the Martin Scralli take, which is that if you looked at the top 30 customers and it was all like AI Chatgpt wrappers or something very circular, you would be worried.
Because it's a popular writing tool. Anyway, Cloudflare did a new rebrand powering 20%. And I guess Ty, former member of the Party Round team, I guess was behind this. Oh, no way. Why else he'd be sharing it? And he also was co founders with Dylan on ctg, which they. Oh, no way. That's very cool. Little bit of lore. Ty is a legend. Extremely talented design designer. When he had reached out to us at Party Round and I talked once with him, if I remember correctly, we didn't immediately make an offer. We were just kind of like, yeah, let's keep talking. And then he built an entire game, like a simulation of a game boy game that you could play on your phone. And he just sent it to me. He like built it. This was like pre vive coding. He just built it and sent it to me. And it was like. It was web based. It was. No, it was mobile. Okay. And I just immediately called him and I was like, okay, we're bringing on the team. This is amazing. Very cool, very cool. I mean, seems like good response. Thousand likes. No one's People are very opinionated about branding launches, you know, launch videos, all sorts of stuff. So yeah, he. I found the original post. It was a Pokemon style game where you could build like a cap table, basically. Perfect. Collect, invest. That's exactly what you want for sure. Great stuff, great stuff. If you're just tuning in, Sam Altman will be joining in about 10 minutes. He's on for half an hour and then we're talking to Elad Gil. Before we move on, let me tell you about Turbo Puffer search. Every byte, serverless vector and full text search built from first printer.
Because it's a popular writing tool. Anyway, Cloudflare did a new rebrand powering 20%. And I guess Ty, former member of the Party Round team, I guess was behind this. Oh, no way. Why else he'd be sharing it? And he also was co founders with Dylan on ctg, which they. Oh, no way. That's very cool. Little bit of lore. Ty is a legend. Extremely talented design designer. When he had reached out to us at Party Round and I talked once with him, if I remember correctly, we didn't immediately make an offer. We were just kind of like, yeah, let's keep talking. And then he built an entire game, like a simulation of a game boy game that you could play on your phone. And he just sent it to me. He like built it. This was like pre vive coding. He just built it and sent it to me. And it was like. It was web based. It was. No, it was mobile. Okay. And I just immediately called him and I was like, okay, we're bringing on the team. This is amazing. Very cool, very cool. I mean, seems like good response. Thousand likes. No one's People are very opinionated about branding launches, you know, launch videos, all sorts of stuff. So yeah, he. I found the original post. It was a Pokemon style game where you could build like a cap table, basically. Perfect. Collect, invest. That's exactly what you want for sure. Great stuff, great stuff. If you're just tuning in, Sam Altman will be joining in about 10 minutes. He's on for half an hour and then we're talking to Elad Gil. Before we move on, let me tell you about Turbo Puffer search. Every byte, serverless vector and full text search built from first printer.
About Turbo Puffer search. Every byte serverless vector and full text search built from first principles on object storage. Fast 10x cheaper and extremely scalable. You see this Reddit post circulating that lists OpenAI's top 30 customers by token consumption. And apparently Duolingo number one. Second is Open router, but of course. Their platform doesn't really count. Yeah, routing. Routing consumption. Surprising to see indeed at the top of this list. Do you see number nine, baby number nine, let's go. It's ramp.com see warp dev on there. Shopify. Sure. Also. When this came out because of their. I don't know if there was this table is like a leak or something, but at Dev Day OpenAI put up a list of names of people that had been using over a trillion tokens right. And there. And people kind of reverse engineer that to understand what these. What the people who like what companies they work for. Right. And I was trying to make a meme that I was sending you and it wasn't quite hitting, but it was like the, the atlas holding up the world meme and it was like the entire global economy, but Instead of like OpenAI, which is the current meme, it's like 30 companies in wildly different markets that are all using AI. And so that like, like you would be more worried I think if this was more circular and this is the Martin Shkreli take, which is that if it was. If you looked at the top 30 customers and it was all like AI chat GPT.
Because it's a popular writing tool. Anyway, Cloudflare did a new rebrand powering 20%. And I guess Ty, former member of the Party Round team, I guess was behind this. Oh, no way. Why else he'd be sharing it? And he also was co founders with Dylan on ctg, which they. Oh, no way. That's very cool. Little bit of lore. Ty is a legend. Extremely talented design designer. When he had reached out to us at Party Round and I talked once with him, if I remember correctly, we didn't immediately make an offer. We were just kind of like, yeah, let's keep talking. And then he built an entire game, like a simulation of a game Boy game that you could play on your phone. And he just sent it to me. He like built it. This was like pre vive coding. He just built it and sent it to me. And it was like. It was web based. It was. No, it was mobile. Okay. And I just immediately called him and I was like, okay, we're bringing on the team. This is amazing. Very cool, very cool. I mean, seems like good response. Thousand likes. No one's. People are very opinionated about branding launches, you know, launch videos, all sorts of stuff. So yeah, he. I found the original post. It was a Pokemon style game where you could build like a cap table, basically. Perfect collect investment. Exactly what you want for sure. Great stuff, great stuff. If you're just tuning in, Sam Altman will be joining in about 10 minutes. He's on for half an hour.
I don't know how to do that is actually down that much. That's absolutely crazy. Well, in some more serious news, we have a new partner at tvpn. We're partnered with Gemini, Google AI Studio. The fastest way from prompt to production with Gemini AI powered coding apps, ease of use, built for everyone. You've been a power user. We're friends with Logan. Logan is a dear friend of the show and works around the clock to make this. He's done a fantastic job over there. Supercharge your creativity and productivity chat to start writing, planning, learning and more with Google AI. So you'll be hearing more about Gemini in the coming weeks, in the coming shows. Not tomorrow because tomorrow's a Saturday. We're still here. But I can't wait for Monday. John, I. Yeah, what else? Oh, Shiel had a take on Sora, which is interesting. He says he perfectly.
To impress other people. It's where should we go on summer vacation? That's going to generate the best Instagram pic. This is, this is John's on Europe. He's like, I don't need to go to Europe. We have lakes here, we have oceans here, we have mountains here. Why would I, why would I leave the great United States? You know what my example of this is Bali. I don't know if you've ever been to Bali. It's a dump. Thank you. Thank you. My wife and I took our honeymoon to Bali and it's a dump. So, so I went there on a, on a, on, on multiple surf trips and I, I only cared about the waves. But the funny thing is people go on there on surf trips and like, the actual best surfing in Indonesia is really not in Bali. There's a handful of solid waves. The downside is there's actual trash in the water. You were just swimming in this like, supposed like idyllic reef break, and you're just swimming through plastic bags. It's just absolutely disgusting. On a half the island, the water's just like brown. It's like dirty. And people surf in America too. Yeah. You want to say that, you want to take the picture and say, I'm, I look, look at me. I'm in Bali in my trash. I think that's it. I think that's. No, I think, I think Bali becomes a popular tourist destination because people love to say, I went to Bali and press that on social media. The whole time I was there, my wife and I kept saying, we could have flown to Maui, which is a five hour flight. Instead we flew 20 hours to Bali and it's 97% worse. Yeah. And like, why would it. But I think honestly we were attracted to it back in the day before we knew better because, because it sounded like a cool thing to do. Like, oh, we get to tell our friends we're going to Bali. We didn't know anything else other than it was a cool. It sounded like exotic. I don't want to, I don't want to. I don't want to say dunk too hard on, on bal. Part of why it's not as great as the hype is that there's too many people there. So hype sort of like created the problem. I think it is, you know, probably is as nice as Maui, just, just, just physically. But the challenge is again, the infrastructure, the traffic. Number of times have almost died on a scooter in Bali too. I'm surprised I'm here on this podcast. Safety is real, right? And so then it's like if. If nobody could. If nobody got to hear where.
Fantastic scenes that are just not things that could have ever existed without something like Sora or wouldn't have been easy to make. And watching people build those and watching sort of the trends flow through that has been pretty awesome. What about you Bill? Any favorite uses of Sora so far? Oh man, Mark Cuban came on the platform a few days ago and there have been some hilarious Shark Tank memes. Those are probably my favorite. Pitching some Sora. Features to Mark. Also leveraging the prompting function to always include an ad for cost plus drugs I thought was especially hilarious considering he's been one of the most vocal opponents of advertising in AI. He is leveraging the feature to the max. Yeah, I think there are going to be all of these weird new dynamics that we see emerge that just weren't possible in previous kinds of video and this is like a fun period because it's all going to be so different every few days. Man, I'm watching this polymarket ticker go by and it's.
Such a news cycle, but maybe he's just keep it in his. Back pocket. For when he needs a good news cycle. Bit of a wild card question and I didn't plan this, so I didn't mention it beforehand, but no, it's not. It's not bad. But I just think it's interesting. If you couldn't be an entrepreneur and you couldn't be an investor, what hyperscaler would you want to work at? Where you know it be an executive app. Interesting. Oh, that's so interesting. I don't know, I could make arguments for two or three of them because I think there's such different problems to be had and different assets. Google, for example, just has such amazing assets relative to this era. Right. They have the most data, they have the most compute, they have amazing cash flow. I mean they're just like in tpu. It's a really crazy stuff over there. Yeah, amazing stock. So there's amazing things they could do. Obviously there's crazy stuff Microsoft can do on the business side, plus with GitHub and Copilot and everything. So they should really be driving a lot of the coding future in my opinion, if they make the right moves over time. And so you can kind of go through one by one and say there's really interesting things. Opportunities, meta. In terms of social, I think there's opportunities everywhere. Give us an update on.
Products to go build and we'd like to enable those. Okay, last question. Back to cars. What's wrong with the Porsche 911? Yeah. You said earlier the timeline was in turmoil. You said if you were worth. Somebody said. If you had 5 million. Would you buy a 911? You said no. You agreed with PG. What did you mean by that? I mean, maybe it was like a tasteless joke. It was kind of like late at night I was, you know, whatever. But I, I have an unfortunate proclivity for expensive cars. And the response was like, would you ever spend 250k on a car? And I took that literally. That's amazing. It's the size gong for taking it literally. No time for 250k cars. Not necessarily, but. That was not my best tweet. No, we. Enjoyed it now. We all enjoyed it. I enjoy it now. That I have the context. Congratulations on all the progress to both of you. Thank you so much for taking the time to stop by the show. Really appreciate the update. And very excited to see where this goes. Thank you so much. Thank you. Talk to you soon. I don't think anyone read it. No one? No one got it that way. That's amazing. 250K. How about 200? Anyway, we have our next guest joining in just a few minutes. In the meantime, let me tell you about linear. LINEAR is a purpose built tool for.
Pretty awesome. But people have a lot of other ideas of business and products to go build, and we'd like to enable those. Okay, last question. Back to cars. What's wrong with the Porsche 911? Yeah. You said earlier the timeline was in turmoil. You said if you were worth. Somebody said. If you had 5 million. Would you buy a 911? You said no. You agreed with PG. What did you mean by that? I mean, it was maybe it was like a tasteless joke. It was kind of like late at night, I was, you know, whatever. But I have an unfortunate proclivity for expensive cars. And the response was like, would you ever spend 250k on a car? And I took that literally. That's amazing. Hit the size. Gong for taking it literally. No time for 250k cars. Not necessary. But I probably. That was not my best tweet. You know, we. Enjoyed it now. We all enjoyed it. I enjoy it now that I have the context. Congratulations on all the progress to both of you. Thank you so much for taking the time to stop by the show. Really appreciate the update. And very excited to see where this goes. Thank you so much. Thank you. Talk to you soon. Bye. I. I don't think anyone read it. No one? No one got.
Ask Questions. Data Superintelligence it is. And we are joined by Sam Altman and Bill Peebles. Sam, Bill, how are you doing? What's going on? Hey guys. Hey guys. Great to see you. Congrats on all the progress. I've been enjoying Sora a ton. Personally, I've been enjoying making them. I had a ton of fun making the Collab post yesterday and I was. Wondering and prompting your cameo feature, John made it so that he always appears as a bodybuilder, if anybody is cameoing. So you guys got to experience that. Led to some chaotic results. Do you have favorite Sora posts that you've been coming back to or that have stuck out to you as particularly creative uses? I mean, definitely all of the ones of me stealing GPUs or doing other crazy things to get GPUs have been funny in the last few days, at least in my feed. There have been these very beautiful sort of fantastic scenes that are just not things that could have ever existed without something like Sora or wouldn't have been easy to make. And watching people build those and watching as sort of the trends flow through, that has been pretty awesome. What about you, Bill? Any favorite uses of Sora so far? Oh, man. Mark Cuban came on the platform a few days ago and there have been some hilarious Shark Tank memes. Those are probably my favorite. Pitching some Sora features to Mars. Also leveraging the prompting function to always include an ad for cost plus drugs I thought was especially hilarious considering he's been one of the most vocal opponents of advertising in AI. He is leveraging the feature to the max. Yeah, I think there are going to be all of these weird new dynamics that we see emerge that just weren't possible in previous kinds of video. And this is like a fun period because it's all going to be so different every few days. Man, I'm watching this polymarket ticker go by and it's so tempting to say things to. Yeah, yeah, yeah. To be clear, don't worry about the ticker. I don't think we're including. I don't think any of those markets are being. Being featured in the ticker. But yes. Yeah, again, this is the new world we're in. Yeah, you can move the market live on tvpn. But today people I'm sure will be happy or disappointed. We're here to talk about Sora, of course, so none of the other topics. But I mean, I also want to know about ads. Why no ads in Sora on day one? I feel like you've laid out a really great, you know, mental model for how you think about ads on Stratecherry on the Andreessen Horowitz podcast. I've, I've, I'm bought in. Is it a technical thing? Do you need scale? Do you need to think about it more? Why no ads on day one? This is like a 10 day old product, right? Like, it's hard to get anything to work at all. And we like, we don't, we, we don't assume success. We got to like go hard, earn success and then we can, then we can think about monetization for it. But this is like, it's gone great so far. It's still very early and there's still a lot of work to build something that a lot of people are going to love. First, what about surprising capabilities of the model? You mentioned that you've seen some fantastical scenes. I'm interested to know about specific, like specific breakthroughs that you've noticed that Sora to the model is particularly good at. I noticed one about Reflections being great. Obviously people love the cameos. But what has surprised you in terms of just like technically the model can do something now that it couldn't do before? This model is a huge leap forward in terms of physics iq. So pretty much all past video generation models really struggled with prompts that involve backflips, gymnastics routines, et cetera. And this is really the only model that exists today which can reliably handle these kinds of really complicated dynamics. One of the big features that people have really loved on the app so far is the steerability of the model. So if you give it a really simple text prompt that's maybe even only a few words, this model is really good about kind of telling a coherent story with a beginning, middle and end, and doing this automatically in a way that doesn't require a lot of direct steering from the user. If you want to go into a ton of detail about exactly how your prompt should be laid out and how the story should unfold, it supports that too, so it can meet you wherever you're at in the creative process. But really this model is just so hyper scalable and it's just vastly higher. Physics IQ just makes it able to do things that were not possible a few months ago. Is that all within the model or is there some sort of like reasoning step where you're hydrating or unpacking my prompt and writing a bigger prompt or breaking down the problem in some way? Can you share anything about that? Yeah, it's a good Question. So, you know, the intelligence for these text conditional video models kind of lies both in the core model itself, like Sora, and some amount of it also comes in through the text prompt. So you know where, however the user decides to kickstart a prompt, you can have like a language model under the hood, add some details in. But for example, when it comes to things like again, doing these backflips or any kind of physical interactions, how refraction is modeled when you're pouring water into a glass, all of these details have to be captured by the core video model itself. So that's intelligence, which is really innate to Sora, and certainly you can supplement it with intelligence from a language model as well. But it's not necessarily a prerequisite to get kind of amazing results out of these things. Are there any areas on the physics where you think that the model falls down and you want to improve? I mean, we went through the era of like six fingers. It seems like reflections and water are solved. But someone was saying something about doors being hard. I haven't noticed that one personally, but a lot of the stuff's great. But what have you noticed is like, the next version is going to be even better at. This is still very early. A thing Bill said that I appreciated is this is like the GPT 3.5 moment for video. I agree. And if you went back to use the actual GPT 3.5, you'd be like, okay, signs of great promise can do the occasional impressive thing. But it was really not until GPT4 where these text models started providing real value for people. And we know how to go make the GPT4 equivalent of video models and we will do that. And then a lot of these things that are currently annoying, like doors, or once in a while something goes through something else it's not supposed to. In the same way that the world loved to complain for a brief period of time about where 3.5 fell down and oh, it's never going to be useful, it's never going to do this, it's never going to do that. And then we were able to just keep making it better and better and better and better. The model physics IQ is certainly the best I've ever seen, but it is nowhere near as good as it will be in the future versions. And I think, I hope we'll see a similar thing to what happened with the GPT text models, which is people will always demand more and better and they will always find new and better things to use it for and the world will just make Ever more amazing videos. How quickly. Oh, sorry, go for it for video here. Yeah, like GPT1 really was Sora1 for this modality and the progress we've made kind of in the last 18 months getting to this 3.5 moment. Right. It's really compressed compared to how long it took to go from GPT 1 to 3.5 in the language domain. So we're really expecting progress to continue to be meteoric here in the near future. How quickly do you expect the cameo feature to be cloned? That feels like an equally important part of the, you know, the models made a leap, but the product is in the experience and the experience of creating these assets is wildly innovative. We saw stories get cloned, we saw, you know, algo video short form feeds get cloned. I expect many other platforms to be looking at this functionality and realizing that this might be the future. You guys certainly believe that it could be important. So how quickly do you think we're. Actually totally okay with a world where we do the product innovation and everybody else copies and I don't think it works for them as well as they think it does. A lot of people have tried copying ChatGPT in, you can go look at some of our competitors apps and they even copy the mistakes. They even copy the design decisions we really wish we hadn't made. And maybe it's worked well for them. I guess I kind of hope it has, but it's been fine for us. I think the key to this is not any one innovation, but it's repeatedly putting them out again and again and being first to come up with them and put them into a cohesive offering. And you know, that's what we want to be good at. And if other people want to clone the stuff that works, we also sometimes clone stuff that works. That's fine. But. But mostly we want to be able to drive the innovation. And I think Bill and his team have done an incredible job of figuring out how people actually want to use these video models, what the models need to do really. They've approached this as a full stack problem from how do you train the video model to how do you make this enjoyable for users. But cameos are one out of many ideas they have from here on the journey to like the product that we hope to eventually build. And so if people take some inspiration from us and copy us along the way, I'm sure they will, it's fine. How do you think about the like popular claim that we want AI detection, I want AI content flagged. Is that a Stated preference. That's not a revealed preference. Because personally I don't want bad AI content, but I don't want bad human made content either. I want great both. And I'm fine when someone comes up with something genius and they instantiate it with a video model. How do you think about it? I think that is the real thing is you don't want slop, you want great content, different people. One man's slop is another man's treasure for sure. But what you care about is good, original, thoughtful, new, helpful, whatever content. And whether that is generated entirely by a human or entirely by AI or what I expect will mostly happen in the future, which is tool assisted human driven generation. I don't think you care that much if the content is great. There's a lot of stuff that is technically written or drawn or filmed by a human, but is completely derivative and much less original than what an AI has generated. And I think that will be what people really care about long term. You just want great content. Now I also do want some human connection with it. When I read a great book, first thing I want to do is read about the author that wrote it and what life experience went into that. I don't think that'll go away. But if they're using an AI as a tool to help them make the writing better, sign me up. That sounds great. Similarly, I would rather watch a video about someone I know than some random AI generated character, which it's part of why I think this was cool to offer. One design decision the team made that I thought was really great and I was actually pushing them in a different direction earlier on and then I decided they were totally right and I thanked them and dropped it. Was the fact that the feed is AI only and not a mix of AI plus some uploaded videos I think is a subtle but extremely important design decision in how people are relating to this. Yeah, it was a very weird experience for me. I was thinking about the collab post that I was making announcing this interview and my initial thing was like, well, I'm gonna have to think of a script or I'm gonna have to think of what I say or I should record a piece of this and then I'll use it. And it was like, no, I just typed the prompt in and then I get the front facing video. It's remarkable. What kind of indicators are you guys looking at? As Sora can transition from what it was the second it launched, which was a creative tool, into something that's more of a consumption, like a consumption Platform, traditional social media platform. Talk about what you guys are pushing forward, because obviously you're seeding the network with the tool, but it's certainly much harder to turn it into something that people are spending hours a day in. Purely consuming content and not creating content. We really wanted to design this from the ground up to be centered around creation. A lot of the metrics that we've been focused on optimizing here are really aligned with making sure as many people as possible are actually getting their hands on the Sora 2 model itself and able to create content with their friends. And for the rest of the world, one metric that we're really proud of with this launch so far is that 70% of our users are actually creating content even to this day, a week and a half after launching. And that's like, vastly higher than on any other social media platform. And I think it really speaks to just how fun creation can be with the right toolset. Right. If you look at any of these kind of legacy platforms, there's just like, so much friction from, like, getting off the feed and, like, into some creative flow state, right? You have to, like, put the phone down, you have to go get, like a camcorder, start recording yourself, find your friends, like, do a dance, etc. It's just like, a lot of work, right? On Sora, like, you can just pick up your phone, find like, any video you like in the feed, remix it, you know, cameo any of your friends. And I think one insight that was not obvious to us at first, but we've kind of clearly seen as an emergent behavior of this product is just like, there's all these people out there who would not necessarily want to be like, you know, influencers or something, or have like a big social media presence, but the fact that, like, all of their friends can just access their cameo, right? Put them in all of these crazy situations, actually gets them into the playing field in a way that felt really high friction before. We're closing in on close to 2 million weekly active users now. We're really excited that such a huge percentage of that user base to this day is still creating with Sora, and we're going to continue pushing on that direction and making sure people have even more powerful tools in the Future. Yeah. So 70% of Sora users are creating content. The typical benchmark that people kind of quote randomly is like 1% creation, 99% consumption, something like that. That certainly feels like my experience on Instagram. I post a photo every once in a while, but most of the Time I'm just kind of scrolling and I'm wondering if you think that that 1% will be much higher on Sora in terms of actual time in the app. Time prompting versus time scrolling. If you have any data, that'd be super interesting. But then also does that make it more of like a competitor to video games than traditional social media because it's such a lean forward experience versus just lay back. What do you think? Yeah, it's a great question. We still need to study this more exactly how creation versus consumption habits kind of change over time. For folks on the platform, it's still pretty early days. I do agree with your point though that I think over time this is going to feel much more immersive in a way that video games kind of do. You have more agency when you're actually using the platform, not just kind of mindlessly scrolling a feed hours a day. And one interpretation of this product which I think is kind of interesting, especially from the research perspective, right, is cameos in some way is like the simplest way where you can kind of like inject yourself into the model, right? So it's a very low bandwidth communication channel right now you know, you're only giving like a few seconds of video footage of like any given individual like into the app. But like over time, right, you can imagine like these models know more and more about your life. They really like deeply understand your friends, how you want to like show up in the world. And like over time this can almost become like a little mini like alternate reality, right? So like you're not just generating like videos of yourself with your friends. Like you actually just have like digital copies of yourself running in the model on this Sora platform interacting with other people, with agency. And so I think over time we're really going to see this platform evolve into, you know, something that feels kind of familiar today, into something that really leans into like the full intelligence of Sora 2 in the future and like really leverages all of the world simulation capabilities that we're working on internally. Yeah, I would add to that that if you think of this spectrum of the kind of entertainment you can have in front of a computer, at one end you have like watch a two and a half hour movie and you hit play and then you lean back and you don't do anything at all. And then at the other end you have like a very intense video game and you're like, you know, sweating and your heart's racing and it's like super, super active. AI is going to push things to Be more in between there. So you'll have, maybe you're still watching that movie, but now you can like say something a few times throughout the course of it and it changes what happens as the movie plays out. Or with Sora, you're seeing this amazing new phenomenon where most users are creating in a world where traditionally only 1% of them did. And so you're, yes, you're like watching a video feed, but you're doing a little bit more. And it, at least for me, really changes how fun the whole thing is and how I feel about it. Then maybe you'll do what Bill said and you'll have like, you'll be way more actively participating in the Sora feed. And I think you're just going to see that continuum blur a lot more. Did you see Bandersnatch by any chance? Sam, have you seen this Netflix? It's like a Netflix choose your own adventure. And it was a really cool idea, but ultimately people, it never really took off and became like something they do again and again and again. And I'm wondering if it was because it was like not customizable enough or people just want to just sit back and see a director's vision. I don't know. Anyway, I never heard of that, but it sounds cool. Yeah. How do you think. Question for Sam. How do you think about allocating compute to Sora versus the rest of the business? I imagine Bill is constantly in your ear every. Every other hour, but how are you thinking about it? You know, my real answer is I've entirely changed my focus of how I spend my days to just go get more compute rather than have to make the compute allocation decisions. I still do have to make some short term compute allocation decisions, but I hope we are heading to a world where I am instead telling people, you got to find a way to use more compute. And we're going to be, we're going to be very aggressive here. It feels like you're doing a great job of like bringing things within your control, within the supply chain. What is outside of your control at this point? I mean, most of it. But I feel like you have great, you have great partners all up and down the stack. Multiple partners in different parts of the chain. Like, when I think about scaling up Sora, I feel like crazy to bet against you. Like you're going to, you're going to get the chips. You're not going to be GPU, try. To buy like 10 gigawatts of power for delivery next year. It's not so easy. It's funny. How are the conversations going with. With Hollywood? Oh, yeah. Oh, actually, yeah, you take it. Yeah. I was going to say we've been chatting actually with a few, you know, very notable folks in Hollywood over the last week. You know, I think people's first reaction to this is like, very understandably going to involve a lot of trepidation and anxiety when we've gotten to just sit in a room with these folks, though, and really explain what we're building. I've actually been pretty struck by how excited folks in Hollywood are about this. We were chatting with one actor recently who mentioned that on Twitter a year ago, saw a deep fake of her generated with one of these open source models, which really had a lot of nasty content created. And when we really like walked her through kind of all of our safety mitigations, right, how we're making sure that we have this like, very well defined model spec which dictates the behavior that, that we allow on this platform and how we are really leaning into like full control of likeness. Right. More so than any other platform. Like, you have to come in through the cameo process. You can't just like, upload an image of yourself and just like generate a video of it of, like, any person. You have to come in through cameo. I think it became clear to her that we're really setting the right standard here in terms of making sure people are in full control of their likeness in Hollywood. I think that's where a lot of this anxiety comes from. It's this feeling that some random person can just kind of take videos or images of you and do whatever they want with them and create all of this terrible content that's outside of your purview. But we've really been designing Sora from the ground up to put users in full control of their likeness end to end, from the moment you sign into the app to needing cameo permissions to access any of your friends generation. So I think we need to engage more with Hollywood and we're going to continue to do that. But once we really explain the story of Sora, they're very receptive to it. Do you think there's a world to. Add something to that? The team asked me before launch if they could put my cameo in there, open access. And I of course thought about it for a second and said absolutely yes. I had all these Hollywood celebrities then messaging me on the first day being like, you're absolutely crazy. This is insane. This is the dumbest thing I've ever said. And then by about the third day they were like, that was really smart. You got like, a lot of free publicity. Maybe we need to be doing that. And I think you're now seeing actual celebrities say, okay, I'm going to do this. And I expect a lot more of them will. Similar thing on other kinds of characters in ip. I can totally imagine a world where our problem in a year or six months or maybe even less is not that people don't want their cameos or their characters appearing, but they think we are not fairly having their characters or cameo appearing often enough. This may turn out to be a really big thing for fan connection. Now. It may be that kind of the previous generation of celebrities don't want to do this, and the influencer celebrities all do. I don't know how that's going to go, but I bet this will be a pretty deep kind of new connection. Yeah, it seems like it's been good for DiCaprio in the memes. He's not directly monetizing those when you show the champagne meme or him pointing at the tv, but it builds his aura in some way. A friend of ours posted something yesterday. This is Jeremy Gafon. He said, the reason we're so upset about Slop is because it's obvious we're all going to be going to love consuming it in two to three years. It's not going to be slop for long. Do you agree, Sam? I mean, some of it will be slopped to some people and some of it won't. I remember, like, there was a real reaction like this in the early GPT days where people were like, I can't believe anyone reads this. It's like, total crap. It's full of hallucinations. You know, it's like, it's not useful to anyone. And then it became more useful to some people. But they said, I can't believe anybody, like, ever thinks this thing writes a beautiful sentence. That's insane. And then with GPT5, you have authors saying, like, wow, this is a useful tool. It sometimes, like, writes a beautiful sentence. Yeah. And I kind of think it'll follow a similar trajectory. What do you think about the fact that people feel. At least. I don't know if they actually can, but it feels like you can still clock GPT5 writing. You know, it's not this. It's that the M Dash. Will we still see these artifacts in three years in Sora 5? That people are like, oh, if you know, you know, you can tell, but most people can't. Yeah. It's like, what's the EM dash of video Because I don't think it's like six fingers. No, no, definitely not. That's the typo, which doesn't happen anymore. Yeah, I think right now the EM dash is like this like slightly wired speech pattern in Sora where it likes to say a lot of words very quickly. You know, these generations definitely have like a style to them. I think analogously to GPT, we really want to give users a lot of control over exactly how their videos show up on the platform. Like if you really want kind of like a very soothing experience. Right. Not a lot of shot changes going on. We want to give users the ability to generate that and we're going to continue to give more optionality to people. So you know, there'll be some default kind of behaviors and quirks of Sora for sure. But we definitely want all power users to be able to be in full control. Random question. Where did the name Sora come from? Yeah, this is a fun one. So the original Sora came out in February 2024. The OG blog post. Yeah, we did not have a name for it. I think like up to two days before we like revealed the model to the world, we just could not agree on the team what it should be. Did you at least have a code word or something? We just called it like videogen. Okay. And so at some ungodly hour, I just started pumping a bunch of crazy ideas into ChatGPT and then we basically ran out of English words. So then we switched Japanese words. Wow. And then Sora came out like wow, that sounds really nice. It means sky linked with imagination. All the possibilities of creation. And so then we just like last minute ship Sora. Yeah, it was kind of a mad dash. Okay, speaking of Japanese stuff, Sam, you said you were looking for an Acura NSX a while back. It's kind of this throwback car. Very. It's not a Waymo. What do you think the piece of content or format will be that remains loved? In an age where everyone's taking the Waymo of video, the Sora video generation, what do you think is like. Well, first of all, I got that NSX and it lived up to all of the childhood hype. I mean, just incredible. That car is so fantastic. And I. I don't know, I kind of think there's going to be a lot of stuff like that for people that generated or not where you still, you want the real thing, you want the thing that you have the kind of childhood connection to, you know, someone like a kid today. Is not going to want the nsx, but whatever the a cool car like that is, they will want and at some point, like the fact that they can have like a crazy VR experience, they'll still want the real thing and the connection to it and everything they have. So I think there will be a huge amount of that. In fact, I think the future looks like much more of that kind of stuff, not much less. How quickly do you want to create an economy on Sora? It feels like there would be a number of ways that you could create incentives for creators to create things, for IP holders, for individuals to just be passively monetizing their likeness. Bill, what do you think for timing on that? I mean, this is like a top priority for the team. You know, there's clearly such an incredible value proposition for celebrities, for rights holders across the board here. We think cameo is like a great entry point for this, right? You can imagine right now we have cameos for people. Maybe you have cameos for like, you know, your character or like your brand or something. And so we're actively working on the team right now coming up with the right monetization model here to get this rolled out. But it's really important to us, right, that our creators on the platform are rewarded and that there are clear financial incentives, like the incredible work that they're already doing. So this is like top of mind for us and we'll have updates here over the coming weeks. This is like something we're actively working on. I think it's super important and awesome. I will say I would like to know how many hours of sleep Bill has averaged for the last few weeks, but I bet it's not enough. So we got a lot of stuff. The team's got a lot of stuff they have to do in a short period of time and it's going to take a little while. Okay, let me put one more thing on your plate, Sam. I mean earlier, like years ago, you built looped location based product. Have you thought about how AI and location based content fits together? Like on most of these social apps you can tag a location. That wouldn't even make sense in the current Soar app. But what does the AI Maps product look like? I haven't thought about AI and location that much, but I've thought about like how AI can really change the social experience for people. We don't have like a for sure answer yet, but we have like a lot of interesting threads to pull on and I have thought back to like my days running that startup there more my Instinct is it is possible to make a very interesting new kind of social experience connecting you to people, helping you find people that is intermediated by AI in an interesting way. But you know, we'd have a lot of exploration to do there. What advice are you giving to startup founders these days? I remember in the GPT 3.5 GPT 4 days it was like, don't build a company that assumes model stagnation or how do you think about in the age of Soar? That's been really great advice. It really has. It played out exactly like that. There's a bunch of great companies that aren't built that way and they've done great. But if you were just, oh, I have a special prompt that tunes up GPT4. Yeah, bad times. But how are you thinking about it now in the context of video and Sora specifically? You obviously do have an API. You have dev day. There's people that will build on top of this. Is it a different shape of the problem? Totally. The reaction to the API has been nuts, positive. At least the fastest ramping revenue I've ever seen for one of our new models in the API. I mean, maybe there was something faster than I'm not remembering, but congratulations. The demand there has been just incredible and people are doing awesome stuff with it. Bill and I have not had a chance for a one on one since launch because it's been so crazy. We're doing one later, we're doing one later today. But one on one missing just to him was that we, given how much excitement there is to build on this stuff, that we do something we don't usually do and put out our intended roadmap of the things we're going to prioritize because I can imagine really cool new startups that simply were not possible, that will be possible at each of these new things will ship. So I had a question when you guys released the Sora 2 via API, which was that if Sora has the potential to be a Instagram or YouTube scale business, why release part of your edge for the entire world that they can integrate into other creative tools and then use the model to generate content that doesn't have a watermark that's not in your feed that you're not able to get that feedback loop on that you guys do with the Sora app for ChatGPT. We also put out a great model in the API and people can theoretically compete with us on ChatGPT and some try to, but we are willing. We're never going to build every cool use of the technology and we want the world to get all that stuff. We're delighted to also get paid on people using our API, but we just want AI to flourish out in the world. We're not going to build every great use of what you can do with video models either. We'll build one and I think it's pretty awesome. But people have a lot of other ideas of business and products to go build, and we'd like to enable those. Okay, last question. Back to cars. What's wrong with the Porsche 911? Yeah. You said earlier the timeline was in turmoil. You said if you were worth. Somebody said, if you had 5 million, would you buy a 911? You said no. You agreed with PG. What did you mean by that? I mean, it was maybe it was like a tasteless joke. It was kind of like late at night, I was, you know, whatever. But I have an unfortunate proclivity for expensive cars. Yes. And the response was like, would you ever spend 250k on a car? And I took that literally. That's amazing. Hit the size gong for taking it literally. No. No time for 250k cars. Not necessarily, but I probably. That was not my best tweet. You know, we enjoyed it now. We all enjoyed it. I enjoy it now that I have the context. Congratulations on all the progress to both of you. Thank you so much for taking the time to stop by the show. Really appreciate the update and very excited to see where this goes. Thank you so much. Thank you. Talk to you soon. Bye. I. I don't think anyone read it. No one? No one got.
Want all power users to be able to be in full control. Random question. Where did the name Sora come from? Yeah, this is a fun one. So the original Sora came out in February 2024. The OG blog post. We did not have a name for it. I think like up to two days before we like revealed the model to the world, we just could not agree on the team what it should be. Did you at least have a code word or something? Like, how did you just call it? Like videogen. Okay. And so at some ungodly hour, I like just started pumping a bunch of crazy ideas into ChatGPT. And then like we basically ran out of like English words. So then we switched like Japanese words. Wow. And then Sora came out. I was like, wow, that sounds really nice. It means sky. You know, linked with like imagination, like all the possibilities of creation. And so then we just like last minute ship Sora. Yeah, yeah, it was kind of a mad dash. Okay. Speaking of Japanese stuff, Sam, you said you were looking for an Acura NSX a while back. It's kind of this throwback car. Very. It's not a waymo. What do you think?
Meme or him pointing at the tv, but, like, you know, it builds his aura in some way. A friend of ours posted something yesterday. This is Jeremy Gafon. He said the reason we're so upset about slop is because it's obvious we're all going to be going to love consuming it in two to three years. It's not going to be slop for long. Do you agree, Sam? I mean, some of it will be slop to some people and some of it won't. I remember, like, there was a real reaction like this in the early GPT days where people were like, I can't believe anyone reads this. It's like, total crap. It's full of hallucinations. You know, it's like, it's not useful to anyone. And then it became more useful to some people, but they said, I can't believe anybody, like, ever thinks this thing writes a beautiful sentence. That's insane. And then with GPT5, you have authors saying, like, wow, this is a useful tool. It sometimes, like, writes a beautiful sentence. Yeah. And I kind of think it'll follow a similar trajectory. What do you think about the fact that people feel. At least. I don't know if they actually can, but it feels like you can still clock GPT5 writing.
Go try to buy like 10 gigawatts of power for delivery next year. It's not so easy. It's funny. How are the conversations going with. With Hollywood? Oh, yeah. Oh, actually, yeah, you take it. Yeah. I was going to say we've been chatting actually with a few, you know, very notable folks in Hollywood over the last week. You know, I think people's first reaction to this is like, very understandably going to involve a lot of trepidation and like, anxiety when we've gotten to just sit in a room with these folks, though, and really explain what we're building. I've actually been pretty struck by how excited folks in Hollywood are about this. We were chatting with one actor recently who mentioned that on Twitter a year ago, saw a deep fake of her generated with one of these open source models which really had a lot of nasty content created. And when we really, we walked her through kind of all of our safety mitigations, how we're making sure that we have this very well defined model spec which dictates the behavior that we allow on this platform and how we are really leaning into full control of likeness more so than any other platform. You have to come in through the cameo process. You can't just upload an image of yourself and just generate a video of it of any person. You have to come in through cameo. I think it became clear here that we're really setting the right standard here in terms of making sure people are in full control of their likeness in Hollywood. I think that's where a lot of this anxiety comes from. Right. It's this feeling that, you know, some random person can just kind of take videos or images of you and do whatever they want with them and create all of this like, like, like terrible content that's like outside of your purview. But we've really been like, designing Sora from the ground up to put users in full control of their likeness end to end, from the moment you sign into the app to, you know, giving cameo permissions to, like, access any of your friends, generations. So I think we need to engage more with Hollywood and we're going to continue to do that. But once we really explain the story of Sora, they're very receptive to it. Do you think there's a way to. Add something to that? The team asked me before launch if they could put my cameo in there, open access. And I of course thought about it for a second and said absolutely yes. I had all these Hollywood celebrities then messaging me on the first day being like, you're absolutely crazy. This is insane. This is the dumbest thing I've ever said. And then by about the third day, they were like, that was really smart. You got like a lot of, you know, free publicity. Maybe we need to be doing that. And I think you're now seeing actual celebrities say, okay, I'm going to do this. And I expect a lot more of them will. Similar thing on other kinds of characters in ip. I can totally imagine a world where our problem in a year or six months or maybe even less is not that people don't want their cameos or their characters appearing, but they think we are not fairly having their characters or cameo appearing often enough. This may turn out to be a really big thing for fan connection. Now. It may be that kind of the previous generation of celebrities don't want to do this, and the influencer celebrities all do. I don't know how that's going to go, but I bet this will be like a pretty deep kind of new connection. Yeah, it seems like it's been good for DiCaprio in the memes. Like, he's not directly monetizing those. When you show the champagne.
Of Sora 2 in the future and like really leverages all the world simulation capabilities that. We'Re working on internally. Yeah. I would add to that that if, if you think of this like, spectrum of the kind of entertainment you can have in front of a computer, at one end you have like watch a two and a half hour movie and you hit play and then you lean back and you don't do anything at all. And then at the other end you have like a very intense video game and you're like, you know, sweating and your heart's racing and it's like super, super active. AI is going to push things to be more in between there. So you'll have, maybe you're still watching that movie, but now you can like say something a few times throughout the course of it and it changes what happens as the movie plays out. Or with Sora, you're seeing this amazing new phenomenon where most users are creating in a, in a world where traditionally only 1% of them did. And so you're, yes, you're like watching a video feed, but you're, you're doing a little bit more and it, at least for me, really changes how fun the whole thing is and how I feel about it. Then maybe you'll do what Bill said and you'll be way more actively participating in the Sora feed. And I think you're just going to see that continuum blur a lot more. Did you see Bandersnatch by any chance? Sam, have you seen this? Netflix? It's like a Netflix. Choose your own adventure.
To this day is like still creating with Sora and we're going to continue pushing on that direction and making sure people have even more powerful tools in the Future. Yeah. So 70% of Sora users are creating content. The typical benchmark that people kind of quote randomly is like 1% creation, 99% consumption, something like that. And that certainly feels like my experience on Instagram. I post a photo every once in a while, but most of the time I'm just kind of scrolling. And I'm wondering if you think that that 1% will be much higher on Sora in terms of actual time in the app. Time prompting versus time scrolling. If you have any data, that'd be super interesting. But then also does that make it more of like a competitor to video games than traditional social media because it's such a lean forward experience versus just lay back. What do you think? Yeah, it's a great question. We still need to study this more exactly how creation versus consumption habits kind of change over time. For folks on the platform. It's still pretty early days. I do agree with your point though that I think over time this is going to feel much more immersive in a way that like video games kind of do. Like you have more agency when you're actually using the platform, you know, not just kind of like mindlessly scrolling a feed, like hours a day. And like one interpretation of this product, which I think is kind of interesting, especially from the research perspective, right. Is cameos in some ways. Like the simplest way where you can kind of inject yourself into the model, right? So it's a very low bandwidth communication channel. Right now you're only giving like a few seconds of video footage of like any given individual, like into the app. But like over time, right, you can imagine like these models know more and more about your life. They really like deeply understand your friends, how you want to like show up in the world. And like over time this can almost become like a little mini like alternate reality. Right. So like you're not just generating like videos of yourself with your friends. Like you actually just have like digital copies of yourself running in the model on this Sora platform, interacting with other people, with agency. And so I think over time we're really going to see this platform evolve into, you know, something that feels kind of familiar today, into something that really leans into like the full intelligence of SORA 2 in the future and like really leverages all of the world simulation capabilities that we're working on internally. Yeah, I would add to that that if.
Of Sora 2 in the future and like really leverages all the world simulation capabilities that. We'Re working on internally. Yeah. I would add to that that if, if you think of this like, spectrum of the kind of entertainment you can have in front of a computer, at one end you have like watch a two and a half hour movie and you hit play and then you lean back and you don't do anything at all. And then at the other end you have like a very intense video game and you're like, you know, sweating and your heart's racing and it's like super, super active. AI is going to push things to be more in between there. So you'll have, maybe you're still watching that movie, but now you can like say something a few times throughout the course of it and it changes what happens as the movie plays out. Or with Sora, you're seeing this amazing new phenomenon where most users are creating in a, in a world where traditionally only 1% of them did. And so you're, yes, you're like watching a video feed, but you're, you're doing a little bit more and it, at least for me, really changes how fun the whole thing is and how I feel about it. Then maybe you'll do what Bill said and you'll be way more actively participating in the Sora feed. And I think you're just going to see that continuum blur a lot more. Did you see Bandersnatch by any chance? Sam, have you seen this? Netflix? It's like a Netflix. Choose your own adventure.
The product that we hope to eventually build. And so if people take some inspiration from us and copy us along the way, I'm sure they will. It's fine. How do you think about the like popular claim that we want AI detection? I want AI content flagged. Is that a stated preference? That's not a revealed preference. Because personally I don't want bad AI content, but I don't want bad human made content either. I want great both. And I'm fine when someone comes up with something genius and they instantiate it with a video model. How do you think about it? I think that is the real thing is you don't want slop, you want great content, different people. One man's slop is another man's treasure for sure. But what you care about is good, original, thoughtful, new, helpful, whatever content. And whether that is generated entirely by a human or entirely by AI or what I expect will mostly happen in the future, which is tool assisted human driven generation, I don't think you care that much if the content is great. There's a lot of stuff that is technically written or drawn or filmed by a human, but is completely derivative and much less original than what an AI has generated. And I think that will be what people really care about. Long term. You just want great content now. I also do want some human connection with it. When I read a great book, first thing I want to do is read about the author that wrote it and what life experience went into that. I don't think that'll go away, but if they're using an AI as a tool to help them make the writing better, sign me up. That sounds great. Similarly, I would rather watch a video about someone I know than some random AI generated character, which is part of why I think this was cool to offer. One design decision the team made that I thought was really great and I was actually pushing them in a different direction earlier on and then I decided they were totally right and I thanked them and dropped it. Was the fact that the feed is AI only and not a mix of AI plus some uploaded videos I think is a subtle but extremely important design decision in how people are relating to this. Yeah, it was a very weird experience for me. I was thinking about the collab post that I was making announcing this interview and my initial thing was like, well.
So we're really expecting progress to continue to be meteoric here in the near future. How quickly do you expect the cameo feature to be cloned? That feels like an equally important part of the, you know, the models made a leap, but the product is in the experience and that the experience of creating these assets is wildly innovative. We saw stories get cloned, we saw know algo video, short form feeds get cloned. I expect many other platforms to be looking at this functionality and realizing that this might be the future. You guys certainly believe that it could be important. So how quickly do you see that. We'Re actually totally okay with a world where we do the product innovation and everybody else copies and I don't think it works for them as well as they think it does. Like the, you know, a lot of people have tried copying ChatGPT and you can go look at some of our competitors apps and they even copy the mistakes. They even copy the design decisions we really wish we hadn't made. And maybe it's worked well for them. I guess I kind of hope it has, but it's been fine for us. I think like the key to this is not any one innovation, but it's repeatedly putting them out again and again and being first to come up with them and put them into a cohesive offering. And, you know, that's what we want to be good at. And if other people want to clone the stuff that works, we also sometimes clone stuff that works, that's fine. But mostly we want to be able to drive the innovation. And I think Bill and his team have done an incredible job of figuring out how people actually want to use these video models, what the models need to do. Really. They've approached us as a full stack problem from how do you train the video model to how do you make this enjoyable for users? But cameos are one out of many ideas they have from here on the journey to the product that we hope to eventually build. And so if people take some inspiration from us and copy us along the way, I'm sure they will, it's fine. How do you think about the popular claim.
Video. And this is like a fun period because it's all going to be so different every few days, man. I'm watching this Poly Market ticket go by, ticker go by, and it's so tempting to, like, say things to. Yeah, yeah, yeah. To be clear, don't worry about the ticker. I don't think we're including. I don't think any of those markets are being being featured in the ticker. But yes. Yeah. Again, this is the new world we're in. Yeah. You can move the market live on tvpn. But today, people, I'm sure will be happy or disappointed. We're here to talk about Sora, of course. So none of the other topics. But I mean, I also want to know about ads. Why no ads in Sora on dates.
And it's like just vastly higher physics IQ just makes it able to do things that were, like, not possible a few months ago. Is that all within the model, or is there some sort of, like, reasoning step where you're hydrating or unpacking my prompt and writing a bigger prompt or breaking down the problem in some way? Can you share anything about that? Yeah, it's a good question. So, you know, the intelligence for these text conditional video models kind of lies both in the core model itself, like Sora, and some amount of it also comes in through the text prompt. So. So however the user decides to kickstart a prompt, you can have a language model under the hood, add some details in. But, for example, when it comes to things like, again, doing these backflips, or any kind of physical interactions, how refraction is modeled when you're pouring water into a glass, all of these details have to be captured by the core video model itself. So that's intelligence, which is really innate to Sora, and certainly you can supplement it with intelligence from a language model as well. But it's not necessarily a prerequisite to get kind of amazing results out of these things. Are there any areas on the physics where you think that the model falls down and you want to improve? I mean, we went through the era of like, six fingers. It seems like reflections of water are solved.
There's still a lot of work to build something that a lot of people are going to love. First, what about surprising capabilities of the model? You mentioned that you've seen some fantastical scenes. I'm interested to know about specific breakthroughs that you've noticed that Sora to the model is particularly good at. I noticed one about Reflections being great. Obviously people love the cameos. But what has surprised you in terms of just technically the model can do something now that it couldn't do before. This model is a huge leap forward in terms of physics iq. So pretty much all past video generation models really struggled with prompts that involve backflips, gymnastics routines, etc. And this is really the only model that exists today which can reliably handle these kinds of really complicated dynamics. One of the big features that people have really loved on the app so far is the steerability of the model. If you give it a really simple text prompt that's maybe even only a few words, this model is really good about telling a coherent story with a beginning, middle and end, and doing this automatically in a way that doesn't require a lot of direct steering from the user. If you want to go into a ton of detail about exactly how your prompt should be laid out and how the story should unfold, it supports that too, so it can meet you wherever you're at in the creative process. But really, this model is just so hyper scarable and it's just vastly higher Physics IQ just just makes it able to do things that were like, not possible a few months ago. Is that all within the model, or is there some sort of reasoning step where you're hydrating or.
Will be happy or disappointed. We're here to talk about Sora, of course, so none of the other topics. But I mean, I also want to know about ads. Why no ads in Sora on day one? I feel like you've laid out a really great mental model for how you think about ads on Stratekeri on the Andreessen Horowitz podcast. I'm bought in. Is it a technical thing? Do you need scale? Do you need to think about it more? Why no ads on day one? This is like a 10 day old product, right? Like, it's hard to get anything to work at all. And we don't assume success. We got to like go hard, earn success and then we can think about monetization for it. But this is like, it's gone great so far. It's still very early and there's still a lot of work to build something that a lot of people are going to love. First, what about surprising capabilities of the model? You mentioned that you've seen some fantastic.
Friends flow through. That has been pretty awesome. What about you, Bill? Any favorite uses of SORA so far? Oh man. Mark Cuban came on the platform a few days ago and there have been some hilarious Shark Tank memes. Those are probably my favorite. Pitching some SORA. Features to Mark. Also leveraging the prompting function to always include an ad for cost plus drugs. I thought was especially hilarious considering he's been one of the most vocal opponents of advertising in AI. He is leveraging the feature to the max. Yeah, I think they're going to be all of these weird new dynamics that we see emerge that just weren't possible in previous kinds of videos.
So you guys got. Your experience led to some chaotic results. Do you have favorite Sora posts that you've been coming back to or that have stuck out to you as particularly creative uses? I mean, definitely all of the ones of me stealing GPUs or doing other crazy things to get GPUs have been funny in the last few days, at least in my feed. There have been these very beautiful sort of fantastic scenes that are just not things that could have ever existed without something like Sora or wouldn't have been easy to make. And watching people build those and watching as sort of the trends flow through that has been pretty awesome. What about you, Bill? Any favorite uses of Sora so far? Oh man.
Reply here. Installing a low flow shower head out of concern for Grok. I love it. I saw someone else was trying to put the yes, this is it. Andy Massley. A couple slides later he said, every day I find a new way of trying to get across just how ridiculously fake the problem of AI water use is. We've talked to a number of Neo Cloud CEOs, data center builders on this show who have built data centers and they've told us, yeah, we use a decent amount of water, but once we have the water, we actually have figured out how to just recycle it in the system. And so we're not actually using that much water. Even the new iPhone has a single. Drop of water and they sell a lot of iPhones. So I mean, millions of drops of water. You got to answer some. No, but it just proves a point. That oh yeah, you can recycle it for heat. Yes, yes, that's a great point. I hadn't even thought about that. It's not like you're I gotta go refill my iPhone. Refill my iPhone. Can you imagine how upset people would be? It was like, yeah, I need to charge my iPhone. Oh, I forgot to refill it with water at the gas station. So he shares some data here. So this is a quote post from someone else. Yeah, but the form of AI that used the most water and electricity by far is ChatGPT. You can start somewhere. The whole I can't do it because I got cut off is just an excuse I don't care for. And so here is some evidence, some new ways to think about the amount of water used by AI. Have you ever worried about how much water things you did online used before AI? Probably not, because data centers barely use any water compared to most other things we do. Even manufacturing most regular objects requires lots of water. Here's a list of common objects you might own and how many chatbot prompts worth of water they used to make them. Leather shoes are 4 million prompts worth of water. Smartphones are 6,400,000 prompts of water. Jeans. A single pair of jeans is over 5 million prompts of water. This is such a silly metric, but I love these silly metrics. T shirt is a million prompts. Single piece of paper is 2,550 prompts. If you want to send 2,500. Imagine trying to give up all the things on these on this list because they use water. But you'd have Grok. You'd just be naked using Grok, but you'd have you need a smartphone, and that's 6 million prompts. Chad is going crazy right now. We're being told to not ask him anything about Trump or crypto, okay?
On profound and get create mentioned in ChatGPT. That's right. Reach millions of consumers who are using AI to discover new products and brands. This post from Frog is a banger. Please make sure you are only drinking as much water as you really need. We need that for the data centers. If you're thirsty, Grok is thirsty too. Completely agree. I completely agree. Reply here Installing a low flow shower head out of concern for Grok. I love it. I saw someone else was trying to put the yes, this is it. Andy Massley. A couple slides later he said, every day I find a new way of trying to get across just how ridiculously.
There's going to be a vote, but there's plenty of. There's plenty. In other news, Barry Weiss asked everyone at across CBS News to send her a memo by next Tuesday explaining how they spend their workday and what's working. Not working. Is this a. What did you get done this week? Basically, it's a what. What exactly do you do here? You think it's that. I think, I mean, it's great asking, hey, what's working, what's not working? Yes, but as a manager and you're coming into a new organization or a leader, you're coming into a new organization you want to get a pulse on, okay, what are people actually doing here? Because I think the question is, with everything that David Ellison is doing, is he trying to turn these into media companies that can create massive cash flow or are they strategic enough? I don't think when Jeff Bezos was buying the Washington Post, he was thinking, I'm buying this to make money, necessarily. And so the question is, I think Max Tawny here, the way that this has been written, I think the question is like, are they gonna let a bunch of people go, oh, interesting. That's kind of how I would read into it. Yeah. I mean, at the same time, like, if you're coming into, if you're coming in as CEO or editor in chief of a new organization and you're like, my view on it is that they're actually severely understaffed. And the first thing I'm gonna do is triple headcount. It's still reasonable to ask what everyone does. So you understand like, oh, okay, this person's doing five different jobs and they're working 200 hour weeks. Like, maybe we need to get them some extra support. But I agree with your general assessment, and it certainly would be a little bit stressful to get this email from Barry, but, you know, she says, please be blunt, just break it down. Recommendation. Don't use AI. Any EM dashes. There is an EM dash, but we know Barry uses EM dashes. She's been using them for decades. So there's no, maybe not decades, but for her career. The reason that it's in the model is because it's a popular writing tool. Anyway, Cloudflare did a new rebrand powering 20%. And I guess Ty, former member of the.
Keep the place a little bit toastier or maybe give everyone a pair of slippers. What's going on here? This account Toys XYZ is sharing a nano Banana watermark. Do you know how this works functionally? Yeah. Do you have to basically increase the saturation of the photo in order to. Exactly. So this pattern that you see are subtle changes in the saturation. And, and if you go to the next image, you can see what it looks like on an actual nanobanana image, not just the watermark. And so this is a black and white image. This was generated as black and white. But nanobanana uses slight variations in the colors to just have a little bit of saturation. So normally if you're looking at like a grayscale image, basically the saturation is turned down to zero and there is no color whatsoever. There is only, there's only brightness. Right. You're going from zero to one, just on the black scale. Nanobanana, even if you ask for a black and white image, it will output an image that does have a little bit of color and it will vary this pattern. So there's little bits of red, little bits of green, little bits of red, little bits of green. And so this is being put in every nanobanana image. Of course, as soon as you discover this pattern, there's probably some ability to remove it. Even just a slight edit might change this. You could just go in and actually reduce the saturation to zero and then the watermark's gone. And I'm sure people will do that. But yeah, there will be somebody will make an app where you just upload an AI photo and then it figures out which, which, which model generated it and then figures out how to remove whatever hidden watermark is included. Totally. You have a clean image. Totally. There's already a ton of Sora watermark remover tools out there. It's. I think this is still just more useful for, you know, having a reality check on, like, you know, was someone dumb enough to not even remove the watermark? At least you can just automatically flag that. And a lot of. And at least it injects an extra step, an extra cost into generating, you know, like spam images or whatever you would want to do that's like malicious that would, you'd want to discover the watermark. But fortunately, I feel like even with nanobanana, you can still just look at the image and tell. But if you want to generate some generative media, head over to fall the world's best generative image, video and audio models all in one place develop and fine tune.
Any, any image from any place, maybe. Big debate on the timeline over whether you should have shoes on or on in the office. Ben Lang over at Cursor says no shoes at Cursor nyc. Will o' Brien says if Ulysses ever ends up like this, you have permission to shoot me in the face. Very aggressive response. I, I, I, I can see why companies that are just, you know, want to be cozy, want to have a. I think wearing shoes in your home is insane. Yeah, I'm very against walking around the house with shoes that you wear out in the world. Sure. Plenty of studies that just show you're just tracking in all sorts of things. All sorts of things make sense. Do you do slippers in the house then? I enjoy slippers. I feel like if you, if you don't do slippers, then you need to keep the whole house warmer. You need more carpets. But I wonder what else went into the plan to make sure that Cursor HQ in New York City is fully cozy. Because you don't just want to take off your shoes and be around. Like, we have concrete floors here. We are shoes on facility. No one takes off their shoes. But if we were to go to shoes off, I think we would need to get some carpets, keep the place a little bit toastier, or maybe give everyone a pair of slippers. What's going on here? This account Toys XYZ is sharing a Nano Banana watermark. Have they. How do you know how their watermark works? Functionally? Yeah. So you have to like, turn like.
In today's newsletter, you can sign up@tbpn.com and I was reflecting on 10 years ago, in 2015, Sam Altman was also being talked about. A lot of people were talking about the bubble. Vanity Fair ran an article at the time that said something to the effect of, we talked to multiple experts in financial bubbles and they say it's going to pop any minute. And so Sam formulated this bet and said that, like, look, I'm the. I think he was the head of YC at the time. He was like, I don't think we're in a bubble right now. And he framed it in three propositions that all had to come true. So the first one was Uber, Palantir, Airbnb, Dropbox, Pinterest and SpaceX. They were worth under 100 billion at the time, in 2015. By 20, 25 years from then, he said they have to be worth more than 200 billion. And second, he said mid sized companies, Stripe, Zenefits, Instacart, Mixpanel, Teespring, Optimizely, Coinbase, Docker and Weebly together had to be worth over 27 billion. They were worth less than 9 back in 2015. And the brand new YC winter 2015 batch needed to be worth over 3 billion. And what's crazy is that if you just think about those three buckets, which one? So Sam got two of them, right? He missed on one. Which one do you think he missed on? The big companies. Uber, Palantir, SpaceX. Those ones needed to double the mid tier companies. Stripe. Well, I'm not gonna pretend I know that he missed on the big, the public company. He missed on the big companies, which is crazy because Today Uber's a $200 billion company. SpaceX and Palantir are both at 400, 500. So you have over a trillion dollars now. But he missed because a couple of those companies had kind of traded down. But he hit on the second one. Coinbase obviously went huge Stripe as well. And, and in the third, in the, in the, in the YC Winter 2015 batch, there was a company called GitLab that's already worth something like seven or eight billion dollars in the public markets. And so he hit on all, on basically all of them. I still regard it as like, he was very, very close to being just completely correct. He did lose the bet. But as we talk about another bubble, I was, I was thinking about like, should we have another framework for like where we expect things to go? Years to assess it and I feel like.
Like from some of the analysis from Monday's interview is that the next leg up in the bubble is leverage. But here, Morgan Stanley in this article is estimating the amount of Debt tied to AI has ballooned to 1.2 trillion, making it the largest segment in the investment grade market. Pretty remarkable. Yeah. We were talking about when does the number actually get big in terms of total debt? Because if you look at like the market for Treasuries, that's obviously way bigger or the market caps of all the hyperscalers combined, that's, you know, 10 to 20 trillion. It's really, really big. But 1 trillion of debt feels like a lot. That feels like a lot. And so I wrote. But the notable thing here is understanding who is actually on the hook for the debt. Right. A lot of, I think OpenAI broadly has done, has made a extremely. Had a focus of not tying the debt to the actual for profit entity and then obviously not the nonprofit itself. Right. So the question is they can be at the center of all this, but they're not necessarily directly on the hook for any of this, you know. 1.2 trillion. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Where does the actual debt live? What is it entitled to? Does it have warrants over equity? Like all of that matters a ton. I wrote about the bubble talk in today's newsletter. You can sign up@TBPN.com and.
OpenAI are escalating concerns that an increasingly complex Internet. Something that I want to understand better is how much chatter there was about the circular telecom deals in, like, 1999 and early. The early. In the first quarter of 2000, because. Oh, by the first quarter of 2000, it was, like, front page everywhere. Well, things didn't really correct until March. Yeah. But in 1999, the New Yorker ran a profile of Mary Meeker that's called the Woman in the Bubble. So, like, the New Yorker, which isn't in the business of, like, calling bubbles early, was just describing it, you know, like, everyone agrees that this is a bubble and we're profiling someone who's at the center of it. Yeah. In the New Yorker, which I feel. Like is still six months below, you know, over the last couple weeks.
Is the AI software engineer. Crush your backlog with your personal AI engineering team. Pedro Domingos has a chart from the Financial Times showing the number of years after release to scale the Internet versus just scaling. ChatGPT. And the Internet took 13 years to get to 800 million users. ChatGPT took a little over two, maybe three. So. And really remarkable. The Internet is the greatest distribution engine for products in history. ChatGPT. Yeah. So it is a very acceleratory effect. Tron Ares is getting some reviews. The Telegraph had a headline today. They said, tron ARES is so bad it makes.
Bail out the Argentinian government for just 20 billion. Yes, yes. There's this hilarious post by alphapix. This was sent into our group chat like five different times. Says Bessant Wake up espresso shot 13th on Bloomberg quiz Bailout Argentina. And it just says it's a screenshot of a Bloomberg terminal. And I guess this is from the quiz that goes out. He got a 242 score. He's 13 and just says anonymous US Department of Treasury. Of course it could be someone else, but it's very funny to imagine that it's him. I like that a lot. Anyways, this I guess news.
Let me tell you about ramp time is money save, both easy use, corporate cards, bill payments, accounting, and a whole lot more all in one place. Mark Cuban Dylan Abrascado on our team says Mark Cuban is the greatest marketer of all time. Every video generated from his cameo includes brought to you by Cost plus Drugs, even when it's not in the prompt. He baked this into his cameo preferences so every SORA post he appears in is an ad for Cost plus products. I love how shameless Cuban is about promoting Cost plus Drugs. A lot of people become a bean air, they lose the ability to just be shameless. Not Mark Cuban. He at every possible chance. Even on our show, I think he was promoting Cost plus Drugs. And I do think the, the beautiful irony here of him, you know, not too many months ago saying, you know, we need to make sure that ads aren't in LLMs. He's the first person to incorporate ads into Sora. Of course, not a language model, but still brilliant. I, I had this idea too. I'm, I'm bummed that he scooped me. Did it first. I did go into my.